Onto Innovation Inc. (ONTO) Stock Analysis
Technology · Semiconductor Equipment & Materials
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $291.79 — A.R:R is negative (-0.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Supplier: sole-source component suppliers.
Onto Innovation designs, manufactures, and supports metrology, inspection, and lithography systems for the semiconductor industry, including optical metrology, macro-defect inspection, and advanced packaging lithography tools. The company serves silicon wafer manufacturers, IC... Read more
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $291.79 — A.R:R is negative (-0.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Supplier: sole-source component suppliers. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 4.4/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 5/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 4d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHSuppliersole-source component suppliers10-K Item 1A: 'A significant number of our suppliers are the sole source or single source for certain components or subassemblies'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers
Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $291.79 — A.R:R is negative (-0.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Supplier: sole-source component suppliers. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $271.20. Score 4.4/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $309.68 (+6.2% upside). Prior stop was $271.20. Stop-loss: $271.20.
Concentration risk — Supplier: sole-source component suppliers; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Earnings in 4 days (event risk).
Onto Innovation Inc. trades at a P/E of 105.8 (forward 32.2). TrendMatrix value score: 2.7/10. Verdict: Sell.
14 analysts cover ONTO with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $334.
What does Onto Innovation Inc. do?Onto Innovation designs, manufactures, and supports metrology, inspection, and lithography systems for the...
Onto Innovation designs, manufactures, and supports metrology, inspection, and lithography systems for the semiconductor industry, including optical metrology, macro-defect inspection, and advanced packaging lithography tools. The company serves silicon wafer manufacturers, IC fabricators, and advanced packaging manufacturers globally, with Semilab USA acquired in Q4 2025 adding wafer contamination monitoring.