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AEGAegon Ltd. New York Registry ShSell5.2·$8.54-1.33%
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Aegon Ltd. New York Registry Sh (AEG) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Insurance - Diversified

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $8.54: Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality.

Aegon Ltd. Engages in the provision of insurance, pensions, retirement, and asset management services in the Americas, the Netherlands, the United Kingdom, and internationally. It operates through three segments: Distribution, Protection Solutions, and Savings & Investments. The... Read more

$8.54-1.5% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#10 of 12 Insurance - Diversified
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield-1.56%
IncomeYield5.41%(5y avg 4.69%)Payout62.81%
Stop $8.27Target $8.42(resistance)A.R:R -1.0:1
Analyst target$9.38+9.9%3 analysts
$8.42our TP
$8.54price
$9.38mean
$10

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $8.54: Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 51, MACD bullish. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 65d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 20, 202665d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (-6.7% upside)
Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)12.6
P/E (Fwd)9.4
Mkt Cap$13.1B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn8.0%
ROE10.4%
Rev Growth-13.7%
Beta0.64
Dividend5.41%
Rating analysts20

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.33bullish
IV67%elevated
Max Pain$3-70.7% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Fcf Quality
0.0
Roa
0.1
Operating Margin
0.1
Roe
3.5
Net Margin
4.0
Moat
4.6
Gross Margin
4.8
Current Ratio
5.0
Piotroski F
7.8
Earnings quality RED FLAG: -21% FCF/NINo competitive moatStrong Piotroski F-Score: 7/9

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.8
Quality Rank
1.7
Value Rank
6.6

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.0
Earnings History
3.3
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Dividend Safety
6.0
Earnings concerns: 2B/2MDividend: 541.0%
GatesA.R:R -1.0=NEGATIVEMomentum 6.6>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 65d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
51 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $7.97Resistance $8.59

Price Targets

$8
$8
A.Upside-1.4%
A.R:R-1.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-6.7% upside)
! Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-20 (65d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is AEG stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $8.54: Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 51, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $8.27. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the AEG stock price target?

Take-profit target: $8.42 (-1.5% upside). Prior stop was $8.27. Stop-loss: $8.27.

What are the risks of investing in AEG?

Target reached (-6.7% upside); Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0).

Is AEG overvalued or undervalued?

Aegon Ltd. New York Registry Sh trades at a P/E of 12.6 (forward 9.4). TrendMatrix value score: 8.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about AEG?

20 analysts cover AEG with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $9.

What does Aegon Ltd. New York Registry Sh do?Aegon Ltd. Engages in the provision of insurance, pensions, retirement, and asset management services in the Americas,...

Aegon Ltd. Engages in the provision of insurance, pensions, retirement, and asset management services in the Americas, the Netherlands, the United Kingdom, and internationally. It operates through three segments: Distribution, Protection Solutions, and Savings & Investments. The company offers retirement plans, mutual funds, and stable value solutions; and annuities, individual life, life and health, and individual health. The company provides its products under the Transamerica and World Financial Group brands. Aegon Ltd. was founded in 1844 and is headquartered in Schiphol, the Netherlands.

Related stocks: HIG (The Hartford Insurance Group, I) · ACGL (Arch Capital Group Ltd.) · AIG (American International Group, I) · FIHL (Fidelis Insurance Holdings Limi) · SLF (Sun Life Financial Inc.)
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