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NXTNextpower Inc.Sell4.4·$123.00+2.77%
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Nextpower Inc. (NXT) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5High Confidence

Technology · Solar

Sell if holding. At $123.00, A.R:R 0.7:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.3): -1.5; Weak overall score: 4.4/10.

Nextracker is a solar tracker platform provider and the global market leader by gigawatts shipped for nine consecutive years, serving utility-scale power plants in over 40 countries. It generates revenue by selling solar tracker systems and software to EPCs, developers, and... Read more

$123.00+10.9% A.UpsideScore 4.4/10#5 of 9 Solar
QualityF-score3 / 9FCF yield1.68%
Stop $113.35Target $135.17(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 0.7:1
Analyst target$150.19+22.1%26 analysts
$135.17our TP
$123.00price
$150.19mean
$64
$182

Sell if holding. At $123.00, A.R:R 0.7:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.3): -1.5; Weak overall score: 4.4/10. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 4.4/10, high confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 46d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 30, 202646d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Risks
Leverage penalty (D/E 2.3): -1.5
Weak overall score: 4.4/10
Weak growth

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)31.7
P/E (Fwd)20.9
Mkt Cap$18.5B
EV/EBITDA23.3
Profit Mgn16.5%
ROE29.6%
Rev Growth-4.7%
Beta1.74
DividendNone
Rating analysts32

Quality Signals

Piotroski F3/9

Options Flow

P/C0.67bullish
IV97%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -4.7% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Earnings Growth
0.6
Revenue Growth
1.3
Declining revenue: -5%

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Volume
3.3
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
5.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 2.8<4.5A.R:R 0.7 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 46d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
46 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $109.79Resistance $163.13

Price Targets

$113
$135
A.Upside+9.9%
A.R:R0.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 2.8 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 0.7 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (46d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is NXT stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $123.00, A.R:R 0.7:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.3): -1.5; Weak overall score: 4.4/10. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $113.35. Score 4.4/10, high confidence.

What is the NXT stock price target?

Take-profit target: $135.17 (+10.9% upside). Prior stop was $113.35. Stop-loss: $113.35.

What are the risks of investing in NXT?

Leverage penalty (D/E 2.3): -1.5; Weak overall score: 4.4/10; Weak growth.

Is NXT overvalued or undervalued?

Nextpower Inc. trades at a P/E of 31.7 (forward 20.9). TrendMatrix value score: 4.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about NXT?

32 analysts cover NXT with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $150.

What does Nextpower Inc. do?Nextracker is a solar tracker platform provider and the global market leader by gigawatts shipped for nine consecutive...

Nextracker is a solar tracker platform provider and the global market leader by gigawatts shipped for nine consecutive years, serving utility-scale power plants in over 40 countries. It generates revenue by selling solar tracker systems and software to EPCs, developers, and project owners, with a $4.5B backlog as of FY2025 and 69% of revenue from U.S. projects.

Related stocks: FSLR (First Solar, Inc.) · RUN (Sunrun Inc.) · SEDG (SolarEdge Technologies, Inc.) · ENPH (Enphase Energy, Inc.)
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