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QRVOQorvo, Inc.Sell5.1·$89.50-2.46%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Qorvo is a semiconductor company with exceptional free cash flow conversion of 164% and a strong 3-for-4 earnings beat record, but a critical customer concentration of 50% with Apple Inc., declining revenue of -7%, and a stock trading above its analyst price target combine to eliminate the near-term investment case.

Thesis pillars

  • Apple Customer Concentration RiskDeteriorating
  • Superior Cash Conversion QualityStable
  • Analyst Target Already SurpassedDeteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Qorvo, Inc. (QRVO) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5ValueShortModerate Confidence

Technology · Semiconductors

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $89.50 — A.R:R is negative (-1.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Customer: Apple Inc. (50.0%).

Qorvo makes RF, power management, and connectivity semiconductor products across HPA (defense/infrastructure), CSG (IoT connectivity), and ACG (mobile cellular) segments. Apple alone accounted for 50% of fiscal 2026 revenue through contract manufacturers, with Samsung adding... Read more

$89.50-11.8% A.UpsideScore 5.1/10#44 of 54 Semiconductors
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield6.88%
Stop $83.44Target $91.88(resistance)A.R:R -1.3:1
Analyst target$90.77+1.4%13 analysts
$91.88our TP
$89.50price
$90.77mean
$66
$120

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $89.50 — A.R:R is negative (-1.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Customer: Apple Inc. (50.0%). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, no SEC red flags, news boost earnings 0.70, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and clean insider activity. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-30

Recent Developments — Qorvo, Inc.

Generated 2026-07-31T06:43:28Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Jul 28, 2026· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Recent Earnings detected in news
Risks
Concentration risk — Customer: Apple Inc. (50.0%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Weak growth

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)24.8
P/E (Fwd)11.8
Mkt Cap$8.1B
EV/EBITDA10.4
Profit Mgn9.2%
ROE10.1%
Rev Growth-7.0%
Beta1.44
DividendNone
Rating analysts26

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.96neutral
IV53%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCustomerApple Inc.50%
    10-K Item 1: 'Apple Inc. ("Apple")... accounted for 50% and 47% of total revenue in fiscal years 2026 and 2025'
  • LOWCustomerSamsung Electronics10%
    10-K Item 1: 'Samsung Electronics Co., Ltd. ("Samsung") accounted for 10% of total revenue in both fiscal years 2026 and 2025.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Revenue shrinking — -7.0% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
0.8
Earnings Growth
0.9
Declining revenue: -7%
GatesA.R:R -1.3=NEGATIVEINSIDER 2.49%=EXTREMEMomentum 5.8>=5.5No SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST EARNINGS 0.70EARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
60 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $81.39Resistance $93.76

Price Targets

$83
$92
A.Upside-11.8%
A.R:R-1.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-11.8% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside
! Insider activity: 2.49%=extreme

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-28 (nulld)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is QRVO stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $89.50 — A.R:R is negative (-1.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Customer: Apple Inc. (50.0%). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $83.44. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the QRVO stock price target?

Take-profit target: $91.88 (-11.8% upside). Prior stop was $83.44. Stop-loss: $83.44.

What are the risks of investing in QRVO?

Concentration risk — Customer: Apple Inc. (50.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Weak growth.

Is QRVO overvalued or undervalued?

Qorvo, Inc. trades at a P/E of 24.8 (forward 11.8). TrendMatrix value score: 6.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about QRVO?

26 analysts cover QRVO with a consensus score of 2.8/5. Average price target: $91.

What does Qorvo, Inc. do?Qorvo makes RF, power management, and connectivity semiconductor products across HPA (defense/infrastructure), CSG (IoT...

Qorvo makes RF, power management, and connectivity semiconductor products across HPA (defense/infrastructure), CSG (IoT connectivity), and ACG (mobile cellular) segments. Apple alone accounted for 50% of fiscal 2026 revenue through contract manufacturers, with Samsung adding 10%. A merger with Skyworks Solutions, approved by stockholders in February 2026, is pending regulatory clearance with expected close in early calendar year 2027.

Related stocks: CRDO (Credo Technology Group Holding ) · CBRS (Cerebras Systems Inc.) · CRUS (Cirrus Logic, Inc.) · SIMO (Silicon Motion Technology Corpo) · ALAB (Astera Labs, Inc.)
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