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SCTXScribe Therapeutics Inc.Hold4.4·$17.54
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Scribe Therapeutics is a speculative biotech with heavy insider buying and large analyst-implied upside, but it sits below the market-cap floor and its revenue is shrinking.

Thesis pillars

  • Heavy Insider Buying Conviction↓Deteriorating
  • Analyst Target Implies Large Upside↓Deteriorating
  • Market Cap Below Universe Floor↑Improving
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Oct 18, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Scribe Therapeutics Inc. (SCTX) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5QualityShortModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Biotechnology

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $17.54, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: DATA_ISSUE: analyst_target_implausible (raw $57.00 vs price $17.54 — ratio 3.2×). Rejected, falling back to technical TP.; Market cap $332M below $400M minimum.

Scribe Therapeutics Inc. operates as a clinical-stage biotechnology company, focuses on research and developing genetic medicines using CRISPR-based tools to address the root cause of diseases, with a primary focus on cardiometabolic conditions in the United States. The company... Read more

$17.54+23.3% A.UpsideScore 4.4/10#221 of 241 Biotechnology
QualityF-score0 / 9FCF yield—
Stop $16.31Resistance target $21.63A.R:R 0.0:1
Analyst consensus$57.00+225.0%4 analysts
$21.63Resistance target
$17.54price
$57.00mean
$60

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $17.54, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: DATA_ISSUE: analyst_target_implausible (raw $57.00 vs price $17.54 — ratio 3.2×). Rejected, falling back to technical TP.; Market cap $332M below $400M minimum. Chart setup: RSI 44 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Market cap $332M below $400M minimum. Not in investable universe. Score 4.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Nov 11, 202613d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
DATA_ISSUE: analyst_target_implausible (raw $57.00 vs price $17.54 — ratio 3.2×). Rejected, falling back to technical TP.
Market cap $332M below $400M minimum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)—
P/E (Fwd)-4.8
Mkt Cap$332M
EV/EBITDA-16.3
Profit Mgn-97.0%
ROE—
Rev Growth-60.8%
Beta—
DividendNone
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F0/9

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Unprofitable operations — net margin -97.0%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Net Margin
0.0
Piotroski F
0.0
Current Ratio
2.3
Moat
3.8
No competitive moatWeak Piotroski F-Score: 0/9Quality concerns

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.1
Growth Rank
1.3
Value Rank
4.7

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ps
3.5
Low model confidence on this dimension (20%).
GatesMomentum 4.4<4.5A.R:R UPSIDE_EXHAUSTED (upside=0.0%)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 13d<=14d (soft)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Speculative
RSI
44 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MASupport $13.50Resistance $22.07

Price Targets

$16
$22
A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! DATA_ISSUE: analyst_target_implausible (raw $57.00 vs price $17.54 — ratio 3.2×). Rejected, falling back to technical TP.
! Market cap $332M below $400M minimum
! momentum at 4.4 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-11 (13d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SCTX stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $17.54, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: DATA_ISSUE: analyst_target_implausible (raw $57.00 vs price $17.54 — ratio 3.2×). Rejected, falling back to technical TP.; Market cap $332M below $400M minimum. Chart setup: RSI 44 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Market cap $332M below $400M minimum. Not in investable universe. Resistance target $21.63 (+23.3%), stop $16.31 (−7.5%), A.R:R 0.0:1. Score 4.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SCTX stock price target?

Resistance target: $21.63 (+23.3% upside). Resistance target $21.63 (+23.3%), stop $16.31 (−7.5%), A.R:R 0.0:1. Stop-loss: $16.31.

What are the risks of investing in SCTX?

DATA_ISSUE: analyst_target_implausible (raw $57.00 vs price $17.54 — ratio 3.2×). Rejected, falling back to technical TP.; Market cap $332M below $400M minimum.

Is SCTX overvalued or undervalued?

Scribe Therapeutics Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -4.8). TrendMatrix value score: 3.5/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about SCTX?

10 analysts cover SCTX with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $57.

What does Scribe Therapeutics Inc. do?Scribe Therapeutics Inc. operates as a clinical-stage biotechnology company, focuses on research and developing genetic...

Scribe Therapeutics Inc. operates as a clinical-stage biotechnology company, focuses on research and developing genetic medicines using CRISPR-based tools to address the root cause of diseases, with a primary focus on cardiometabolic conditions in the United States. The company offers STX-1150 designed to be a single-course in vivo epigenetic silencing treatment targeting the PCSK9 gene; STX-1200 is CRISPR-based gene editing program that aims to offer a permanent solution for patients with elevated Lp(a); and STX-1400 is designed to target and remove the transcriptional start site of the APOC3 gene and strongly reduce mRNA expression. It uses CRISPR-based platforms, such as ELXR, designed for precise, durable epigenetic silencing of genes without changing the underlying DNA sequence; and XE, designed to support specific and efficient gene editing. The company was incorporated in 2017 and is headquartered in Alameda, California.

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