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OCSOculis Holding AGHold3.6·$10.56-5.80%
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Oculis Holding AG (OCS) Stock Analysis

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5High Confidence

Healthcare · Biotechnology

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $10.56, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: DATA_ISSUE: analyst_target_implausible (raw $37.99 vs price $10.71 — ratio 3.5×). Rejected, falling back to technical TP.; Market cap $0.65B below $1B minimum.

Oculis Holding AG, a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, develops drug candidates to treat ophthalmic, neuro-ophthalmic, and neurological diseases in Switzerland and internationally. The company's lead product candidate is OCS-01, a topical dexamethasone optireach... Read more

$10.56+215.5% A.UpsideScore 3.6/10#155 of 157 Biotechnology
QualityF-score2 / 9FCF yield-4.29%
Stop $10.20Target $33.79(resistance)A.R:R 0.0:1
Analyst target$37.99+259.8%11 analysts
$33.79our TP
$10.56price
$37.99mean
$52

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $10.56, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: DATA_ISSUE: analyst_target_implausible (raw $37.99 vs price $10.71 — ratio 3.5×). Rejected, falling back to technical TP.; Market cap $0.65B below $1B minimum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Market cap $0.65B below $1B minimum. Not in investable universe. Score 3.6/10, high confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 58d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-09
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 6, 202658d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
DATA_ISSUE: analyst_target_implausible (raw $37.99 vs price $10.71 — ratio 3.5×). Rejected, falling back to technical TP.
Market cap $0.65B below $1B minimum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-5.2
Mkt Cap$647M
EV/EBITDA-5.1
Profit Mgn0.0%
ROE-52.7%
Rev Growth-26.7%
Beta0.13
DividendNone
Rating analysts16

Quality Signals

Piotroski F2/9

Options Flow

P/C15.00bearish
IV227%elevated
Max Pain$8-29.0% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

5 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -26.7% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
0.0
Declining revenue: -27%
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Gross Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Piotroski F
2.2
Moat
2.5
Current Ratio
7.8
Cash-burning: FCF -2472% of revenueNo competitive moatWeak Piotroski F-Score: 2/9Quality concerns

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
3.0
Volume
4.9
Capitulation risk (RSI 17, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+5.3%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
2.1
Quality Rank
2.3
Value Rank
5.0

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
1.4
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
News Activity
7.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/3M
GatesMomentum 2.2<4.5A.R:R UPSIDE_EXHAUSTED (upside=0.0%)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 58d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
17 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $10.52Resistance $34.48

Price Targets

$10
$34
A.Upside+220.0%
A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! DATA_ISSUE: analyst_target_implausible (raw $37.99 vs price $10.71 — ratio 3.5×). Rejected, falling back to technical TP.
! Market cap $0.65B below $1B minimum
! momentum at 2.2 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (58d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is OCS stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $10.56, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: DATA_ISSUE: analyst_target_implausible (raw $37.99 vs price $10.71 — ratio 3.5×). Rejected, falling back to technical TP.; Market cap $0.65B below $1B minimum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Market cap $0.65B below $1B minimum. Not in investable universe. Target $33.79 (+220.0%), stop $10.20 (−3.5%), A.R:R 0.0:1. Score 3.6/10, high confidence.

What is the OCS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $33.79 (+215.5% upside). Target $33.79 (+220.0%), stop $10.20 (−3.5%), A.R:R 0.0:1. Stop-loss: $10.20.

What are the risks of investing in OCS?

DATA_ISSUE: analyst_target_implausible (raw $37.99 vs price $10.71 — ratio 3.5×). Rejected, falling back to technical TP.; Market cap $0.65B below $1B minimum.

Is OCS overvalued or undervalued?

Oculis Holding AG trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -5.2). TrendMatrix value score: 5.0/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about OCS?

16 analysts cover OCS with a consensus score of 4.4/5. Average price target: $38.

What does Oculis Holding AG do?Oculis Holding AG, a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, develops drug candidates to treat ophthalmic,...

Oculis Holding AG, a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, develops drug candidates to treat ophthalmic, neuro-ophthalmic, and neurological diseases in Switzerland and internationally. The company's lead product candidate is OCS-01, a topical dexamethasone optireach formulation, which is in Phase 3 clinical trials for the treatment of diabetic macular edema; OCS-02, a topical biologic candidate that is in Phase 2b clinical trials for the treatment for dry eye disease; and OCS-05, a disease modifying neuroprotective agent for neurological damage with indications for glaucoma, dry age-related macular degeneration and diabetic retinopathy, and acute optic neuritis. Oculis Holding AG was formerly known as Oculis SA and changed its name to Oculis Holding AG in March 2023. The company was founded in 2017 and is based in Zug, Switzerland.

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