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Zions Bancorporation N.A. (ZION) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $63.49, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Single-region cliff: 77% exposure to Utah, Idaho, Texas, and California (≥60% threshold). Regional macroeconomic shock = idiosyncratic terminal risk.; Concentration risk — Geographic: Utah, Idaho, Texas, and California (77.0%).

Zions Bancorporation operates seven affiliate banks across 11 Western U.S. states with approximately $89B in total assets and $3.4B net revenue in 2025. Revenue comes from net interest income and fees serving over one million customers through 407 branches in commercial banking,... Read more

$63.49+6.5% A.UpsideScore 6.2/10#37 of 142 Banks - Regional
Entry $58.71(support + ATR)Stop $56.26Target $62.52(resistance)A.R:R -0.4:1Setup A.R:R 1.6:1
Analyst target$68.15+7.3%20 analysts
$62.52our TP
$63.49price
$68.15mean
$78

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $63.49, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Single-region cliff: 77% exposure to Utah, Idaho, Texas, and California (≥60% threshold). Regional macroeconomic shock = idiosyncratic terminal risk.; Concentration risk — Geographic: Utah, Idaho, Texas, and California (77.0%). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 61, MACD bullish. Downgraded from BUY WAIT — price $63.49 has reached target $62.52. No upside to wait for. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.60, earnings proximity 80d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and finsvc regional cliff hard block. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Positive news sentiment (+0.67)
Strong growth profile
Risks
Single-region cliff: 77% exposure to Utah, Idaho, Texas, and California (≥60% threshold). Regional macroeconomic shock = idiosyncratic terminal risk.
Concentration risk — Geographic: Utah, Idaho, Texas, and California (77.0%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)9.8
P/E (Fwd)9.5
Mkt Cap$9.3B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn28.4%
ROE14.1%
Rev Growth10.2%
Beta0.80
Dividend2.84%
Rating analysts30

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.43bullish
IV46%normal
Max Pain$23-64.6% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicUtah, Idaho, Texas, and California77%
    10-K Item 1A: 'our banking operations in Utah, Idaho, Texas, and California represented 77% of our commercial lending portfolio'
  • MEDIUMTenantoil and gas-related lending
    10-K Item 1A: 'We have a concentration of risk within our loan portfolio, including, but not limited to, loans secured by real estate, oil and gas-related lending'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
0.5
Bollinger
1.7
52w Position
9.3
GatesA.R:R -0.4=NEGATIVEFINSVC REGIONAL CLIFF HARD BLOCKMomentum 6.2>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.60EARNINGS PROXIMITY 80d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
61 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $58.00Resistance $63.80

Price Targets

$56
$59
$63
A.Upside-1.5%
A.R:R-0.4:1
Setup A.R:R (at entry)1.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionMedium conviction
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-3.4% upside)
! NEWS_MOD=+2: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-20 (80d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
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Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ZION stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $63.49, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Single-region cliff: 77% exposure to Utah, Idaho, Texas, and California (≥60% threshold). Regional macroeconomic shock = idiosyncratic terminal risk.; Concentration risk — Geographic: Utah, Idaho, Texas, and California (77.0%). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 61, MACD bullish. Downgraded from BUY WAIT — price $63.49 has reached target $62.52. No upside to wait for. Target $62.52 (-1.5%), stop $56.26 (−12.9%), A.R:R -0.4:1. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ZION stock price target?

Take-profit target: $62.52 (+6.5% upside). Target $62.52 (-1.5%), stop $56.26 (−12.9%), A.R:R -0.4:1. Stop-loss: $56.26.

What are the risks of investing in ZION?

Single-region cliff: 77% exposure to Utah, Idaho, Texas, and California (≥60% threshold). Regional macroeconomic shock = idiosyncratic terminal risk.; Concentration risk — Geographic: Utah, Idaho, Texas, and California (77.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is ZION overvalued or undervalued?

Zions Bancorporation N.A. trades at a P/E of 9.8 (forward 9.5). TrendMatrix value score: 6.8/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about ZION?

30 analysts cover ZION with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $68.

What does Zions Bancorporation N.A. do?Zions Bancorporation operates seven affiliate banks across 11 Western U.S. states with approximately $89B in total...

Zions Bancorporation operates seven affiliate banks across 11 Western U.S. states with approximately $89B in total assets and $3.4B net revenue in 2025. Revenue comes from net interest income and fees serving over one million customers through 407 branches in commercial banking, CRE lending, and retail banking.

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