Skip to main content
ONTOOnto Innovation Inc.Sell4.7·$326.99+7.73%
Open full analysis

Onto Innovation Inc. (ONTO) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellModerate Confidence

Technology · Semiconductor Equipment & Materials

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $326.99 — A.R:R is negative (-0.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (0.9% away).

Onto Innovation designs, manufactures, and supports metrology and inspection tools for semiconductor manufacturing, including optical metrology, wafer inspection, advanced packaging lithography, and process control software used by silicon wafer manufacturers, IC fabricators,... Read more

$326.99-1.1% A.UpsideScore 4.7/10#20 of 25 Semiconductor Equipment & Materials
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield1.22%
Stop $301.21Target $320.42(resistance)A.R:R -0.4:1
Analyst target$351.88+7.6%8 analysts
$320.42our TP
$326.99price
$351.88mean
$320
$370

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $326.99 — A.R:R is negative (-0.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (0.9% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 69, MACD bullish. Score 4.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 54d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-13
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 6, 202654d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Positive momentum
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (0.9% away)
Weak overall score: 4.7/10

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)149.9
P/E (Fwd)33.5
Mkt Cap$16.1B
EV/EBITDA57.9
Profit Mgn10.3%
ROE5.3%
Rev Growth9.5%
Beta1.63
DividendNone
Rating analysts14

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.17bullish
IV96%elevated
Max Pain$450+37.6% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomerCustomer A20%
    10-K Item 1: 'Customer A | | 20 %'
  • MEDIUMCustomerCustomer B15%
    10-K Item 1: 'Customer B | | 15 %'
  • MEDIUMCustomerCustomer C14%
    10-K Item 1: 'Customer C | | 14 %'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Pe
0.0
Ps
0.0
Forward Pe
3.3
Analyst Target
4.0
Peg Ratio
5.0
Forward P/E: 33.5xPEG: 1.51Expensive valuation

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
4.9

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
0.3
52w Position
9.8
GatesA.R:R -0.4=NEGATIVEMomentum 7.9>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 54d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
69 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $238.12Resistance $326.96

Price Targets

$301
$320
A.Upside-2.0%
A.R:R-0.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-5.5% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (54d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ONTO stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $326.99 — A.R:R is negative (-0.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (0.9% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 69, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $301.21. Score 4.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ONTO stock price target?

Take-profit target: $320.42 (-1.1% upside). Prior stop was $301.21. Stop-loss: $301.21.

What are the risks of investing in ONTO?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (0.9% away); Weak overall score: 4.7/10.

Is ONTO overvalued or undervalued?

Onto Innovation Inc. trades at a P/E of 149.9 (forward 33.5). TrendMatrix value score: 2.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ONTO?

14 analysts cover ONTO with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $352.

What does Onto Innovation Inc. do?Onto Innovation designs, manufactures, and supports metrology and inspection tools for semiconductor manufacturing,...

Onto Innovation designs, manufactures, and supports metrology and inspection tools for semiconductor manufacturing, including optical metrology, wafer inspection, advanced packaging lithography, and process control software used by silicon wafer manufacturers, IC fabricators, and advanced packaging makers. Over 190 customers in 25+ countries purchased tools in 2025, with three customers each exceeding 10% of revenue.

Related stocks: TER (Teradyne, Inc.) · PLAB (Photronics, Inc.) · ACMR (ACM Research, Inc.) · NVMI (Nova Ltd.) · AMKR (Amkor Technology, Inc.)
Home Stocks ONTO

Latest news

Latest News

Investor's Business Daily47d ago
Bloomberg.com68d ago
AlphaStreet68d ago
MarketBeat68d ago
TipRanks69d ago
Yahoo Finance48d ago
TipRanks48d ago
GuruFocus49d ago
Investor's Business Daily69d ago
MSN70d ago
Yahoo Finance41d agoEarnings
Investing.com41d ago
TipRanks41d ago
Kens5.com41d agoEarnings
Sahm41d agoProduct
MSN41d agoAnalyst
GuruFocus46d ago
Insider Monkey46d ago
Zacks Investment Research46d ago
MSN47d ago
Loading more...