Skip to main content
OTTROtter Tail CorporationSell5.2·$89.55+1.87%
Open full analysis

Otter Tail Corporation (OTTR) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Industrials · Conglomerates

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $89.55 — A.R:R is negative (-1.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (2.8% away).

Otter Tail Corporation is a diversified holding company with Electric utility (43% of 2025 revenues, serving ~134,000 customers in MN/ND/SD), Manufacturing (BTD, T.O. Plastics), and Plastics (Northern Pipe, Vinyltech PVC pipe) segments. Revenue from regulated electric rates,... Read more

$89.55-1.4% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#4 of 9 Conglomerates
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield-1.99%
IncomeYield2.51%(5y avg 2.40%)Payout32.32%sustainable
Stop $86.24Target $88.44(resistance)A.R:R -1.8:1
Analyst target$90.50+1.1%2 analysts
$88.44our TP
$89.55price
$90.50mean
$86
$95

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $89.55 — A.R:R is negative (-1.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (2.8% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 62, MACD bullish. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 55d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-09
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Aug 3, 202655d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Positive momentum
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (2.8% away)
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)13.2
P/E (Fwd)16.5
Mkt Cap$3.7B
EV/EBITDA9.7
Profit Mgn21.3%
ROE15.5%
Rev Growth2.9%
Beta0.45
Dividend2.51%
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.80neutral
IV60%elevated
Max Pain$80-10.7% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • LOWCustomertop-2 Electric segment customers16%
    10-K Item 1A: 'two customers combined to account for 16% of Electric segment revenues'
  • MEDIUMCustomertop-3 Manufacturing segment customers44%
    10-K Item 1A: 'three customers combined to account for 44% of Manufacturing segment operating revenues'
  • MEDIUMCustomertop-2 Plastics segment customers47%
    10-K Item 1A: 'two customers combined to account for 47% of Plastics segment operating revenues'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-14Item 5.02LOW
    Tim Rogelstad elected as President of Otter Tail Corporation effective April 13, 2026; Charles MacFarlane stepped down as President but remains CEO. Internal promotion. CFO appointment details in same filing were truncated.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Revenue Growth
3.2
Earnings Growth
3.4

Negative sentiment — recent news tone and/or analyst downgrades drag the composite below neutral.static

Erm Sentiment
0.0
Analyst Rating
5.0
Price Target
5.1
Estimates falling as sentiment proxy (-37.3%)

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
0.8
Bollinger
1.0
52w Position
9.6
GatesA.R:R -1.8=NEGATIVEExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 7.1>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 55d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
62 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $82.74Resistance $90.25

Price Targets

$86
$88
A.Upside-1.2%
A.R:R-1.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-14.2% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-03 (55d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is OTTR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $89.55 — A.R:R is negative (-1.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (2.8% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 62, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $86.24. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the OTTR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $88.44 (-1.4% upside). Prior stop was $86.24. Stop-loss: $86.24.

What are the risks of investing in OTTR?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (2.8% away); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

Is OTTR overvalued or undervalued?

Otter Tail Corporation trades at a P/E of 13.2 (forward 16.5). TrendMatrix value score: 6.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about OTTR?

9 analysts cover OTTR with a consensus score of 2.4/5. Average price target: $91.

What does Otter Tail Corporation do?Otter Tail Corporation is a diversified holding company with Electric utility (43% of 2025 revenues, serving ~134,000...

Otter Tail Corporation is a diversified holding company with Electric utility (43% of 2025 revenues, serving ~134,000 customers in MN/ND/SD), Manufacturing (BTD, T.O. Plastics), and Plastics (Northern Pipe, Vinyltech PVC pipe) segments. Revenue from regulated electric rates, metal fabrication, and PVC pipe sales to municipal, commercial, and residential markets.

Related stocks: PAM (Pampa Energia S.A.) · DLX (Deluxe Corporation) · SEB (Seaboard Corporation) · VMI (Valmont Industries, Inc.) · TTI (Tetra Technologies, Inc.)
Home Stocks OTTR

Latest news

Latest News

MarketBeat47d ago
MarketBeat46d agoAnalyst
HarianBasis.co51d agoLeadership Change
Yahoo Finance51d agoLeadership Change
Yahoo Finance49d ago
MarketBeat49d agoEarnings
Benzinga17d agoLegal
Benzinga41d agoEarnings
Benzinga42d agoEarnings
Benzinga42d ago
Benzinga42d agoEarnings
Benzinga62d agoLeadership Change