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PGNYProgyny, Inc.Hold5.9·$27.87
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Progyny has delivered four consecutive earnings beats averaging 15.5% above estimates with excellent free cash flow conversion of 296%, but the stock has reached analyst targets and the current price offers no meaningful upside cushion.

Thesis pillars

  • Quality Cashflow Strength→Stable
  • Earnings Beat Consistency↑Improving
  • Valuation Target Exhaustion↓Deteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 27, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Progyny, Inc. (PGNY) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Healthcare Plans

Earnings in 6 days (2026-11-04). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $27.87, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 7.4%; Earnings in 6 days (event risk).

Progyny, Inc., a benefits management company, provides fertility, family building, and women's health benefits solutions in the United States. It offers fertility benefits solutions, such as differentiated benefits plan design that includes smart cycle treatment bundle;... Read more

$27.87+7.4% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#3 of 11 Healthcare Plans
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield9.19%
Stop $26.15Analyst target $29.94(−13% haircut)A.R:R 0.7:1
Analyst consensus$34.42+23.5%12 analysts
$29.94Analyst target
$27.87price
$34.42mean
$40

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $27.87, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 7.4%; Earnings in 6 days (event risk). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 50, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 6d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Nov 4, 20266d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Healthcare): +0.5
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Attractive valuation
Risks
Thin upside margin: 7.4%
Earnings in 6 days (event risk)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)30.3
P/E (Fwd)12.0
Mkt Cap$2.1B
EV/EBITDA15.4
Profit Mgn6.0%
ROE16.2%
Rev Growth5.3%
Beta1.02
DividendNone
Rating analysts18

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C3.00bearish
IV84%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomertechnology industry clients
    10-K Item 1A: 'In addition, we generate a significant portion of our revenue from clients in the technology industry.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R 0.7 < 1.5@spotEARNINGS PROXIMITY 6d<=7dMomentum 4.6<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.6>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
50 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $24.79Resistance $29.25

Price Targets

$26
$30
A.Upside+7.4%
A.R:R0.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! asymmetry at 0.7 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:6d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-04 (6d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PGNY stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $27.87, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 7.4%; Earnings in 6 days (event risk). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 50, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Analyst target $29.94 (+7.4%), stop $26.15 (−6.6%), A.R:R 0.7:1. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PGNY stock price target?

Analyst target: $29.94 (+7.4% upside). Analyst target $29.94 (+7.4%), stop $26.15 (−6.6%), A.R:R 0.7:1. Stop-loss: $26.15.

What are the risks of investing in PGNY?

Thin upside margin: 7.4%; Earnings in 6 days (event risk).

Is PGNY overvalued or undervalued?

Progyny, Inc. trades at a P/E of 30.3 (forward 12.0). TrendMatrix value score: 7.2/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about PGNY?

18 analysts cover PGNY with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $34.

What does Progyny, Inc. do?Progyny, Inc., a benefits management company, provides fertility, family building, and women's health benefits...

Progyny, Inc., a benefits management company, provides fertility, family building, and women's health benefits solutions in the United States. It offers fertility benefits solutions, such as differentiated benefits plan design that includes smart cycle treatment bundle; personalized concierge-style member support services; and a selective network of fertility specialists. The company also offers Progyny Rx, an integrated pharmacy benefits solution that provides access to the medications needed during their treatment and offers care management services, as well as pregnancy and postpartum, menopause and midlife, benefit and leave navigation, and parent and child wellbeing solutions. In addition, it provides assistance service program where various services can be offered through a reimbursement program, including adoption, surrogacy, doula, and travel reimbursement when travel is required to receive medical services. The company was formerly known as Auxogyn, Inc. and changed its name to Progyny, Inc. in 2015. Progyny, Inc. was incorporated in 2008 and is headquartered in New York, New York.

Related stocks: OSCR (Oscar Health, Inc.) · ALHC (Alignment Healthcare, Inc.) · CLOV (Clover Health Investments, Corp) · MOH (Molina Healthcare Inc)
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