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RRRRed Rock Resorts, Inc.Sell5.6·$63.11+1.27%
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Red Rock Resorts, Inc. (RRR) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Resorts & Casinos

Sell if holding. At $63.11, A.R:R is negative (-0.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: Las Vegas regional market; Concentration risk — Product: slot play (80.0%).

Red Rock Resorts operates through Station Casinos LLC, which owns 7 major gaming facilities and 13 smaller casinos throughout the Las Vegas valley, serving primarily Las Vegas residents. Revenue is predominantly from gaming (~80% of casino revenue from slot play) and non-gaming... Read more

$63.11-1.8% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#6 of 12 Resorts & Casinos
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield2.67%
IncomeYield1.67%Payout32.90%sustainable
Stop $59.51Target $61.96(resistance)A.R:R -0.3:1
Analyst target$67.13+6.4%16 analysts
$61.96our TP
$63.11price
$67.13mean
$55
$77

Sell if holding. At $63.11, A.R:R is negative (-0.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: Las Vegas regional market; Concentration risk — Product: slot play (80.0%). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 83. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 46d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-13
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Jul 28, 202646d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: Las Vegas regional market
Concentration risk — Product: slot play (80.0%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)20.1
P/E (Fwd)17.3
Mkt Cap$6.3B
EV/EBITDA8.9
Profit Mgn9.2%
ROE114.2%
Rev Growth1.9%
Beta1.37
Dividend1.67%
Rating analysts20

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.18bullish
IV91%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicLas Vegas regional market
    10-K Item 1A: 'All of our casino properties are dependent upon attracting Las Vegas residents as well as out of town visitors. As a result of our concentration in the Las Vegas regional market'
  • HIGHProductslot play80%
    10-K Item 1: 'Approximately 80% of our casino revenue is generated from slot play'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
0.1
Bollinger
0.6
52w Position
8.7
GatesA.R:R -0.3=NEGATIVEDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 6.7>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 46d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
83 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $50.52Resistance $63.22

Price Targets

$60
$62
A.Upside-1.8%
A.R:R-0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-4.3% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-28 (46d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is RRR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $63.11, A.R:R is negative (-0.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: Las Vegas regional market; Concentration risk — Product: slot play (80.0%). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 83. Prior stop was $59.51. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the RRR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $61.96 (-1.8% upside). Prior stop was $59.51. Stop-loss: $59.51.

What are the risks of investing in RRR?

Concentration risk — Geographic: Las Vegas regional market; Concentration risk — Product: slot play (80.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is RRR overvalued or undervalued?

Red Rock Resorts, Inc. trades at a P/E of 20.1 (forward 17.3). TrendMatrix value score: 6.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about RRR?

20 analysts cover RRR with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $67.

What does Red Rock Resorts, Inc. do?Red Rock Resorts operates through Station Casinos LLC, which owns 7 major gaming facilities and 13 smaller casinos...

Red Rock Resorts operates through Station Casinos LLC, which owns 7 major gaming facilities and 13 smaller casinos throughout the Las Vegas valley, serving primarily Las Vegas residents. Revenue is predominantly from gaming (~80% of casino revenue from slot play) and non-gaming amenities (restaurants, hotels, entertainment).

Related stocks: LVS (Las Vegas Sands Corp.) · MLCO (Melco Resorts & Entertainment L) · MCRI (Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc.) · WYNN (Wynn Resorts, Limited) · HGV (Hilton Grand Vacations Inc.)
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