Value
9.0/10data confidence 83%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/E | 7.0 |
| P/S | 10.0 |
| Fwd P/E | 9.0 |
| PEG | 10.0 |
| Analyst target | 9.0 |
- ▸Forward P/E: 12.0x
- ▸PEG: 0.44
- ▸Attractively valued
RLX · Why this verdict
Why RLX Technology (RLX) is rated HOLD
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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VerdictHOLD
Overall score6.4/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroRISK_OFF
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
4.5/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROE | 2.1 |
| ROA | 1.2 |
| Gross margin | 2.7 |
| Op margin | 6.7 |
| Net margin | 10.0 |
| Current ratio | 5.0 |
| FCF quality | 0.0 |
| Moat | 4.9 |
| Piotroski F | 7.8 |
- ▸Strong margins: 22%
- ▸Earnings quality RED FLAG: -29% FCF/NI
- ▸No competitive moat
- ▸Strong Piotroski F-Score: 7/9
Growth
8.7/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 10.0 |
| EPS growth | 7.4 |
- ▸Strong growth: 107% YoY
Momentum
2.3/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 3.0 |
| MACD | 3.8 |
| OBV | 1.0 |
| MA position | 1.5 |
| Volume | 2.1 |
- ▸Capitulation risk (RSI 29, below 200MA)
- ▸Volume distribution (falling OBV)
- ▸Below 200-MA, MA slope flat
Sentiment
7.8/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Analyst rating | 7.3 |
| Price target | 9.6 |
| erm sentiment | 6.5 |
- ▸Light analyst coverage (5.0) — signal dampened
- ▸Analyst upside: 51%
Insider
5.0/10data confidence 50%Peer rank
5.5/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 5.8 |
| quality rank | 2.9 |
| growth rank | 8.3 |
- ▸Industry growth leader
Technical
7.8/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 9.2 |
| support resistance | 9.6 |
| 52w position | 4.5 |
Risk (lower is worse)
6.6/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| short interest | 9.5 |
| days to cover | 7.6 |
| volatility | 1.8 |
| put call | 10.0 |
| beta | 6.4 |
| debt equity | 4.4 |
Catalyst
5.6/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 6.5 |
| earnings history | 5.6 |
| earnings timing | 5.0 |
| surprise avg | 6.5 |
| dividend safety | 4.2 |
- ▸Yield trap warning: high yield but unsafe
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Mixed signals. Hold existing position.
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L4:PATH_F_HOLD_DEFAULTPassed (7)
- ASYMMETRY:3.7>=1.5
- INSIDER:OK
- 8K:CLEAN
- NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:74d clear
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (2)
- MOMENTUM:2.3<4.5
- DEATH_CROSS:HARD_BLOCK
Warning (0)
none
Reward-to-Risk
3.68
Upside
+31.7%
Downside
8.6%
Sizing output
AVOID
SetupFALLING_KNIFE — Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 29, MACD bearish
EdgeNO_EDGE — No clear edge identified
SuitabilityAGGRESSIVE — MCap $2.4B<$5B
Investment implication
The default F-path HOLD fired without any positive-conviction gate triggering — no momentum acceleration, no quality+value crossover, no setup recognition. Highest-clear gate: ASYMMETRY:3.7>=1.5. Top dim: Value at 9.0; weakest: Momentum at 2.3. The engine's read is one of pattern absence — no directional conviction in either direction at current asymmetry.
The strongest dimensions are Value at 9.0, Growth at 8.7, and Sentiment at 7.8; the weakest are Momentum at 2.3, Quality at 4.5, and Insider at 5.0. The V9 engine flagged 2 failed gates, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 3.68 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.