Pilgrim's Pride trades at an attractive forward price-to-earnings of 7.7 times with a strong 26% return on equity and a favorable peer ranking on valuation, but the business quality just barely reaches the minimum threshold, free cash flow is deeply negative relative to net income, and a high put-to-call ratio of 3.53 reflects elevated bearish positioning.
Thesis pillars
- Negative Fcf Quality Floor Risk→Stable
- Attractive Value High Roe↑Improving
- Mixed Earnings History↑Improving
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 12, 2026
Pilgrim's Pride Corporation (PPC) Stock Analysis
Falling Knife setup
Consumer Defensive · Packaged Foods
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $26.38: Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend.
Pilgrim's Pride produces, processes, and distributes fresh, frozen, and value-added chicken and pork products through U.S., Europe, and Mexico segments, generating $18.5 billion in net sales in fiscal 2025. Revenue comes from foodservice chains, retail grocers, and wholesale... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $26.38: Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 29, MACD bearish. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: speculative.
About Pilgrim's Pride Corporation
About Pilgrim's Pride Corporation
Pilgrim's Pride generated $18.5 billion in net sales in fiscal 2025, with the U.S. segment contributing $11.0 billion, Europe $5.4 billion, and Mexico $2.1 billion across chicken, pork, and prepared foods products. Fresh product sales accounted for 80.9% of U.S. segment revenue, while prepared foods contributed 58.6% of Europe segment revenue. The company employs over 63,000 people, with approximately 35.1% of the workforce covered by collective bargaining agreements, and operates roughly 4,500 grower farms globally.
Pilgrim's Pride earns revenue through three reportable segments — U.S., Europe, and Mexico — selling fresh, prepared, and exported chicken and pork products to foodservice operators, grocery retailers, and wholesale clubs. In the U.S., major retail customers include Kroger, Costco, Publix, and H-E-B, while key foodservice accounts include Chick-fil-A. In the U.K. and Europe, Sainsbury's, Tesco, and Waitrose are primary retail outlets. The top-two customers together represented about 16.8% of consolidated net sales in 2025, with no individual customer exceeding 10% of consolidated sales. Feed costs are a primary input, with corn, soybean meal, and wheat accounting for 45.9%, 33.7%, and 4.6% of total feed costs in 2025, respectively. The company maintains a vertically integrated structure with 36 feed mills, 50 hatcheries, 39 processing plants, and 28 prepared foods cook plants globally. JBS S.A. holds an 82.28% controlling stake through indirect subsidiaries, which shapes capital allocation and strategic direction.
Show full overview
Feed ingredient costs represent the single largest earnings driver across all three of Pilgrim's Pride's segments. Corn alone accounts for 45.9% of feed costs, with soybean meal at 33.7%, creating significant earnings sensitivity to global grain markets that are subject to weather-driven supply disruptions and shifting agricultural policies. The company purchases derivative financial instruments to manage feed cost exposure, but these are not designated as cash flow hedges — meaning fair value changes flow directly through earnings. The EU's Deforestation Regulation, effective December 30, 2026, may impose additional diligence requirements on soy and grain sourcing for European operations, which could weigh on segment compliance costs.
See also: Consumer Defensive · Packaged Foods
From Pilgrim's Pride Corporation's most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 11, 2026.
Recent developments
updated 2026-10-29Recent Developments — Pilgrim's Pride Corporation
Latest news
- NEWS PILGRIM'S PRIDE ($PPC) Releases Q1 2026 Earnings - Quiver Quantitative — Quiver Quantitative neutral
- NEWS Pilgrim's Pride (NASDAQ:PPC) Surprises With Q1 CY2026 Sales - StockStory — StockStory positive
- NEWS Pilgrim's Pride (NASDAQ:PPC) Reaches New 1-Year Low - Should You Sell? - MarketBeat — MarketBeat negative
- NEWS Is Pilgrim's Pride's U.S. Fresh Segment Driving Margin Stability? - MSN — MSN positive
- NEWS Earnings Preview: Pilgrim's Pride (PPC) Q1 Earnings Expected to Decline - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance negative
Generated 2026-10-29T11:08:51Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- LOWCustomertwo largest customers17%10-K Item 1: 'Our two largest customers, which operate in the U.S., together accounted for approximately 16.8% and 16.6% of our consolidated net sales in 2025 and 2024, respectively.'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy
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Rating Breakdown
4 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static
Revenue shrinking — -2.8% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static
Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $26.38: Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 29, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $24.72. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.
Analyst target: $28.71 (+8.8% upside). Prior stop was $24.72. Stop-loss: $24.72.
Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0).
Pilgrim's Pride Corporation trades at a P/E of 11.5 (forward 9.9). TrendMatrix value score: 8.6/10. Verdict: Sell.
13 analysts cover PPC with a consensus score of 3.5/5. Average price target: $33.
What does Pilgrim's Pride Corporation do?Pilgrim's Pride produces, processes, and distributes fresh, frozen, and value-added chicken and pork products through...
Pilgrim's Pride produces, processes, and distributes fresh, frozen, and value-added chicken and pork products through U.S., Europe, and Mexico segments, generating $18.5 billion in net sales in fiscal 2025. Revenue comes from foodservice chains, retail grocers, and wholesale clubs, with the top-two U.S. customers representing ~16.8% of consolidated net sales. JBS S.A. beneficially owns 82.28% of outstanding common stock.