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NVMINova Ltd.Hold5.7·$582.20+4.03%
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Nova Ltd. (NVMI) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

HoldModerate Confidence

Technology · Semiconductor Equipment & Materials

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $582.20, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (0.9% away).

Nova Ltd. engages in the design, development, production, and sale of process control systems used in the manufacture of semiconductors in Taiwan, the United States, China, Korea, and internationally. The company's product portfolio includes a set of metrology platforms for... Read more

$582.20-1.1% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#4 of 25 Semiconductor Equipment & Materials
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield0.66%
Stop $542.24Target $576.63(resistance)A.R:R -0.7:1
Analyst target$597.63+2.6%8 analysts
$576.63our TP
$582.20price
$597.63mean
$494
$640

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $582.20, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (0.9% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 64, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 60d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-14
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 13, 202660d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
High-quality business
Strong growth profile
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (0.9% away)
Expensive valuation

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)73.0
P/E (Fwd)45.1
Mkt Cap$18.5B
EV/EBITDA64.2
Profit Mgn29.2%
ROE22.3%
Rev Growth10.3%
Beta1.75
DividendNone
Rating analysts15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C0.57bullish
IV84%elevated
Max Pain$730+25.4% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ps
0.0
Pe
1.4
Forward Pe
2.5
Analyst Target
3.0
Peg Ratio
8.6
Forward P/E: 45.1xPEG: 0.73

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
0.4
52w Position
9.8

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
3.2
Growth Rank
4.0
Quality Rank
7.8
GatesA.R:R -0.7=NEGATIVEMomentum 7.5>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 60d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
64 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $462.77Resistance $588.40

Price Targets

$542
$577
A.Upside-1.0%
A.R:R-0.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-10.8% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-13 (60d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is NVMI stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $582.20, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (0.9% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 64, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $576.63 (-1.0%), stop $542.24 (−7.4%), A.R:R -0.7:1. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the NVMI stock price target?

Take-profit target: $576.63 (-1.1% upside). Target $576.63 (-1.0%), stop $542.24 (−7.4%), A.R:R -0.7:1. Stop-loss: $542.24.

What are the risks of investing in NVMI?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (0.9% away); Expensive valuation.

Is NVMI overvalued or undervalued?

Nova Ltd. trades at a P/E of 73.0 (forward 45.1). TrendMatrix value score: 3.1/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about NVMI?

15 analysts cover NVMI with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $598.

What does Nova Ltd. do?Nova Ltd. engages in the design, development, production, and sale of process control systems used in the manufacture...

Nova Ltd. engages in the design, development, production, and sale of process control systems used in the manufacture of semiconductors in Taiwan, the United States, China, Korea, and internationally. The company's product portfolio includes a set of metrology platforms for dimensional, films, and materials and chemical metrology measurements for process control for various semiconductor manufacturing process steps, such as lithography, Etch, chemical mechanical planarization, deposition, electrochemical plating, and advanced packaging. It serves various sectors of the integrated circuit manufacturing industry, including logic, foundry, memory, and packaging sectors, as well as process equipment manufacturers. Nova Ltd. was formerly known as Nova Measuring Instruments Ltd. and changed its name to Nova Ltd. in July 2021. Nova Ltd. was incorporated in 1993 and is headquartered in Rehovot, Israel.

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