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ULSUL Solutions Inc.Hold5.8·$92.16-0.24%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

UL Solutions has beaten earnings estimates in all four consecutive quarters with an average surprise of 17% and converts 120% of net income to free cash flow — a rare cash quality signal — but trades above analyst target resistance with negative asymmetry and geographic concentration risk in its current setup.

Thesis pillars

  • Perfect Beat Streak With Fcf QualityStable
  • Price Above Analyst ResistanceDeteriorating
  • Geographic Concentration Outside UsImproving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

UL Solutions Inc. (ULS) Stock Analysis

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Industrials · Specialty Business Services

Earnings in 5 days (2026-08-04). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $92.16, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: revenue from outside the United States (59.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

UL Solutions provides Testing, Inspection and Certification (TIC) services through Industrial, Consumer, and Software & Advisory segments, serving over 80,000 customers across more than 110 countries. Revenue divides across four service categories — Ongoing Certification (~33%),... Read more

$92.16+2.8% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#8 of 29 Specialty Business Services
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield2.26%
IncomeYield0.63%Payout31.10%sustainable
Stop $87.02Target $94.79(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.3:1
Analyst target$108.95+18.2%12 analysts
$94.79our TP
$92.16price
$108.95mean
$78
$120

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $92.16, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: revenue from outside the United States (59.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 5d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-30
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Aug 4, 20265d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
High-quality business
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: revenue from outside the United States (59.0%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Earnings in 5 days (event risk)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)53.7
P/E (Fwd)35.9
Mkt Cap$18.6B
EV/EBITDA26.7
Profit Mgn11.3%
ROE32.0%
Rev Growth7.5%
Beta0.63
Dividend0.63%
Rating analysts17

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.50bearish
IV64%elevated
Max Pain$70-24.0% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicrevenue from outside the United States59%
    10-K Item 1A: 'approximately 59.0% of our revenue was generated from customers outside the United States'
  • MEDIUMGeographicChina
    10-K Item 1A: 'The Company conducts significant business in China, including through its joint venture with CCIC'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-06-03Item 5.02LOW
    On June 1, 2026, CEO Jennifer F. Scanlon received a special one-time grant of 200,120 performance share units (target value $20 million) under the 2024 LTIP to incentivize continued employment and focus on next-phase growth. Routine compensatory arrangement; no departure.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ev Ebitda
0.0
Pe
2.3
Forward Pe
3.0
Peg Ratio
4.4
Analyst Target
5.0
Ps
6.2
Forward P/E: 35.9xPEG: 2.09
GatesA.R:R 0.3 < 1.5@spotEARNINGS PROXIMITY 5d<=7dExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 6.7>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
65 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $84.71Resistance $101.45

Price Targets

$87
$95
A.Upside+2.8%
A.R:R0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (2.8% upside)
! asymmetry at 0.3 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:5d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-04 (5d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ULS stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $92.16, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: revenue from outside the United States (59.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $94.79 (+2.9%), stop $87.02 (−5.9%), A.R:R 0.3:1. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ULS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $94.79 (+2.8% upside). Target $94.79 (+2.9%), stop $87.02 (−5.9%), A.R:R 0.3:1. Stop-loss: $87.02.

What are the risks of investing in ULS?

Concentration risk — Geographic: revenue from outside the United States (59.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Earnings in 5 days (event risk).

Is ULS overvalued or undervalued?

UL Solutions Inc. trades at a P/E of 53.7 (forward 35.9). TrendMatrix value score: 3.6/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about ULS?

17 analysts cover ULS with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $109.

What does UL Solutions Inc. do?UL Solutions provides Testing, Inspection and Certification (TIC) services through Industrial, Consumer, and Software &...

UL Solutions provides Testing, Inspection and Certification (TIC) services through Industrial, Consumer, and Software & Advisory segments, serving over 80,000 customers across more than 110 countries. Revenue divides across four service categories — Ongoing Certification (~33%), Non-certification Testing (~30%), Certification Testing (~28%), and Software (~9%) — with approximately 59% of 2025 revenue from outside the United States.

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