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UVVUniversal CorporationSell4.6·$53.02-1.70%
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Universal Corporation (UVV) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Consumer Defensive · Tobacco

Sell if holding. Momentum 4.5/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $53.02 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Consecutive earnings misses (3); Weak overall score: 4.6/10.

Universal Corporation, a business-to-business agriproducts company, provides leaf tobacco and plant-based ingredients to food and beverage end markets worldwide. The company operates in two segments, Tobacco Operations and Ingredients Operations. The Tobacco Operations segment... Read more

$53.02+18.6% A.UpsideScore 4.6/10#6 of 6 Tobacco
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield4.85%
IncomeYield6.16%(5y avg 5.98%)Payout251.54%at-risk
Stop $49.38Target $62.90(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 2.6:1
Analyst target$74.00+39.6%1 analysts
Range unavailable (1 analysts)

Sell if holding. Momentum 4.5/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $53.02 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Consecutive earnings misses (3); Weak overall score: 4.6/10. Chart setup: RSI 45 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 4.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 51d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15

Recent Developments — Universal Corporation

Generated 2026-06-15T18:11:47Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 5, 202651d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Consecutive earnings misses (3)
Weak overall score: 4.6/10
Weak growth

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)41.5
P/E (Fwd)12.3
Mkt Cap$1.3B
EV/EBITDA8.6
Profit Mgn1.1%
ROE3.8%
Rev Growth1.8%
Beta0.57
Dividend6.16%
Rating analysts1

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C12.00bearish
IV62%elevated
Max Pain$40-24.6% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Dividend Safety
4.2
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/3MYield trap warning: high yield but unsafe

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.0
Growth Rank
1.7
Value Rank
4.2

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Revenue Growth
2.9
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).
GatesMomentum 4.5<4.5A.R:R 2.6 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 51d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
45 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $49.19Resistance $55.36

Price Targets

$49
$63
A.Upside+18.6%
A.R:R2.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 4.5 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (51d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is UVV stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 4.5/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $53.02 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Consecutive earnings misses (3); Weak overall score: 4.6/10. Chart setup: RSI 45 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $49.38. Score 4.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the UVV stock price target?

Take-profit target: $62.90 (+18.6% upside). Prior stop was $49.38. Stop-loss: $49.38.

What are the risks of investing in UVV?

Consecutive earnings misses (3); Weak overall score: 4.6/10; Weak growth.

Is UVV overvalued or undervalued?

Universal Corporation trades at a P/E of 41.5 (forward 12.3). TrendMatrix value score: 6.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

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What does Universal Corporation do?Universal Corporation, a business-to-business agriproducts company, provides leaf tobacco and plant-based ingredients...

Universal Corporation, a business-to-business agriproducts company, provides leaf tobacco and plant-based ingredients to food and beverage end markets worldwide. The company operates in two segments, Tobacco Operations and Ingredients Operations. The Tobacco Operations segment is involved in procuring, processing, packing of flue-cured, burley, dark air-cured, and oriental leaf tobacco for consumer product manufacturers, as well as provision of related services. This segment also offers specialty services, such as custom blending, chemical and physical testing of tobacco, service cutting, reconstituted leaf tobacco manufacturing, and just-in-time product delivery services; and liquid nicotine for tobacco products manufacturers, as well as recycled waste materials from tobacco production. The Ingredients Operations segment engages in the production of specialty plant-based ingredients, including fruits, vegetables, herbs, fruit and vegetable juices, concentrates, pomaces, ciders, purees, nutraceuticals, fruit fibers, seeds, seed powders, dehydrated products, botanical extracts, distillates, natural flavors, colors, and other value-added products for consumer-packaged goods manufacturers and retailers, as well as food, and beverage companies. The company is headquartered in Richmond, Virginia.

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