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OMFOneMain Holdings, Inc.Buy Wait6.2·$56.71-0.02%
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OneMain Holdings, Inc. (OMF) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

Buy WaitVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Financial Services · Credit Services

Wait for pullback to $53.37. At $56.71 the A.R:R is 0.5:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $53.37 (Default 5pct Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Thin upside margin: 4.0%; Leverage penalty (D/E 6.6): -1.5.

OneMain Holdings is a leading nonprime consumer lender operating through more than 1,300 branch locations in 48 states plus digital channels, offering personal loans, auto finance, and credit cards. As of December 31, 2025, it had $24.8 billion in finance receivables from... Read more

$56.71+9.5% A.UpsideScore 6.2/10#9 of 29 Credit Services
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield7.41%(5y avg 8.75%)Payout62.30%
Entry $53.37(Default 5pct Sticky)Stop $50.42Target $58.97(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.5:1Setup A.R:R 1.7:1
Analyst target$67.79+19.5%14 analysts
$58.97our TP
$56.71price
$67.79mean
$85

Wait for pullback to $53.37. At $56.71 the A.R:R is 0.5:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $53.37 (Default 5pct Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Thin upside margin: 4.0%; Leverage penalty (D/E 6.6): -1.5. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 63. V9 Gate blocked: R/R 0.5x at spot < 1.5 minimum. Wait for improvement. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 8/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 38d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear, sector concentration cap sector=financial services 3/10). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 23, 202638d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
High-quality business
Attractive valuation
Risks
Thin upside margin: 4.0%
Leverage penalty (D/E 6.6): -1.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)8.5
P/E (Fwd)6.5
Mkt Cap$6.6B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn26.2%
ROE23.9%
Rev Growth9.1%
Beta1.21
Dividend7.41%
Rating analysts20

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.67bullish
IV59%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
1.4
52w Position
6.4
GatesA.R:R 0.5 < 1.5@spotMomentum 6.6>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 38d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSECTOR CONCENTRATION CAP sector=Financial Services 3/10RecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
63 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $52.19Resistance $57.46

Price Targets

$50
$53
$59
A.Upside+4.0%
A.R:R0.5:1
Setup A.R:R (at entry)1.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %1.4%
Max %2.7%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! R/R 0.5x at spot < 1.5 minimum
! asymmetry at 0.5 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-23 (38d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is OMF stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $53.37. At $56.71 the A.R:R is 0.5:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $53.37 (Default 5pct Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Thin upside margin: 4.0%; Leverage penalty (D/E 6.6): -1.5. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 63. V9 Gate blocked: R/R 0.5x at spot < 1.5 minimum. Wait for improvement. Target $58.97 (+4.0%), stop $50.42 (−12.5%), Setup A.R:R 1.7:1. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the OMF stock price target?

Take-profit target: $58.97 (+9.5% upside). Target $58.97 (+4.0%), stop $50.42 (−12.5%), Setup A.R:R 1.7:1. Stop-loss: $50.42.

What are the risks of investing in OMF?

Thin upside margin: 4.0%; Leverage penalty (D/E 6.6): -1.5.

Is OMF overvalued or undervalued?

OneMain Holdings, Inc. trades at a P/E of 8.5 (forward 6.5). TrendMatrix value score: 8.3/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about OMF?

20 analysts cover OMF with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $68.

What does OneMain Holdings, Inc. do?OneMain Holdings is a leading nonprime consumer lender operating through more than 1,300 branch locations in 48 states...

OneMain Holdings is a leading nonprime consumer lender operating through more than 1,300 branch locations in 48 states plus digital channels, offering personal loans, auto finance, and credit cards. As of December 31, 2025, it had $24.8 billion in finance receivables from approximately 3.6 million customer accounts.

Related stocks: ECPG (Encore Capital Group Inc) · ENVA (Enova International, Inc.) · EZPW (EZCORP, Inc.) · JCAP (Jefferson Capital, Inc.) · ALLY (Ally Financial Inc.)
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