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ODCOil-Dri Corporation Of AmericaSell4.9·$75.03
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Oil-Dri Corporation has formed a bullish technical breakout with strong quality metrics, but a consecutive earnings-miss pattern and a negative news-driven downgrade to sell-if-holding cloud the near-term outlook.

Thesis pillars

  • Negative News Modifier Downgrade→Stable
  • Consecutive Earnings Misses→Stable
  • Bullish Technical Breakout→Stable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 5, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Oct 8, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Oil-Dri Corporation Of America (ODC) Stock Analysis

SellQualityModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Specialty Chemicals

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.6/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $75.03 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Consecutive earnings misses (4); Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1.

Oil-Dri mines calcium bentonite, attapulgite and diatomaceous shale in Mississippi, Georgia, Illinois and California and sells the resulting sorbents through two segments: Retail and Wholesale (Cat's Pride and Jonny Cat litter, private label, industrial absorbents, sports... Read more

$75.03+21.3% A.UpsideScore 4.9/10#39 of 43 Specialty Chemicals
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield2.49%
IncomeYield1.20%(5y avg 1.63%)Payout25.38%sustainable
Stop $69.78Resistance target $91.00A.R:R 0.0:1

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.6/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $75.03 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Consecutive earnings misses (4); Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 39d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Oil-Dri Corporation Of America

About Oil-Dri Corporation Of America

Oil-Dri mines calcium bentonite, attapulgite and diatomaceous shale at sites in Mississippi, Georgia, Illinois and California and processes them into sorbent products, with proven and probable reserves of 228.5 million tons as of July 31, 2026. The company reported approximately 927 employees worldwide and sells cat litter, industrial absorbents, sports field products, edible-oil purification clays and animal health additives. Walmart and its affiliates accounted for approximately 18% of net sales in fiscal 2026, against 19% in fiscal 2025.

Oil-Dri reports two segments. Retail and Wholesale Products sells Cat's Pride and Jonny Cat clay litter, private label litter, crystal litter acquired with Ultra Pet on May 1, 2024, floor absorbents and Pro's Choice sports field products through mass merchandisers, grocery, drug, dollar and pet outlets and online retailers; it also makes certain Fresh Step litter products for a Clorox subsidiary under long-term supply agreements. Business to Business Products sells bleaching clays to edible oil processors and renewable diesel refiners, Agsorb and Verge carriers to agricultural chemical makers, and Amlan animal health products in the U.S., Latin America, Mexico, Asia and Africa. The filing names six principal competitors in the retail segment, one of which is also a customer, and ten in the business segment, where bleaching products compete in a highly cost competitive global market. Natural gas fuels the processing kilns, and some forward purchase contracts moderate price swings.

Show full overview

Customer concentration is the clearest lens. Walmart is described as a long-term relationship, yet the 10-K says sales rest mainly on individual orders rather than fixed-duration contracts, so most customers could cut purchases on relatively short notice. Large retailers may also demand lower prices, special packaging or shorter lead times, and a shift of shelf space toward private label would weigh on branded litter. No Business to Business customer reached 10% of total sales, which limits the exposure to the retail side, though the filing warns that a loss of Walmart or another top customer could harm sales and profitability.

See also: Basic Materials · Specialty Chemicals

From Oil-Dri Corporation Of America's most recent 10-K filing, extracted October 18, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Dec 7, 202639d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1
Consecutive earnings misses (4)
Weak overall score: 4.9/10

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)19.1
P/E (Fwd)—
Mkt Cap$1.1B
EV/EBITDA11.6
Profit Mgn11.5%
ROE20.5%
Rev Growth3.3%
Beta0.76
Dividend1.20%
Rating analysts—

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • LOWCustomerWalmart18%
    10-K Item 1: 'Sales to Walmart and its affiliates accounted for approximately 18% and 19% of our total net sales for fiscal years 2026 and 2025'
  • MEDIUMCommodityclay mining for sorbent minerals supply
    10-K Item 1A: 'We depend on our mining operations, and quality of the clay mined, for a majority of our supply of sorbent minerals.'
  • MEDIUMSupplierlimited number of suppliers of raw materials and packaging
    10-K Item 1A: 'Some of our products require raw materials and/or packaging that are provided by a limited number of suppliers and/or service providers'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Volume
1.1
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
3.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+6.8%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
News Activity
5.0
Dividend Safety
6.8
Earnings concerns: 0B/4M

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Revenue Growth
3.3
Earnings Growth
4.2
GatesMomentum 1.6<4.5A.R:R UPSIDE_EXHAUSTED (upside=0.0%)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 39d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
33 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $67.74Resistance $92.86

Price Targets

$70
$91
A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 1.6 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-12-07 (39d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ODC stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.6/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $75.03 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Consecutive earnings misses (4); Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $69.78. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ODC stock price target?

Resistance target: $91.00 (+21.3% upside). Prior stop was $69.78. Stop-loss: $69.78.

What are the risks of investing in ODC?

Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1; Consecutive earnings misses (4); Weak overall score: 4.9/10.

Is ODC overvalued or undervalued?

Oil-Dri Corporation Of America trades at a P/E of 19.1 (forward N/A). TrendMatrix value score: 5.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

0
What does Oil-Dri Corporation Of America do?Oil-Dri mines calcium bentonite, attapulgite and diatomaceous shale in Mississippi, Georgia, Illinois and California...

Oil-Dri mines calcium bentonite, attapulgite and diatomaceous shale in Mississippi, Georgia, Illinois and California and sells the resulting sorbents through two segments: Retail and Wholesale (Cat's Pride and Jonny Cat litter, private label, industrial absorbents, sports fields) and Business to Business (edible-oil and renewable-diesel purification clays, agricultural carriers, animal health). Walmart and its affiliates were about 18% of fiscal 2026 net sales. Proven and probable mineral reserves total 228.5 million tons.

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