Value
6.6/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/E | 9.7 |
| P/S | 9.7 |
| EV/EBITDA | 0.0 |
| Fwd P/E | 7.5 |
| PEG | 3.7 |
| Analyst target | 9.0 |
- ▸Forward P/E: 16.5x
- ▸PEG: 3.07
RUN · Why this verdict
Why Sunrun (RUN) is rated SELL
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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VerdictSELL
Overall score5.4/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroNEUTRAL
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
2.7/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROE | 0.0 |
| ROA | 0.0 |
| Gross margin | 2.4 |
| Op margin | 0.0 |
| Net margin | 8.9 |
| Current ratio | 5.3 |
| FCF quality | 0.0 |
| Moat | 4.2 |
| Piotroski F | 3.3 |
- ▸Strong margins: 18%
- ▸Earnings quality RED FLAG: -395% FCF/NI
- ▸No competitive moat
- ▸Weak Piotroski F-Score: 3/9
Growth
10.0/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 10.0 |
| EPS growth | 10.0 |
- ▸Strong growth: 43% YoY
Momentum
2.1/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 4.5 |
| MACD | 0.1 |
| OBV | 1.0 |
| MA position | 2.2 |
| Volume | 2.9 |
- ▸Volume distribution (falling OBV)
- ▸Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+2.7%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness
Sentiment
7.4/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Analyst rating | 7.5 |
| Price target | 9.3 |
| erm sentiment | 5.2 |
- ▸Analyst upside: 43%
Insider
3.4/10data confidence 75%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| materiality | 3.0 |
| insider conviction | 2.0 |
| holder change | 5.1 |
- ▸Notable insider selling — $9,338,379 (0.293% of mkt cap)
Peer rank
4.9/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 7.3 |
| quality rank | 4.4 |
| growth rank | 7.8 |
Technical
5.8/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 8.0 |
| support resistance | 8.1 |
| 52w position | 2.0 |
| gap | 5.0 |
Risk (lower is worse)
2.6/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| short interest | 0.5 |
| days to cover | 4.1 |
| volatility | 0.0 |
| put call | 9.3 |
| implied vol | 0.0 |
| beta | 2.3 |
| debt equity | 2.0 |
- ▸High short interest justified: 30%
- ▸High IV: 91%
Catalyst
6.7/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 5.0 |
| earnings history | 6.7 |
| earnings timing | 5.0 |
| surprise avg | 10.0 |
- ▸Strong earnings: 3B/1M
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Quality below minimum threshold.
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L1:HARD_BLOCKPassed (7)
- ASYMMETRY:2.0>=1.5
- INSIDER:OK
- 8K:CLEAN
- NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:58d clear
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (1)
- MOMENTUM:2.1<4.5
Warning (0)
none
Reward-to-Risk
2.01
Upside
+28.8%
Downside
14.4%
Sizing output
AVOID
SetupUNKNOWN — No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed
EdgeNO_EDGE — No clear edge identified
SuitabilityAGGRESSIVE — Beta 2.30>1.3, MCap $3.2B<$5B
Investment implication
The L1 gate blocked the positive-verdict path: a hard-floor threshold was breached, so dimensional pillars — including Growth at 10.0 could not lift the engine output above the verdict floor. Failed gate signal: MOMENTUM:2.1<4.5.
The strongest dimensions are Growth at 10.0, Sentiment at 7.4, and Catalyst at 6.7; the weakest are Momentum at 2.1, Risk (lower is worse) at 2.6, and Quality at 2.7. The V9 engine flagged 1 failed gate, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 2.01 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.