Griffon delivers consistent earnings beats and exceptional free cash flow conversion but carries significant leverage, declining revenue, and a risk/reward that does not clear the asymmetry bar at current levels near the 52-week high.
Thesis pillars
- High Leverage Limits Margin Of Safety↑Improving
- Revenue Decline No Moat→Stable
- Earnings Consistency Steady Beats→Stable
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Griffon Corporation (GFF) Stock Analysis
Industrials · Building Products & Equipment
Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $87.59: Leverage penalty (D/E 15.6): -1.5; Earnings in 6 days (event risk).
Griffon Corporation operates through two segments: Home and Building Products (HBP), which through Clopay is North America's largest manufacturer and marketer of garage doors, and Consumer and Professional Products (CPP), a global provider of branded tools, fans, and storage... Read more
Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $87.59: Leverage penalty (D/E 15.6): -1.5; Earnings in 6 days (event risk). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.5/10, high confidence.
Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on earnings proximity 6d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.
Recent developments
updated 2026-07-30Recent Developments — Griffon Corporation
Latest news
- NEWS Griffon Corp (GFF) Stock Down 3.7% but Still Overvalued -- GF Sc - GuruFocus — GuruFocus negative
- NEWS Strs Ohio Boosts Stock Holdings in Griffon Corporation $GFF - MarketBeat — MarketBeat positive
- NEWS What To Expect From Griffon’s (GFF) Q1 Earnings - StockStory — StockStory neutral
- NEWS Griffon (GFF) exceeds market returns: Some facts to consider - MSN — MSN positive
- NEWS Sanctuary Advisors LLC Increases Stock Position in Griffon Corporation $GFF - MarketBeat — MarketBeat positive
Generated 2026-07-31T05:18:56Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers
Revenue shrinking — -1.1% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $87.59: Leverage penalty (D/E 15.6): -1.5; Earnings in 6 days (event risk). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $83.99. Score 5.5/10, high confidence.
Take-profit target: $103.03 (+17.6% upside). Prior stop was $83.99. Stop-loss: $83.99.
Leverage penalty (D/E 15.6): -1.5; Earnings in 6 days (event risk); Weak growth.
Griffon Corporation trades at a P/E of 91.6 (forward 16.2). TrendMatrix value score: 7.0/10. Verdict: Sell.
11 analysts cover GFF with a consensus score of 4.4/5. Average price target: $118.
What does Griffon Corporation do?Griffon Corporation operates through two segments: Home and Building Products (HBP), which through Clopay is North...
Griffon Corporation operates through two segments: Home and Building Products (HBP), which through Clopay is North America's largest manufacturer and marketer of garage doors, and Consumer and Professional Products (CPP), a global provider of branded tools, fans, and storage products. HBP contributed approximately 63% of consolidated revenue and CPP approximately 37% for fiscal year ended September 30, 2025, with roughly 5,100 employees across North America, the UK, Australia, and China.