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Global Payments Inc. (GPN) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellModerate Confidence

Industrials · Specialty Business Services

Earnings in 4 days (2026-05-06). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. At $72.43, A.R:R 1.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Earnings in 4 days (event risk); Weak growth.

Global Payments Inc. and its consolidated subsidiaries are referred to collectively as "Global Payments," the "Company," "we," "our" or "us," unless the context requires otherwise.

$72.43+19.2% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#8 of 21 Specialty Business Services
Stop $68.02Target $86.37(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 1.4:1
Analyst target$95.96+32.5%27 analysts
$86.37our TP
$72.43price
$95.96mean
$194

Sell if holding. At $72.43, A.R:R 1.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Earnings in 4 days (event risk); Weak growth. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 64. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 4d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Risks
Earnings in 4 days (event risk)
Weak growth
Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.8%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)16.2
P/E (Fwd)4.4
Mkt Cap$19.8B
EV/EBITDA10.1
Profit Mgn18.2%
ROE4.8%
Rev Growth0.0%
Beta0.77
Dividend1.39%
Rating analysts37

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.64bullish
IV71%elevated

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-02-18Item 5.02MEDIUM
    . Departure of Directors or Certain Officers, Election of Directors, Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers Appointment of Director On February 18, 2026, the Company announced that the Board of Directors of the Company (the "Board") appointed Vivek Sankaran...
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
2.5

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
1.8
Bollinger
2.0
52w Position
4.7
Gap
5.0

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
4.8
Growth Rank
5.0
Value Rank
5.6
GatesA.R:R 1.4 < 1.5@spotEARNINGS PROXIMITY 4d<=7dDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 5.9>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
64 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $62.45Resistance $74.61

Price Targets

$68
$86
A.Upside+19.2%
A.R:R1.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Reward/Risk 1.4:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:4d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-06 (4d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is GPN stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $72.43, A.R:R 1.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Earnings in 4 days (event risk); Weak growth. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 64. Prior stop was $68.02. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the GPN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $86.37 (+19.2% upside). Prior stop was $68.02. Stop-loss: $68.02.

What are the risks of investing in GPN?

Earnings in 4 days (event risk); Weak growth; Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.8%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is GPN overvalued or undervalued?

Global Payments Inc. trades at a P/E of 16.2 (forward 4.4). TrendMatrix value score: 8.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about GPN?

37 analysts cover GPN with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $96.

What does Global Payments Inc. do?Global Payments Inc. and its consolidated subsidiaries are referred to collectively as "Global Payments," the...

Global Payments Inc. and its consolidated subsidiaries are referred to collectively as "Global Payments," the "Company," "we," "our" or "us," unless the context requires otherwise.

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