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NEUNewMarket CorpSell4.8·$833.33-0.82%
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NewMarket Corp (NEU) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Specialty Chemicals

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $833.33: Concentration risk — Geographic: international (outside United States) (61.0%); Near 52-week high (4.9% away).

NewMarket Corporation is a holding company whose primary subsidiary Afton Chemical manufactures and sells petroleum additives globally, while AMPAC and Calca supply specialty materials for aerospace and defense solid rocket motors. Revenue is driven by lubricant and fuel... Read more

$833.330.0% A.UpsideScore 4.8/10#29 of 36 Specialty Chemicals
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield5.40%
IncomeYield1.41%(5y avg 2.00%)Payout26.26%sustainable
Stop $784.77Target $833.33(resistance)A.R:R 0.0:1

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $833.33: Concentration risk — Geographic: international (outside United States) (61.0%); Near 52-week high (4.9% away). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 77. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 52d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-14
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 5, 202652d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
High-quality business
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: international (outside United States) (61.0%)
Near 52-week high (4.9% away)
Weak overall score: 4.8/10

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)19.0
P/E (Fwd)32.3
Mkt Cap$7.7B
EV/EBITDA12.2
Profit Mgn15.3%
ROE25.3%
Rev Growth-4.5%
Beta0.58
Dividend1.41%
Rating analysts8

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C1.23bearish
IV46%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicinternational (outside United States)61%
    10-K Item 1A: 'In 2025, sales to customers outside of the United States accounted for approximately 61% of consolidated net sales.'
  • MEDIUMCustomerU.S. government specialty materials
    10-K Item 1A: 'A significant portion of our specialty materials business is under contracts with contractors or subcontractors of the U.S. government or directly with the U.S. government.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-02-26Item 5.02LOW
    Bruce R. Hazelgrove III elected to the Board effective immediately; he currently serves as Executive Vice President and Chief Administrative Officer. Will serve on Executive Committee only; no additional compensation for board service.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-02-18Item 5.02LOW
    Susan M. Ridlehoover appointed as Principal Accounting Officer effective immediately. Previously served at Sonoco Products Company and Dominion Energy. Annual base salary of $235,000.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -4.5% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Earnings Growth
1.0
Revenue Growth
1.4
Declining revenue: -4%

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.8
Value Rank
5.9
Quality Rank
9.0
Superior ROE vs peersBest-in-class margins
GatesA.R:R UPSIDE_EXHAUSTED (upside=0.0%)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 6.9>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 52d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
77 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $673.29Resistance $850.34

Price Targets

$785
$833
A.Upside0.0%
A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Analyst Consensus

Analysts8
Consensus2.3/5
Avg Target

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (52d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is NEU stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $833.33: Concentration risk — Geographic: international (outside United States) (61.0%); Near 52-week high (4.9% away). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 77. Prior stop was $784.77. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the NEU stock price target?

Take-profit target: $833.33 (0.0% upside). Prior stop was $784.77. Stop-loss: $784.77.

What are the risks of investing in NEU?

Concentration risk — Geographic: international (outside United States) (61.0%); Near 52-week high (4.9% away); Weak overall score: 4.8/10.

Is NEU overvalued or undervalued?

NewMarket Corp trades at a P/E of 19.0 (forward 32.3). TrendMatrix value score: 4.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about NEU?

8 analysts cover NEU with a consensus score of 2.3/5.

What does NewMarket Corp do?NewMarket Corporation is a holding company whose primary subsidiary Afton Chemical manufactures and sells petroleum...

NewMarket Corporation is a holding company whose primary subsidiary Afton Chemical manufactures and sells petroleum additives globally, while AMPAC and Calca supply specialty materials for aerospace and defense solid rocket motors. Revenue is driven by lubricant and fuel additive sales to multinational oil companies and specialty materials contracts with U.S. government contractors. In 2025, approximately 61% of consolidated net sales came from customers outside the United States.

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