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Melco Resorts & Entertainment L (MLCO) Stock Analysis

HoldModerate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Resorts & Casinos

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $5.56, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.0%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Melco Resorts & Entertainment Limited develops, owns, and operates casino gaming and resort facilities in Macau, the Philippines, Cyprus, and internationally. It operates through City of Dreams, Studio City, Altira Macau, Mocha, City of Dreams Manila, City of Dreams... Read more

$5.56+36.9% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#4 of 12 Resorts & Casinos
Stop $5.28Target $7.57(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 5.3:1
Analyst target$8.70+56.5%13 analysts
$7.57our TP
$5.56price
$8.70mean
$13

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $5.56, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.0%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Analyst upside: 37%
Risks
Negative momentum
Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.0%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)12.5
P/E (Fwd)7.8
Mkt Cap$2.3B
EV/EBITDA10.9
Profit Mgn3.6%
ROE
Rev Growth8.6%
Beta0.60
DividendNone
Rating analysts20

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.16bullish
IV100%elevated
Max Pain$1-82.0% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Macd
3.5
Rsi
4.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.0%/30d — confirmed downtrend
GatesMomentum 2.0<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 5.2 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
46 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $5.44Resistance $6.07

Price Targets

$5
$8
A.Upside+36.2%
A.R:R5.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 2.0/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-04-30 (nulld)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
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Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MLCO stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $5.56, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.0%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $7.57 (+36.2%), stop $5.28 (−5.3%), A.R:R 5.3:1. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the MLCO stock price target?

Take-profit target: $7.57 (+36.9% upside). Target $7.57 (+36.2%), stop $5.28 (−5.3%), A.R:R 5.3:1. Stop-loss: $5.28.

What are the risks of investing in MLCO?

Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.0%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is MLCO overvalued or undervalued?

Melco Resorts & Entertainment L trades at a P/E of 12.5 (forward 7.8). TrendMatrix value score: 8.9/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about MLCO?

20 analysts cover MLCO with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $9.

What does Melco Resorts & Entertainment L do?Melco Resorts & Entertainment Limited develops, owns, and operates casino gaming and resort facilities in Macau, the...

Melco Resorts & Entertainment Limited develops, owns, and operates casino gaming and resort facilities in Macau, the Philippines, Cyprus, and internationally. It operates through City of Dreams, Studio City, Altira Macau, Mocha, City of Dreams Manila, City of Dreams Mediterranean and Other, Other Operations, and Corporate and Other segments. The company owns and operates City of Dreams, an integrated resort that has gaming tables and gaming machines; suites and villas; food and beverage outlets; retail outlets; a wet stage performance theater; and recreation and leisure facilities, including health and fitness clubs, swimming pools, spas and salons, and banquet and meeting facilities in Cotai, Macau. It also operates Studio City, a cinematically themed integrated resort with gaming facilities, hotel, entertainment, retail, and food and beverage outlets in Cotai, Macau; and Altira Macau, an integrated resort, which offers gaming tables and gaming machines, hotel rooms, dining and casual restaurants, and recreation and leisure facilities in Taipa, Macau. In addition, the company owns and operates Mocha Clubs, which are clubs with gaming machines in Macau; City of Dreams Manila, an integrated resort in the Entertainment City complex in Manila; City of Dreams Mediterranean, an integrated resort in Limassol, Cyprus; and three satellite casinos in Nicosia, Ayia Napa, and Paphos in Cyprus. Further, it is involved in the operation of the Sri Lanka Casino and management of Nüwa Sri Lanka located in City of Dreams Sri Lanka, as well as development projects in other countries. The company was formerly known as Melco Crown Entertainment Limited and changed its name to Melco Resorts & Entertainment Limited in April 2017. The company was founded in 2003 and is based in Central, Hong Kong. Melco Resorts & Entertainment Limited is a subsidiary of Melco Leisure and Entertainment Group Limited.

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