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ULSUL Solutions Inc.Buy Wait6.0·$75.46
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

UL Solutions has beaten earnings estimates in all four consecutive quarters with an average surprise of 17% and converts 120% of net income to free cash flow — a rare cash quality signal — but trades above analyst target resistance with negative asymmetry and geographic concentration risk in its current setup.

Thesis pillars

  • Perfect Beat Streak With Fcf Quality→Stable
  • Price Above Analyst Resistance→Stable
  • Geographic Concentration Outside Us↑Improving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 19, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

UL Solutions Inc. (ULS) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

Buy WaitDEATH CROSS (EXEMPT)GrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Industrials · Specialty Business Services

Earnings in 3 days (2026-11-03). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Wait for pullback to $73.54. At $75.46 the A.R:R is 0.9:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $73.54 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Geographic: revenue from outside the United States (59.0%); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

UL Solutions provides Testing, Inspection and Certification (TIC) services through Industrial, Consumer, and Software & Advisory segments, serving over 80,000 customers across more than 110 countries. Revenue divides across four service categories — Ongoing Certification (~33%),... Read more

$75.46+11.3% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#5 of 31 Specialty Business Services
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield2.76%
IncomeYield0.80%Payout22.18%sustainable
Entry $73.54(Atr Pullback Sticky)Stop $69.70Target $84.01(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.9:1
Analyst consensus$96.57+28.0%12 analysts
$84.01our TP
$75.46price
$96.57mean
$120

Wait for pullback to $73.54. At $75.46 the A.R:R is 0.9:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $73.54 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Geographic: revenue from outside the United States (59.0%); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 72. Earnings in 3 days. Wait until post-earnings. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/10 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, positive momentum, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 3d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Nov 3, 20263d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.6 in RISK_OFF)
High-quality business
Wide economic moat
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: revenue from outside the United States (59.0%)
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7
Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.8%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)30.4
P/E (Fwd)29.0
Mkt Cap$15.2B
EV/EBITDA21.2
Profit Mgn16.1%
ROE38.7%
Rev Growth5.2%
Beta0.71
Dividend0.80%
Rating analysts17

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatWideCompounder✓

Options Flow

P/C3.00bearish
IV57%elevated
Max Pain$83+9.3% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicrevenue from outside the United States59%
    10-K Item 1A: 'approximately 59.0% of our revenue was generated from customers outside the United States'
  • MEDIUMGeographicChina
    10-K Item 1A: 'The Company conducts significant business in China, including through its joint venture with CCIC'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-06-03Item 5.02LOW
    On June 1, 2026, CEO Jennifer F. Scanlon received a special one-time grant of 200,120 performance share units (target value $20 million) under the 2024 LTIP to incentivize continued employment and focus on next-phase growth. Routine compensatory arrangement; no departure.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
0.3
Bollinger
1.3
52w Position
4.1
GatesA.R:R 0.9 < 1.5@spotEARNINGS PROXIMITY 3d<=7dDeath cross exempted (quality + momentum high enough)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 6.1>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
72 · Overbought
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $65.55Resistance $75.73

Price Targets

$70
$74
$84
A.Upside+11.3%
A.R:R0.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Earnings in 3 days - binary event risk
! asymmetry at 0.9 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:3d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-03 (3d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ULS stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $73.54. At $75.46 the A.R:R is 0.9:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $73.54 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Geographic: revenue from outside the United States (59.0%); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 72. Earnings in 3 days. Wait until post-earnings. Target $84.01 (+11.3%), stop $69.70 (−8.3%), A.R:R 0.9:1. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ULS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $84.01 (+11.3% upside). Target $84.01 (+11.3%), stop $69.70 (−8.3%), A.R:R 0.9:1. Stop-loss: $69.70.

What are the risks of investing in ULS?

Concentration risk — Geographic: revenue from outside the United States (59.0%); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.8%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is ULS overvalued or undervalued?

UL Solutions Inc. trades at a P/E of 30.4 (forward 29.0). TrendMatrix value score: 4.6/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about ULS?

17 analysts cover ULS with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $97.

What does UL Solutions Inc. do?UL Solutions provides Testing, Inspection and Certification (TIC) services through Industrial, Consumer, and Software &...

UL Solutions provides Testing, Inspection and Certification (TIC) services through Industrial, Consumer, and Software & Advisory segments, serving over 80,000 customers across more than 110 countries. Revenue divides across four service categories — Ongoing Certification (~33%), Non-certification Testing (~30%), Certification Testing (~28%), and Software (~9%) — with approximately 59% of 2025 revenue from outside the United States.

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