Skip to main content

Oric Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (ORIC) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Healthcare · Biotechnology

Earnings in 3 days (2026-05-04). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $10.12: Quality below floor (1.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.8/10 and A.R:R 6.0:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 19%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

ORIC Pharmaceuticals, Inc., a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, engages in the discovery and development of therapies to counter the resistance mechanisms in cancers in the United States. Its clinical stage product candidates include enozertinib formerly known as... Read more

$10.12+81.8% A.UpsideScore 4.8/10#102 of 158 Biotechnology
Stop $9.35Target $18.27(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 6.0:1
Analyst target$21.00+107.5%13 analysts
$18.27our TP
$10.12price
$21.00mean
$25

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $10.12: Quality below floor (1.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.8/10 and A.R:R 6.0:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 19%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: RSI 45 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and earnings proximity 3d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (1.4 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-6.4
Mkt Cap$1.0B
EV/EBITDA-5.1
Profit Mgn0.0%
ROE-41.3%
Rev Growth
Beta1.36
DividendNone
Rating analysts21

Quality Signals

Piotroski F2/9

Options Flow

P/C0.65bullish
IV198%elevated
Max Pain$27+166.8% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Gross Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Piotroski F
2.2
Current Ratio
5.0
Moat
5.0
Cash-burning (FCF negative)No competitive moatWeak Piotroski F-Score: 2/9Quality concerns

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.2
Macd
4.0
Rsi
4.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+0.5%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness
GatesMomentum 2.3<4.5EARNINGS PROXIMITY 3d<=7dA.R:R 6.0 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
45 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $8.68Resistance $11.16

Price Targets

$9
$18
A.Upside+80.5%
A.R:R6.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (1.4 < 4.0)
! Momentum score 2.3/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:3d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-04 (3d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ORIC stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $10.12: Quality below floor (1.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.8/10 and A.R:R 6.0:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 19%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: RSI 45 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $9.35. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ORIC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $18.27 (+81.8% upside). Prior stop was $9.35. Stop-loss: $9.35.

What are the risks of investing in ORIC?

Quality below floor (1.4 < 4.0).

Is ORIC overvalued or undervalued?

Oric Pharmaceuticals, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -6.4). TrendMatrix value score: 9.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ORIC?

21 analysts cover ORIC with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $21.

What does Oric Pharmaceuticals, Inc. do?ORIC Pharmaceuticals, Inc., a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, engages in the discovery and development of...

ORIC Pharmaceuticals, Inc., a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, engages in the discovery and development of therapies to counter the resistance mechanisms in cancers in the United States. Its clinical stage product candidates include enozertinib formerly known as ORIC-114, a brain penetrant orally bioavailable irreversible inhibitor, currently under Phase 1b study, that selectively target epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR) exon 20 and human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 exon 20 with high potency towards exon 20 insertion mutations; and rinzimetostat formerly known as ORIC-944, an allosteric inhibitor of the polycomb repressive complex 2 for prostate cancer, currently under Phase 1b study. It has a clinical trial collaboration and supply agreement with Bayer to evaluate ORIC-944 in combination with Nubeqa AR inhibitor; and a clinical trial collaboration and supply agreement with Johnson & Johnson to evaluate ORIC 944 in combination with Erleada AR inhibitor. The company was incorporated in 2014 and is headquartered in South San Francisco, California.

Related stocks: NVAX (Novavax, Inc.) · HRMY (Harmony Biosciences Holdings, I) · AUPH (Aurinia Pharmaceuticals Inc) · CPRX (Catalyst Pharmaceuticals, Inc.) · PHAR (Pharming Group N.V.)