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PLGOPelagos Insurance Capital LimitHold6.1·$25.63
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Pelagos Insurance Capital is cheaply valued at 6.6x forward earnings with a rising price and attractive growth, but the stock trades 15.4% above the analyst target and recent earnings have been erratic.

Thesis pillars

  • Attractive Valuation Vs Peers→Stable
  • Price Above Analyst Target→Stable
  • Erratic Earnings Record→Stable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Oct 24, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Pelagos Insurance Capital Limit (PLGO) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup · Catalyst-Driven edge

HoldValueGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Insurance - Diversified

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $25.63, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (3.0% away).

Pelagos Insurance Capital Limited provides insurance and reinsurance solutions in Bermuda, the Republic of Ireland, and the United Kingdom. It operates in two segments: Insurance and Reinsurance. The Insurance segment offers property, marine, asset backed finance and portfolio... Read more

$25.63-14.6% A.UpsideScore 6.1/10#6 of 12 Insurance - Diversified
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield21.71%
IncomeYield2.34%Payout14.74%sustainable
Stop $24.59Analyst target $21.90(reached)A.R:R -1.9:1
Analyst consensus$25.17-1.8%9 analysts
$25.63price
$25.17mean
$22
$29

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $25.63, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (3.0% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 67, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Nov 11, 202613d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (3.0% away)
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)6.3
P/E (Fwd)6.5
Mkt Cap$2.1B
EV/EBITDA—
Profit Mgn15.9%
ROE17.6%
Rev Growth10.3%
Beta0.29
Dividend2.34%
Rating analysts16

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R -1.9=NEGATIVEMomentum 5.3<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 13d<=14d (soft)Momentum 5.3>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
67 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $23.61Resistance $26.41

Price Targets

A.Upside-14.6%
A.R:R-1.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-14.6% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-11 (13d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PLGO stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $25.63, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (3.0% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 67, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Analyst target $21.90 reached (−14.6%), stop $24.59 (−4.2%), A.R:R -1.9:1. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PLGO stock price target?

Analyst target $21.90 reached (−14.6% from $25.63); no take-profit level is published. Analyst target $21.90 reached (−14.6%), stop $24.59 (−4.2%), A.R:R -1.9:1. Stop-loss: $24.59.

What are the risks of investing in PLGO?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (3.0% away); V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2).

Is PLGO overvalued or undervalued?

Pelagos Insurance Capital Limit trades at a P/E of 6.3 (forward 6.5). TrendMatrix value score: 8.5/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about PLGO?

16 analysts cover PLGO with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $25.

What does Pelagos Insurance Capital Limit do?Pelagos Insurance Capital Limited provides insurance and reinsurance solutions in Bermuda, the Republic of Ireland, and...

Pelagos Insurance Capital Limited provides insurance and reinsurance solutions in Bermuda, the Republic of Ireland, and the United Kingdom. It operates in two segments: Insurance and Reinsurance. The Insurance segment offers property, marine, asset backed finance and portfolio credit, aviation and aerospace, political risk, violence and terror, energy, cyber, and other insurance risks products. The Reinsurance segment provides property, retrocession, and whole account reinsurance solutions. The company was formerly known as Fidelis Insurance Holdings Limited and changed its name to Pelagos Insurance Capital Limited in May 2026. Pelagos Insurance Capital Limited was incorporated in 2014 and is headquartered in Pembroke, Bermuda.

Related stocks: XZO (Exzeo Group, Inc.) · IGIC (International General Insurance) · AEG (Aegon Ltd. New York Registry Sh) · BNT (Brookfield Wealth Solutions Ltd)
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