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OneMain Holdings, Inc. (OMF) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Financial Services · Credit Services

Sell if holding. At $57.22, A.R:R 0.6:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 6.7): -1.5; Thin upside margin: 3.8%.

OneMain is a nonprime consumer finance company with 1,300+ branch locations in 48 states offering personal loans, auto finance, and BrightWay credit cards. At December 31, 2025, it had $24.8 billion in finance receivables from approximately 3.6 million customer accounts. It... Read more

$57.22+3.8% A.UpsideScore 6.4/10#4 of 28 Credit Services
Stop $54.10Target $59.16(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.6:1
Analyst target$68.00+18.8%14 analysts
$59.16our TP
$57.22price
$68.00mean
$85

Sell if holding. At $57.22, A.R:R 0.6:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 6.7): -1.5; Thin upside margin: 3.8%. Chart setup: RSI 51 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/6 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
High-quality business
Attractive valuation
Risks
Thin upside margin: 3.8%
Leverage penalty (D/E 6.7): -1.5
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)9.0
P/E (Fwd)6.7
Mkt Cap$6.8B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn26.3%
ROE23.8%
Rev Growth12.2%
Beta1.26
Dividend7.15%
Rating analysts19

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C1.51bearish
IV60%elevated
Max Pain$48-17.0% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMGeographicgeographic customer concentration
    10-K Item 1A: 'We also are exposed to geographic customer concentration risk'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume
0.0
Macd
1.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
4.2
Rsi
4.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+0.9%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness
GatesMomentum 2.1<4.5A.R:R 0.6 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
51 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $53.64Resistance $60.45

Price Targets

$54
$59
A.Upside+3.4%
A.R:R0.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 2.1/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Reward/Risk 0.6:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-01 (nulld)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is OMF stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $57.22, A.R:R 0.6:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 6.7): -1.5; Thin upside margin: 3.8%. Chart setup: RSI 51 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $54.10. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the OMF stock price target?

Take-profit target: $59.16 (+3.8% upside). Prior stop was $54.10. Stop-loss: $54.10.

What are the risks of investing in OMF?

Thin upside margin: 3.8%; Leverage penalty (D/E 6.7): -1.5; Negative momentum.

Is OMF overvalued or undervalued?

OneMain Holdings, Inc. trades at a P/E of 9.0 (forward 6.7). TrendMatrix value score: 8.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about OMF?

19 analysts cover OMF with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $68.

What does OneMain Holdings, Inc. do?OneMain is a nonprime consumer finance company with 1,300+ branch locations in 48 states offering personal loans, auto...

OneMain is a nonprime consumer finance company with 1,300+ branch locations in 48 states offering personal loans, auto finance, and BrightWay credit cards. At December 31, 2025, it had $24.8 billion in finance receivables from approximately 3.6 million customer accounts. It targets the approximately $1.3 trillion U.S. nonprime consumer credit market.

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