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RELXRELX PLC PLCSell5.5·$39.14
SellHigh Confidence
Investment thesis

RELX has an exceptional ROE of 71%, best-in-class margins of 22% relative to specialty business services peers, a Piotroski F-Score of 7 out of 9, and analysts project 36% upside — but a confirmed downtrend with a death cross, falling on-balance volume, and a Rule of 40 score of only 24 indicate meaningful near-term technical risk that contradicts the strong fundamental quality picture.

Thesis pillars

  • Exceptional Return On Equity And Margins→Stable
  • Rule Of 40 Below Threshold→Stable
  • Confirmed Downtrend Death Cross↓Deteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

RELX PLC PLC (RELX) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthQualityHigh Confidence

Industrials · Specialty Business Services

Sell if holding. At $39.14, A.R:R 1.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 7.1): -1.5; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

RELX PLC, together with its subsidiaries, provides information-based analytics and decision tools for professional and business customers in North America, Europe, and internationally. It operates through four segments: Risk; Scientific, Technical & Medical; Legal; and... Read more

$39.14+15.9% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#18 of 31 Specialty Business Services
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield3.29%
IncomeYield2.36%(5y avg 1.97%)Payout53.59%sustainable
Stop $37.40Analyst target $45.35(−15% haircut)A.R:R 1.1:1
Analyst consensus$53.35+36.3%2 analysts
$45.35Analyst target
$39.14price
$53.35mean
$57

Sell if holding. At $39.14, A.R:R 1.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 7.1): -1.5; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.5/10, high confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 103d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: conservative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-30
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Feb 11, 2027103d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.6 in RISK_OFF)
High-quality business
Risks
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7
Leverage penalty (D/E 7.1): -1.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)23.4
P/E (Fwd)18.4
Mkt Cap$67.9B
EV/EBITDA85.9
Profit Mgn23.3%
ROE131.9%
Rev Growth2.7%
Beta0.28
Dividend2.36%
Rating analysts26

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C3.33bearish
IV47%normal
Max Pain$30-23.4% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
2.6
Value Rank
3.3
Quality Rank
9.5
Superior ROE vs peersBest-in-class margins

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Dividend Safety
6.5
News Activity
7.0
GatesA.R:R 1.1 < 1.5@spotMomentum 4.5<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.5>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 103d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Conservative
RSI
71 · Overbought
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $33.28Resistance $40.90

Price Targets

$37
$45
A.Upside+15.9%
A.R:R1.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! asymmetry at 1.1 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2027-02-11 (103d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is RELX stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $39.14, A.R:R 1.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 7.1): -1.5; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $37.40. Score 5.5/10, high confidence.

What is the RELX stock price target?

Analyst target: $45.35 (+15.9% upside). Prior stop was $37.40. Stop-loss: $37.40.

What are the risks of investing in RELX?

Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Leverage penalty (D/E 7.1): -1.5.

Is RELX overvalued or undervalued?

RELX PLC PLC trades at a P/E of 23.4 (forward 18.4). TrendMatrix value score: 6.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about RELX?

26 analysts cover RELX with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $53.

What does RELX PLC PLC do?RELX PLC, together with its subsidiaries, provides information-based analytics and decision tools for professional and...

RELX PLC, together with its subsidiaries, provides information-based analytics and decision tools for professional and business customers in North America, Europe, and internationally. It operates through four segments: Risk; Scientific, Technical & Medical; Legal; and Exhibitions. The Risk segment offers information-based analytics and decision tools that combine public and industry specific content with technology and algorithms to assist clients in evaluating and predicting risk, as well as a portfolio of commercial healthcare products. Its Scientific, Technical & Medical segment provides scientific and medical information and data sets for science and healthcare. The Legal segment provides legal, regulatory, and business information and analytics. Its Exhibitions segment combines digital tools and data to help customers connect in-person and online, discover new markets, source products, generate leads, and transact. The company was formerly known as Reed Elsevier PLC and changed its name to RELX PLC in July 2015. RELX PLC was incorporated in 1903 and is headquartered in London, the United Kingdom.

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