Shoals Technologies is a solar electrical balance-of-systems company with extraordinary revenue growth of 75% year-over-year but a deeply negative free cash flow conversion of -206% relative to net income, quality below minimum thresholds, and a put-to-call ratio of 4.81 signaling extreme institutional bearishness.
Thesis pillars
- Extraordinary Revenue Growth Solar→Stable
- Mixed Earnings At Analyst Target↑Improving
- Negative Fcf Quality Below Threshold→Stable
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 24, 2026
Shoals Technologies Group, Inc. (SHLS) Stock Analysis
Falling Knife setup · Inst Constrain edge
Technology · Solar
Sell if holding. Momentum 4.4/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $7.56 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Geographic: Tennessee manufacturing facilities; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.0).
Shoals Technologies Group, Inc. provides electrical balance of system (EBOS) solutions and components in the United States and internationally. The company designs, manufactures, and sells various products used by the solar and battery storage industries, including solar big... Read more
Sell if holding. Momentum 4.4/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $7.56 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Geographic: Tennessee manufacturing facilities; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.0). Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 38, MACD bearish. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA) and earnings proximity 5d<=7d. Suitability: speculative.
Recent developments
updated 2026-10-29Recent Developments — Shoals Technologies Group, Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS Shoals Technologies Group (SHLS) Projected to Post Earnings on Tuesday - MarketBeat — MarketBeat neutral
- NEWS Pictet Asset Management Holding SA Trims Stock Holdings in Shoals Technologies Group, Inc. $SHLS - MarketBeat — MarketBeat neutral
- NEWS Hussman Strategic Advisors Inc. Grows Stake in Shoals Technologies Group, Inc. $SHLS - MarketBeat — MarketBeat positive
- NEWS Shoals Technologies Group (SHLS) Is Up 10.8% After Strong Sales And Softer Profit Outlook - simplywall.st — simplywall.st positive
- NEWS Shoals Technologies shareholders back board, pay and auditor - TipRanks — TipRanks positive
Generated 2026-10-29T11:08:52Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- MEDIUMSupplierlimited number of vendors and suppliers10-K Item 1A: 'Our product development, manufacturing and testing processes are complex, involve a number of precise steps from design to production, and require significant technological and production process expertise, and therefore we depend on a limited number of vendors and suppliers.'
- HIGHGeographicTennessee manufacturing facilities10-K Item 1A: 'Our products are primarily manufactured and shipped from our production facilities in Tennessee, and any damage or disruption at these facilities may harm our business.'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy
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Rating Breakdown
10 dimensions · all in-band
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Momentum 4.4/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $7.56 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Geographic: Tennessee manufacturing facilities; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.0). Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 38, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $7.03. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.
Analyst target: $9.95 (+31.6% upside). Prior stop was $7.03. Stop-loss: $7.03.
Concentration risk — Geographic: Tennessee manufacturing facilities; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.0); Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8.
Shoals Technologies Group, Inc. trades at a P/E of 39.8 (forward 13.7). TrendMatrix value score: 7.5/10. Verdict: Sell.
25 analysts cover SHLS with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $11.
What does Shoals Technologies Group, Inc. do?Shoals Technologies Group, Inc. provides electrical balance of system (EBOS) solutions and components in the United...
Shoals Technologies Group, Inc. provides electrical balance of system (EBOS) solutions and components in the United States and internationally. The company designs, manufactures, and sells various products used by the solar and battery storage industries, including solar big lead assembly (BLA) solutions; homeruns, interconnection, and extension solutions; combiners and re-combiners; load break disconnects and transition solutions; wireless performance monitoring; and battery energy storage solutions (BESS). It also offers original equipment manufacturer (OEM) components; and technical support services during installation and the transition to operations and maintenance. The company sells its products to engineering, procurement, and construction firms that build solar energy projects; utilities; solar developers, independent power producers; solar module manufacturers; and charge point operators. Shoals Technologies Group, Inc. was founded in 1996 and is headquartered in Portland, Tennessee.