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PSKYParamount Skydance CorporationSell4.7·$10.45-0.19%
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Paramount Skydance Corporation (PSKY) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellModerate Confidence

Communication Services · Entertainment

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $10.45: Quality below floor (2.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.7/10. Specifically: High short interest: 14%; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend.

Warner Bros. Share per quarter to commence after September 30, 2026, and increased the regulatory termination fee payable by us to $7.0 billion if the transaction does not close due to regulatory matters. On the same date, the Warner Bros. Board determined that our revised... Read more

$10.45+5.2% A.UpsideScore 4.7/10#24 of 28 Entertainment
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield139.96%
IncomeYield1.91%(5y avg 2.87%)Payout666.67%at-risk
Stop $9.72Target $11.00(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.6:1
Analyst target$12.64+21.0%14 analysts
$11.00our TP
$10.45price
$12.64mean
$7
$20

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $10.45: Quality below floor (2.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.7/10. Specifically: High short interest: 14%; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 52. Score 4.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, earnings proximity 49d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Aug 3, 202649d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (2.8 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)349.0
P/E (Fwd)12.1
Mkt Cap$11.7B
EV/EBITDA8.9
Profit Mgn-2.1%
ROE-0.8%
Rev Growth2.2%
Beta1.44
Dividend1.91%
Rating analysts26

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C1.19bearish
IV69%elevated

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-09Item 5.02MEDIUM
    (State or other jurisdiction of incorporation) | | (Commission File Number) | | (IRS Employer Identification Number) **1515 Broadway ** **New York , New York** | | | | **10036** ---|---|---|---|--- (Address of principal executive offices) | | | | (Zip Code) Registrant's telephone number, includin...
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

5 floor-breakers

Unprofitable operations — net margin -2.1%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Roa
1.9
Gross Margin
2.5
Moat
3.1
Operating Margin
3.8
Current Ratio
4.3
Piotroski F
6.7
No competitive moatQuality concerns

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Revenue Growth
3.0
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

52w Position
0.2
Gap
4.0
Bollinger
4.3
Support Resistance
4.6

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
2.3
Growth Rank
3.2
Value Rank
4.4

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.0
Earnings History
1.1
Dividend Safety
3.5
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
News Activity
8.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/2MYield trap warning: high yield but unsafe
GatesA.R:R 0.6 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 5.6>=5.5Insider activity: OKEARNINGS PROXIMITY 49d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
52 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $9.66Resistance $11.12

Price Targets

$10
$11
A.Upside+5.3%
A.R:R0.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (2.8 < 4.0)
! asymmetry at 0.6 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-03 (49d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PSKY stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $10.45: Quality below floor (2.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.7/10. Specifically: High short interest: 14%; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 52. Prior stop was $9.72. Score 4.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PSKY stock price target?

Take-profit target: $11.00 (+5.2% upside). Prior stop was $9.72. Stop-loss: $9.72.

What are the risks of investing in PSKY?

Quality below floor (2.8 < 4.0).

Is PSKY overvalued or undervalued?

Paramount Skydance Corporation trades at a P/E of 349.0 (forward 12.1). TrendMatrix value score: 8.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about PSKY?

26 analysts cover PSKY with a consensus score of 2.6/5. Average price target: $13.

What does Paramount Skydance Corporation do?Warner Bros. Share per quarter to commence after September 30, 2026, and increased the regulatory termination fee...

Warner Bros. Share per quarter to commence after September 30, 2026, and increased the regulatory termination fee payable by us to $7.0 billion if the transaction does not close due to regulatory matters. On the same date, the Warner Bros. Board determined that our revised proposal could reasonably be expected to lead to a "Company Superior Proposal" as defined in the Netflix merger agreement, although no final determination has been made as to whether our proposal is superior to the Netflix ...

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