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PHVSPharvaris N.V.Sell5.1·$32.82
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Pharvaris is a cash-burning clinical-stage biotech with a quality score of only 1.5 out of 10, but strong analyst conviction with 48% upside to targets and a momentum breakout pattern — the risk profile is speculative with 3 of the last 4 earnings misses.

Thesis pillars

  • Quality Floor Breach Cash Burn→Stable
  • Earnings Miss Pattern↑Improving
  • Analyst Conviction Upside↑Improving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Pharvaris N.V. (PHVS) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5QualityModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Biotechnology

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $32.82: Quality below floor (1.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10 and A.R:R 3.5:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 9.27; Below-average business quality.

Pharvaris N.V., a late-stage biopharmaceutical company, focuses on the development and commercialization of therapies for rare diseases with unmet needs covering angioedema and other bradykinin-mediated diseases. The company develops deucrictibant, a small molecule bradykinin... Read more

$32.82+52.1% A.UpsideScore 5.1/10#156 of 241 Biotechnology
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield-3.92%
Stop $30.52Analyst target $49.92(−13% haircut)A.R:R 3.5:1
Analyst consensus$57.38+74.8%14 analysts
$49.92Analyst target
$32.82price
$57.38mean
$79

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $32.82: Quality below floor (1.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10 and A.R:R 3.5:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 9.27; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on clean insider activity. Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29

Recent Developments — Pharvaris N.V.

Generated 2026-10-29T11:14:35Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Nov 12, 202613d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (1.6 < 4.0)
Value-trap signals (2/5): Revenue declining (-22.6% YoY), Negative free cash flow

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)—
P/E (Fwd)-10.7
Mkt Cap$2.3B
EV/EBITDA-10.9
Profit Mgn0.0%
ROE-70.5%
Rev Growth—
Beta-2.46
DividendNone
Rating analysts21

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C9.27bearish
IV79%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Gross Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Piotroski F
4.4
Moat
4.8
Current Ratio
5.0
Cash-burning (FCF negative)No competitive moatQuality concerns

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.1
Support Resistance
0.1
52w Position
5.2

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
News Activity
8.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/3MEarnings in 13 days
GatesINSIDER 0.89%=HEAVYEARNINGS PROXIMITY 13d<=14d (soft)Momentum 6.6>=5.5A.R:R 3.5 ≥ 1.5No SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Speculative
RSI
60 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $27.68Resistance $32.86

Price Targets

$31
$50
A.Upside+52.1%
A.R:R3.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (1.6 < 4.0)
! Value-trap signals (2/5): Revenue declining (-22.6% YoY), Negative free cash flow
! Insider activity: 0.89%=heavy

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-12 (13d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PHVS stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $32.82: Quality below floor (1.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10 and A.R:R 3.5:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 9.27; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $30.52. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PHVS stock price target?

Analyst target: $49.92 (+52.1% upside). Prior stop was $30.52. Stop-loss: $30.52.

What are the risks of investing in PHVS?

Quality below floor (1.6 < 4.0); Value-trap signals (2/5): Revenue declining (-22.6% YoY), Negative free cash flow.

Is PHVS overvalued or undervalued?

Pharvaris N.V. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -10.7). TrendMatrix value score: 9.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about PHVS?

21 analysts cover PHVS with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $57.

What does Pharvaris N.V. do?Pharvaris N.V., a late-stage biopharmaceutical company, focuses on the development and commercialization of therapies...

Pharvaris N.V., a late-stage biopharmaceutical company, focuses on the development and commercialization of therapies for rare diseases with unmet needs covering angioedema and other bradykinin-mediated diseases. The company develops deucrictibant, a small molecule bradykinin B2-receptor antagonist to treat attacks due to bradykinin-mediated angioedema, including hereditary angioedema (HAE) and acquired angioedema due to C1-inhibitor deficiency (AAE-C1INH), which is in phase 3, as well as in phase 3 trials for treatment and prophylaxis of HAE attacks; and extended-release tablet and immediate-release capsule formulation of deucrictibant. Pharvaris N.V. was incorporated in 2015 and is headquartered in Zug, Switzerland.

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