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QVCGQVC Group, Inc.Hold4.6·$7.75
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

QVC Group is an attractively valued, oversold specialty retailer with very heavy insider buying, but declining revenue, negative free cash flow and a quality score of 3.3 keep it below the 4.0 quality floor.

Thesis pillars

  • Quality Below Floor→Stable
  • Declining Revenue→Stable
  • Heavy Insider Buying→Stable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Oct 11, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Apr 15, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

QVC Group, Inc. (QVCG) Stock Analysis

Inst Constrain edge

HoldVALUE-TRAP 2/5ShortModerate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Specialty Retail

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $7.75, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Market cap $387M below $400M minimum; Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin 4.0%), Material insider selling (5 sells, 0.11% of cap).

QVC Group sells merchandise through televised shopping programs, digital platforms and streaming under the QVC and HSN brands, in two segments: QxH in the U.S. and QVC International. It emerged from a prepackaged Chapter 11 plan on August 6, 2026. About 90% of new QxH customers... Read more

$7.75+85.8% A.UpsideScore 4.6/10#21 of 23 Specialty Retail
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield-135.68%
Stop $7.21Resistance target $14.40A.R:R 0.0:1

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $7.75, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Market cap $387M below $400M minimum; Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin 4.0%), Material insider selling (5 sells, 0.11% of cap). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Market cap $387M below $400M minimum. Not in investable universe. Score 4.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and SEC filing concern. Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29

Recent Developments — QVC Group, Inc.

Generated 2026-10-29T11:08:51Z.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Market cap $387M below $400M minimum
Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin 4.0%), Material insider selling (5 sells, 0.11% of cap)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)—
P/E (Fwd)—
Mkt Cap$387M
EV/EBITDA-1.2
Profit Mgn-2.3%
ROE—
Rev Growth-10.6%
Beta—
DividendNone
Rating analysts8

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-07-24Item 1.03HIGH
    The Bankruptcy Court (S.D. Texas) confirmed QVC Group's prepackaged Chapter 11 plan on July 20, 2026, following petitions filed April 16, 2026; the company intends to emerge once effectiveness conditions are met.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-08-07Item 1.01MEDIUM
    The plan became effective Aug 6, 2026 and the company emerged from bankruptcy. It issued $1,240,362,247 of 10.000% First Lien Senior Secured Notes due 2032 as takeback debt under the plan.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-08-27Item 5.02MEDIUM
    In a post-emergence realignment, Stacy Bowe (President, HSN Brand and US Merchandising) and Alex Wellen (QVC Group President and Chief Growth Officer) step down Sept 4, 2026; QxH and Growth president roles are eliminated. No successors named for them.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Revenue shrinking — -10.6% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
0.0
Declining revenue: -11%
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.5
Rsi
3.0
Capitulation risk (RSI 12, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)

Cyclical trough — margins compressed or negative. Profitability typically recovers with the cycle, but floor fires on current data.static

Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Operating Margin
1.0
Roa
1.4
Gross Margin
2.8
Moat
3.8
Piotroski F
7.8
Current Ratio
9.6
Cash-burning: FCF -6% of revenueNo competitive moatStrong Piotroski F-Score: 7/9

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.0
Growth Rank
0.4
Value Rank
9.1
GatesMomentum 1.3<4.5SEC critical: A.R:R UPSIDE_EXHAUSTED (upside=0.0%)Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Speculative
RSI
12 · Oversold
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MASupport $7.01Resistance $14.69

Price Targets

$7
$14
A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Market cap $387M below $400M minimum
! Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin 4.0%), Material insider selling (5 sells, 0.11% of cap)
! momentum at 1.3 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

We could not retrieve earnings history for QVCG.
The company may be recently listed, pre-revenue, or its beat/miss record wasn't available from our source this run. Earnings signals feed the Growth and Catalyst score dimensions — absence here doesn't affect other dimensions.

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is QVCG stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $7.75, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Market cap $387M below $400M minimum; Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin 4.0%), Material insider selling (5 sells, 0.11% of cap). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Market cap $387M below $400M minimum. Not in investable universe. Resistance target $14.40 (+85.8%), stop $7.21 (−7.5%), A.R:R 0.0:1. Score 4.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the QVCG stock price target?

Resistance target: $14.40 (+85.8% upside). Resistance target $14.40 (+85.8%), stop $7.21 (−7.5%), A.R:R 0.0:1. Stop-loss: $7.21.

What are the risks of investing in QVCG?

Market cap $387M below $400M minimum; Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin 4.0%), Material insider selling (5 sells, 0.11% of cap).

Is QVCG overvalued or undervalued?

QVC Group, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward N/A). TrendMatrix value score: 10.0/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about QVCG?

8 analysts cover QVCG with a consensus score of 2.0/5.

What does QVC Group, Inc. do?QVC Group sells merchandise through televised shopping programs, digital platforms and streaming under the QVC and HSN...

QVC Group sells merchandise through televised shopping programs, digital platforms and streaming under the QVC and HSN brands, in two segments: QxH in the U.S. and QVC International. It emerged from a prepackaged Chapter 11 plan on August 6, 2026. About 90% of new QxH customers made their first purchase through Digital Platforms in 2025.

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