Sunrun Inc. (RUN) Stock Analysis
Falling Knife setup
Technology · Solar
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $12.84: Quality below floor (2.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.4/10 and A.R:R 2.3:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 30%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.
Sunrun is the nation's leading residential solar and storage provider, offering subscription-based solar energy via 20-25 year Customer Agreements and battery storage, serving residential homeowners. As of December 31, 2025, it had 8,404 MW Networked Solar Energy Capacity and... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $12.84: Quality below floor (2.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.4/10 and A.R:R 2.3:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 30%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 39, MACD bearish. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/7 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 53d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.
Recent developments
updated 2026-06-13Recent Developments — Sunrun Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS GLJ Research Reiterates Sell on Sunrun, Maintains $4.63 Price Target — benzinga Jun 11, 2026 negative
- NEWS 8 Industrials Stocks Whale Activity In Today's Session — benzinga Jun 9, 2026 neutral
- NEWS 10 Industrials Stocks Whale Activity In Today's Session — benzinga May 29, 2026 neutral
- NEWS U.S. Solar Manufacturers Seek Commerce Department Probe Into Panel Imports From Ethiopia, Allege They Are Dodging Tariff — benzinga May 12, 2026 neutral
- NEWS Solar Subsidies Likely To Top Agenda At Trump-Xi Meeting — benzinga May 11, 2026 neutral
Generated 2026-06-15T18:11:47Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- MEDIUMGeographicCalifornia45%10-K Item 1A: 'California, which is one of our key markets and represents over 45% of our customer base, as of December 31, 2025'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $12.84: Quality below floor (2.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.4/10 and A.R:R 2.3:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 30%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 39, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $11.99. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $17.34 (+34.5% upside). Prior stop was $11.99. Stop-loss: $11.99.
Cyclical trap - fwd PE 16x vs trail 6x (2.6x); Quality below floor (2.7 < 4.0).
Sunrun Inc. trades at a P/E of 6.1 (forward 15.9). TrendMatrix value score: 6.7/10. Verdict: Sell.
28 analysts cover RUN with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $19.
What does Sunrun Inc. do?Sunrun is the nation's leading residential solar and storage provider, offering subscription-based solar energy via...
Sunrun is the nation's leading residential solar and storage provider, offering subscription-based solar energy via 20-25 year Customer Agreements and battery storage, serving residential homeowners. As of December 31, 2025, it had 8,404 MW Networked Solar Energy Capacity and Gross Earning Assets of ~$21.1B, financed through tax equity and debt.