Skip to main content
NXQuanex Building Products CorporSell4.9·$16.10-3.01%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Quanex Building Products trades attractively cheap with a favorable risk/reward setup and a solid earnings beat streak, but weak quality metrics and elevated bearish options positioning temper the value case.

Thesis pillars

  • Attractive Valuation Despite QualityStable
  • Quality Floor Breach No MoatStable
  • Earnings Beat Analyst UpsideStable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Quanex Building Products Corpor (NX) Stock Analysis

Inst Constrain edge

SellValueModerate Confidence

Industrials · Building Products & Equipment

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $16.10: Quality below floor (2.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10 and A.R:R 3.9:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 10%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

Quanex Building Products Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and distributes components for original equipment manufacturers (OEM) in the building products industry in the United States, Europe, Canada, Asia, and internationally. It offers energy-efficient... Read more

$16.10+43.9% A.UpsideScore 4.9/10#22 of 26 Building Products & Equipment
QualityF-score5 / 9FCF yield10.47%
IncomeYield1.87%(5y avg 1.44%)Payout86.49%at-risk
Stop $14.99Target $23.16(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 3.9:1
Analyst target$27.25+69.3%4 analysts
$23.16our TP
$16.10price
$27.25mean
$30

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $16.10: Quality below floor (2.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10 and A.R:R 3.9:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 10%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 58d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Sep 3, 202658d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (2.7 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)8.2
Mkt Cap$789M
EV/EBITDA7.8
Profit Mgn-13.9%
ROE-29.7%
Rev Growth2.2%
Beta0.92
Dividend1.87%
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F5/9

Options Flow

P/C0.33bullish
IV98%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomerfew large customers
    10-K Item 1A: 'Certain of our businesses or product lines are largely dependent on a relatively few large customers.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
3.0

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Volume
0.2
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Macd
3.0
Rsi
4.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.3%/30d — confirmed downtrend

Unprofitable operations — net margin -13.9%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Gross Margin
1.3
Operating Margin
1.6
Roa
2.0
Moat
3.1
Piotroski F
5.6
Current Ratio
7.8
No competitive moatQuality concerns
GatesMomentum 1.9<4.5A.R:R 3.9 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 58d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
47 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $15.45Resistance $18.81

Price Targets

$15
$23
A.Upside+43.9%
A.R:R3.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (2.7 < 4.0)
! momentum at 1.9 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-09-03 (58d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is NX stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $16.10: Quality below floor (2.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10 and A.R:R 3.9:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 10%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $14.99. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the NX stock price target?

Take-profit target: $23.16 (+43.9% upside). Prior stop was $14.99. Stop-loss: $14.99.

What are the risks of investing in NX?

Quality below floor (2.7 < 4.0).

Is NX overvalued or undervalued?

Quanex Building Products Corpor trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 8.2). TrendMatrix value score: 9.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about NX?

10 analysts cover NX with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $27.

What does Quanex Building Products Corpor do?Quanex Building Products Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and distributes components for...

Quanex Building Products Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and distributes components for original equipment manufacturers (OEM) in the building products industry in the United States, Europe, Canada, Asia, and internationally. It offers energy-efficient flexible insulating glass spacers, extruded vinyl profiles, window and door screens, precision-formed metal and wood products, window and door seals, and window and door hardware. The company also solar panel sealants, trim moldings, vinyl decking, water retention barriers, conservatory roof components, and commercial access solutions. It sells its products through sales representatives, direct sales force, distributors, and independent sales agents. Quanex Building Products Corporation was founded in 1927 and is based in Houston, Texas.

Related stocks: AWI (Armstrong World Industries Inc) · ARLO (Arlo Technologies, Inc.) · JBI (Janus International Group, Inc.) · ROCK (Gibraltar Industries, Inc.) · LMB (Limbach Holdings, Inc.)
Home Stocks NX

Latest news

No recent news