Boyd Gaming Corporation (BYD) Stock Analysis
Range Bound setup
Consumer Cyclical · Resorts & Casinos
Sell if holding. At $85.35, A.R:R is negative (-0.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: Hawaiian market; Earnings expected to decline ~65% (cyclical peak).
Boyd Gaming operates 27 brick-and-mortar casinos across 11 states including Nevada, plus online gaming through Boyd Interactive. Gaming revenues generated approximately 64% of total revenues in 2025 across four segments: Las Vegas Locals, Downtown Las Vegas, Midwest & South, and... Read more
Sell if holding. At $85.35, A.R:R is negative (-0.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: Hawaiian market; Earnings expected to decline ~65% (cyclical peak). Chart setup: RSI 48 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 5/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 83d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHGeographicHawaiian market10-K Item 1A: 'draw a substantial portion of their customers from the Hawaiian market ... comprising approximately half of the room nights sold at each property'
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-02-24Item 5.02LOWStephen Thompson, Chief Administrative Officer, announced retirement effective March 31, 2026. Reason: personal. No disagreement with the Company. No successor named.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers
Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. At $85.35, A.R:R is negative (-0.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: Hawaiian market; Earnings expected to decline ~65% (cyclical peak). Chart setup: RSI 48 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $79.74. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $87.63 (+2.7% upside). Prior stop was $79.74. Stop-loss: $79.74.
Concentration risk — Geographic: Hawaiian market; Earnings expected to decline ~65% (cyclical peak); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.
Boyd Gaming Corporation trades at a P/E of 3.8 (forward 11.1). TrendMatrix value score: 7.0/10. Verdict: Sell.
21 analysts cover BYD with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $94.
What does Boyd Gaming Corporation do?Boyd Gaming operates 27 brick-and-mortar casinos across 11 states including Nevada, plus online gaming through Boyd...
Boyd Gaming operates 27 brick-and-mortar casinos across 11 states including Nevada, plus online gaming through Boyd Interactive. Gaming revenues generated approximately 64% of total revenues in 2025 across four segments: Las Vegas Locals, Downtown Las Vegas, Midwest & South, and Online.