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Generac Holdlings Inc. (GNRC) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Industrials · Specialty Industrial Machinery

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $259.19 — A.R:R is negative (-0.9) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Supplier: single-source suppliers.

Generac Holdings designs and manufactures power generation equipment, energy storage, and energy management products for residential, commercial, data center, and industrial markets, with a leading North American position. Revenue is correlated with power outage frequency for... Read more

$259.19-1.6% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#24 of 48 Specialty Industrial Machinery
Stop $241.30Target $255.24(resistance)A.R:R -0.9:1
Analyst target$248.53-4.1%15 analysts
$255.24our TP
$259.19price
$248.53mean
$197
$300

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $259.19 — A.R:R is negative (-0.9) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Supplier: single-source suppliers. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.50, news boost analyst cluster(5), earnings proximity 88d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong growth profile
Recent Analyst detected in news
Recent Analyst Cluster(5) detected in news
Risks
Concentration risk — Supplier: single-source suppliers
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (0.1% away)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)81.3
P/E (Fwd)24.8
Mkt Cap$15.2B
EV/EBITDA31.2
Profit Mgn4.4%
ROE7.4%
Rev Growth12.4%
Beta1.79
DividendNone
Rating analysts29

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9

Options Flow

P/C1.12bearish
IV52%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHSuppliersingle-source suppliers
    10-K Item 1A: 'We depend upon a small number of outside manufacturers and component suppliers, as well as other single-source suppliers, for certain products and components'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
2.3
Value Rank
2.9
Growth Rank
6.6

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
0.1
52w Position
9.9
GatesA.R:R -0.9=NEGATIVEMomentum 6.6>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.50NEWS BOOST ANALYST CLUSTER(5)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 88d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
82 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $188.10Resistance $260.45

Price Targets

$241
$255
A.Upside-1.5%
A.R:R-0.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-13.8% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (88d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is GNRC stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $259.19 — A.R:R is negative (-0.9) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Supplier: single-source suppliers. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $241.30. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the GNRC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $255.24 (-1.6% upside). Prior stop was $241.30. Stop-loss: $241.30.

What are the risks of investing in GNRC?

Concentration risk — Supplier: single-source suppliers; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (0.1% away).

Is GNRC overvalued or undervalued?

Generac Holdlings Inc. trades at a P/E of 81.3 (forward 24.8). TrendMatrix value score: 4.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about GNRC?

29 analysts cover GNRC with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $249.

What does Generac Holdlings Inc. do?Generac Holdings designs and manufactures power generation equipment, energy storage, and energy management products...

Generac Holdings designs and manufactures power generation equipment, energy storage, and energy management products for residential, commercial, data center, and industrial markets, with a leading North American position. Revenue is correlated with power outage frequency for residential products and increasingly driven by large diesel generators for the data center market.

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