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ACM Research, Inc. (ACMR) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Technology · Semiconductor Equipment & Materials

Earnings in 6 days (2026-05-07). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. At $52.41, A.R:R 1.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: mainland China; Earnings in 6 days (event risk).

ACM Research supplies advanced semiconductor capital equipment — primarily wet-cleaning, ECP, furnace, PECVD, and track tools — with substantially all sales to customers in mainland China. Revenue was approximately $901 million in 2025 ($626M cleaning, $200M ECP/furnace/other,... Read more

$52.41+17.0% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#10 of 25 Semiconductor Equipment & Materials
Stop $48.74Target $61.34(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.1:1
Analyst target$70.50+34.5%6 analysts
$61.34our TP
$52.41price
$70.50mean
$82

Sell if holding. At $52.41, A.R:R 1.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: mainland China; Earnings in 6 days (event risk). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 55, MACD bullish. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 6d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong growth profile
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: mainland China
Earnings in 6 days (event risk)
Consecutive earnings misses (3)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)37.7
P/E (Fwd)22.7
Mkt Cap$3.4B
EV/EBITDA23.9
Profit Mgn10.4%
ROE8.1%
Rev Growth9.4%
Beta1.68
DividendNone
Rating analysts13

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.97neutral
IV102%elevated
Max Pain$30-42.8% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicmainland China
    10-K Item 1: 'substantially all of our sales of equipment for semiconductor-manufacturing have been to customers located in mainland China'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/3MEarnings in 6 days

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
2.9
Bollinger
3.2
52w Position
4.6
GatesA.R:R 1.1 < 1.5@spotEARNINGS PROXIMITY 6d<=7dMomentum 5.1<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.1>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
55 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $40.57Resistance $57.27

Price Targets

$49
$61
A.Upside+17.0%
A.R:R1.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Reward/Risk 1.1:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:6d<=7d

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-07 (6d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ACMR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $52.41, A.R:R 1.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: mainland China; Earnings in 6 days (event risk). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 55, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $48.74. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ACMR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $61.34 (+17.0% upside). Prior stop was $48.74. Stop-loss: $48.74.

What are the risks of investing in ACMR?

Concentration risk — Geographic: mainland China; Earnings in 6 days (event risk); Consecutive earnings misses (3).

Is ACMR overvalued or undervalued?

ACM Research, Inc. trades at a P/E of 37.7 (forward 22.7). TrendMatrix value score: 6.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ACMR?

13 analysts cover ACMR with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $71.

What does ACM Research, Inc. do?ACM Research supplies advanced semiconductor capital equipment — primarily wet-cleaning, ECP, furnace, PECVD, and track...

ACM Research supplies advanced semiconductor capital equipment — primarily wet-cleaning, ECP, furnace, PECVD, and track tools — with substantially all sales to customers in mainland China. Revenue was approximately $901 million in 2025 ($626M cleaning, $200M ECP/furnace/other, $76M advanced packaging/services).

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