Skip to main content
RLXRLX Technology Inc.Hold6.4·$2.02+1.00%
Open full analysis

RLX Technology Inc. (RLX) Stock Analysis

Falling Knife setup

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Consumer Defensive · Tobacco

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $2.02, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5; Below 200-day MA.

RLX Technology Inc., through its subsidiaries, develops, manufactures, and sells e-vapor products in the People's Republic of China and internationally. It offers rechargeable e-vapor products under the Qingyu, Phantom, Phantom Pro, Zeus, Leili, and Daqian names; and disposable... Read more

$2.02+27.5% A.UpsideScore 6.4/10#1 of 6 Tobacco
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield-11.26%
IncomeYield4.90%Payout103.02%at-risk
Stop $1.90Target $2.60(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 4.0:1
Analyst target$2.99+48.1%5 analysts
$2.60our TP
$2.02price
$2.99mean
$4

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $2.02, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5; Below 200-day MA. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 37, MACD bearish. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 70d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-12
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Fri, Aug 21, 202670d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Earnings estimates trending UP
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5
Below 200-day MA

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)18.5
P/E (Fwd)12.2
Mkt Cap$2.5B
EV/EBITDA-11.9
Profit Mgn22.5%
ROE6.2%
Rev Growth107.4%
Beta1.14
Dividend4.90%
Rating analysts8

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C34.00bearish
Max Pain$1-50.5% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 ceiling hits

GatesMomentum 4.0<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 4.0 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 70d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
37 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $1.96Resistance $2.23

Price Targets

$2
$3
A.Upside+28.7%
A.R:R4.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 4.0 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-21 (70d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is RLX stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $2.02, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5; Below 200-day MA. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 37, MACD bearish. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Target $2.60 (+28.7%), stop $1.90 (−6.3%), A.R:R 4.0:1. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the RLX stock price target?

Take-profit target: $2.60 (+27.5% upside). Target $2.60 (+28.7%), stop $1.90 (−6.3%), A.R:R 4.0:1. Stop-loss: $1.90.

What are the risks of investing in RLX?

Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5; Below 200-day MA.

Is RLX overvalued or undervalued?

RLX Technology Inc. trades at a P/E of 18.5 (forward 12.2). TrendMatrix value score: 9.0/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about RLX?

8 analysts cover RLX with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $3.

What does RLX Technology Inc. do?RLX Technology Inc., through its subsidiaries, develops, manufactures, and sells e-vapor products in the People's...

RLX Technology Inc., through its subsidiaries, develops, manufactures, and sells e-vapor products in the People's Republic of China and internationally. It offers rechargeable e-vapor products under the Qingyu, Phantom, Phantom Pro, Zeus, Leili, and Daqian names; and disposable e-vapor products under the Feiliu and Feiliu Mega names. The company also provides closed-system rechargeable products, open-system products, closed-system disposable products, and modern oral products. It sells its products through local channels, third-party distribution channels, and distribution channels co-managed with third parties, as well as online and offline end users. The company was founded in 2018 and is headquartered in Shenzhen, the People's Republic of China.

Related stocks: TPB (Turning Point Brands, Inc.) · UVV (Universal Corporation) · TAL (TAL Education Group) · EDU (New Oriental Education & Techno) · SENEA (Seneca Foods Corp.)
Home Stocks RLX

Latest news

Latest News

Simplywall.st26d ago
AOL.com26d agoEarnings
TipRanks26d ago
AlphaStreet26d ago
Marketscreener.com26d agoEarnings
MarketBeat26d agoEarnings
Investing.com26d ago
Yahoo Finance26d agoEarnings
Seeking Alpha26d agoEarnings
GuruFocus26d agoEarnings
GuruFocus26d ago
Quiver Quantitative26d agoEarnings
Investing.com Australia26d ago
Marketscreener.com26d agoEarnings
Marketscreener.com27d agoEarnings
Marketscreener.com27d agoEarnings
Yahoo Finance33d ago
Meyka28d agoEarnings
Farm Online35d ago
Meyka33d agoEarnings
Loading more...