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ROKRockwell Automation, Inc.Sell5.8·$451.40
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Rockwell Automation is a high-quality industrial automation company with a perfect four-quarter earnings beat streak, 27% return on equity, and meaningful earnings growth, but the stock trades above analyst price targets with nearly zero near-term upside, making it a hold rather than a compelling new entry at current prices.

Thesis pillars

  • Price At Analyst Target No Upside↑Improving
  • Strong Revenue And Earnings Growth—
  • Perfect Earnings Beat Streak Automation→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Nov 12, 2025

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Rockwell Automation, Inc. (ROK) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellGrowthModerate Confidence

Industrials · Specialty Industrial Machinery

Earnings in 5 days (2026-11-05). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $451.40 — A.R:R is negative (-0.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Supplier: single-source suppliers.

Rockwell Automation designs and sells industrial automation hardware, software, and services through three segments: Intelligent Devices, Software & Control, and Lifecycle Services. The company serves customers in more than 100 countries across discrete markets including... Read more

$451.40-5.3% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#19 of 56 Specialty Industrial Machinery
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield2.60%
IncomeYield1.24%(5y avg 1.59%)Payout51.03%sustainable
Stop $427.98Analyst target $427.39(reached)A.R:R -0.6:1
Analyst consensus$474.88+5.2%25 analysts
$451.40price
$474.88mean
$282
$550

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $451.40 — A.R:R is negative (-0.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Supplier: single-source suppliers. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 62, MACD bullish. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 5d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-30
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Nov 5, 20265d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.0 in RISK_OFF)
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
High-quality business
Risks
Concentration risk — Supplier: single-source suppliers
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)42.3
P/E (Fwd)30.3
Mkt Cap$50.1B
EV/EBITDA25.5
Profit Mgn13.4%
ROE30.6%
Rev Growth7.9%
Beta1.50
Dividend1.24%
Rating analysts33

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.34bullish
IV51%elevated
Max Pain$560+24.1% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHSuppliersingle-source suppliers
    10-K Item 1A: 'We also maintain several single-source supplier relationships because either alternative sources are not available'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-17Item 5.02LOW
    David A. Zapico elected as director of Rockwell Automation effective April 16, 2026; board expanded from 10 to 11 directors. Appointed to Compensation and Talent Management Committee and Board Composition and Corporate Governance Committee. Routine non-executive board appointment; no successor named for any departing officer.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
1.5
Growth Rank
3.9
Quality Rank
8.1
Superior ROE vs peers

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ev Ebitda
0.0
Pe
2.9
Forward Pe
3.9
Analyst Target
4.0
Peg Ratio
4.6
Ps
6.5
Forward P/E: 30.3xPEG: 1.89

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
1.4
Support Resistance
1.9
52w Position
8.2
GatesA.R:R -0.6=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 5d<=7dExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 7.1>=5.5Insider activity: OKSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
62 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $412.65Resistance $460.20

Price Targets

A.Upside-5.3%
A.R:R-0.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-5.3% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:5d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-05 (5d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ROK stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $451.40 — A.R:R is negative (-0.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Supplier: single-source suppliers. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 62, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $427.98. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ROK stock price target?

Analyst target $427.39 reached (−5.3% from $451.40); no take-profit level is published. Prior stop was $427.98. Stop-loss: $427.98.

What are the risks of investing in ROK?

Concentration risk — Supplier: single-source suppliers; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

Is ROK overvalued or undervalued?

Rockwell Automation, Inc. trades at a P/E of 42.3 (forward 30.3). TrendMatrix value score: 3.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ROK?

33 analysts cover ROK with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $475.

What does Rockwell Automation, Inc. do?Rockwell Automation designs and sells industrial automation hardware, software, and services through three segments:...

Rockwell Automation designs and sells industrial automation hardware, software, and services through three segments: Intelligent Devices, Software & Control, and Lifecycle Services. The company serves customers in more than 100 countries across discrete markets including automotive and semiconductor, and process markets including energy, chemicals, and food and beverage. Major competitors named in the 10-K include Siemens AG, ABB Ltd, Schneider Electric SA, Emerson Electric Co., Mitsubishi Electric, Honeywell, and Dassault Systemes.

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