Rubrik has achieved an elite Rule of 40 score of 70, a perfect four-quarter earnings beat streak with an average surprise of 249%, and strong free cash flow of 31% of revenue despite GAAP losses — yet persistent negative price momentum and a death cross block new entry, making this a quality business waiting for a better technical setup.
Thesis pillars
- Elite Rule Of 40 Cash Generation→Stable
- Strong Piotroski And Gross Margin→Stable
- Perfect Earnings Beat Streak↑Improving
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Mar 19, 2026
Rubrik, Inc. (RBRK) Stock Analysis
Breakout setup
Technology · Software - Infrastructure
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $136.00 — A.R:R is negative (-1.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (2.8% away).
Rubrik sells Zero Trust Data Security solutions via its Rubrik Security Cloud (RSC) SaaS platform, protecting enterprise, cloud, SaaS, and identity data sources against cyberattacks. Revenue was $1.32 billion for the fiscal year ended January 31, 2026, growing from $886.5... Read more
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $136.00 — A.R:R is negative (-1.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (2.8% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 65, MACD bullish. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 35d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.
About Rubrik, Inc.
About Rubrik, Inc.
Rubrik generated $1.32 billion in revenue for the fiscal year ended January 31, 2026, up from $886.5 million in fiscal 2025 and $627.9 million in fiscal 2024, while carrying an accumulated deficit of $3.19 billion at January 31, 2026. International revenue across EMEA and Asia-Pacific grew from $250.4 million in fiscal 2025 to $364.5 million in fiscal 2026. In February 2026, the Rubrik Agent Cloud (RAC) became commercially available, adding an AI agent lifecycle management and remediation layer on top of the existing RSC platform.
Rubrik earns subscription revenue by selling RSC through a direct sales force and a partner network that includes distributors, resellers, system integrators, and managed service providers. The company's land-and-expand model drives revenue as customers add workloads, identity providers (Microsoft Active Directory, EntraID, and Okta are explicitly integrated), and additional security modules over time. Contracts run generally three years, and as of the end of fiscal 2026, SaaS subscriptions represented a majority of total revenue—completing the transition away from perpetual licenses and Rubrik-branded Appliance sales (the appliance shift to contract manufacturers was largely completed in fiscal 2025). Infrastructure costs are materially influenced by pricing negotiated with Google Cloud, Microsoft Azure, and Amazon Web Services; the 10-K notes that increased public cloud contract costs would negatively impact gross margins. Customers retain no obligation to renew subscriptions, and the company expects Subscription Credit exercises and forfeitures to benefit revenue through fiscal 2027 before sequentially declining.
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Rubrik's position as a data protection supply chain vendor makes its platform a persistent reconnaissance target. In February 2025, the company disclosed anomalous activity on a server containing log files, certain of which were accessed by an unauthorized actor. The 10-K states that if Rubrik's solutions are compromised, a significant number or all of the company's customers and their data could be adversely affected—a systemic event the filing characterizes as potentially catastrophic and capable of causing irreparable harm to reputation and results of operations.
See also: Technology · Software - Infrastructure
From Rubrik, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 11, 2026.
Recent developments
updated 2026-10-29Recent Developments — Rubrik, Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS Rubrik, Inc. (NYSE:RBRK) Given Consensus Rating of "Moderate Buy" by Brokerages - MarketBeat — MarketBeat positive
- NEWS RBRK Stock Gains Fresh Attention as Early Market Signals Hint at a Fast-Approaching Move - vocal.media — vocal.media positive
- NEWS CrowdStrike Setup 'Constructive,' But Truist Favors Rubrik, SailPoint Ahead Of Q2 Earnings - Stocktwits — Stocktwits positive
- NEWS RBRK Stock Quote Price and Forecast - CNN — CNN neutral
- NEWS Rosenblatt raises Rubrik stock price target on cyber resilience demand - Investing.com — Investing.com positive
Generated 2026-10-29T13:34:03Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy
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Rating Breakdown
3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit
Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $136.00 — A.R:R is negative (-1.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (2.8% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 65, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $126.48. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.
Analyst target $109.13 reached (−19.8% from $136.00); no take-profit level is published. Prior stop was $126.48. Stop-loss: $126.48.
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (2.8% away); Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8.
Rubrik, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 177.1). TrendMatrix value score: 2.1/10. Verdict: Sell.
35 analysts cover RBRK with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $121.
What does Rubrik, Inc. do?Rubrik sells Zero Trust Data Security solutions via its Rubrik Security Cloud (RSC) SaaS platform, protecting...
Rubrik sells Zero Trust Data Security solutions via its Rubrik Security Cloud (RSC) SaaS platform, protecting enterprise, cloud, SaaS, and identity data sources against cyberattacks. Revenue was $1.32 billion for the fiscal year ended January 31, 2026, growing from $886.5 million in fiscal 2025, primarily through three-year SaaS subscriptions sold via a direct sales team and partner network.