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Novavax, Inc. (NVAX) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Biotechnology

Novavax, Inc., a biotechnology company, engages in the discovery, development, and commercialization of vaccines to prevent serious infectious diseases in the United States, Europe, and internationally. The company commercializes Nuvaxovid, a COVID-19 vaccine; and R21 Matrix-M... Read more

$9.40+25.4% upside
Score 6.8/10Target $11.71Reward/Risk 5.1:1

TrendMatrix rates Novavax, Inc. (NVAX) as Sell with moderate confidence. The stock trades at $9.40 with +25.4% upside to the $11.71 price target. Overall score: 6.8/10 across 10 analysis dimensions. Reward/risk ratio: 5.1:1.

Passes 3/4 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

Val9.3Qual6.7Grw10.0Mom2.2Sent7.5Ins4.7Peer7.8Tech7.2Risk0.36.8OVERALL

Investment Thesis

- Risk below floor (0.3 < 3.0)

Fundamentals

P/E (TTM)3.6
P/E (Fwd)-16.4
Mkt Cap$1.5B
EV/EBITDA1.9
Profit Mgn39.2%
ROE
Rev Growth66.6%
Beta2.63
DividendNone
Analysts15
Frequently Asked Questions
Is NVAX stock a buy right now?

TrendMatrix rates Novavax, Inc. (NVAX) as Sell with moderate confidence. Score 6.8/10.

What is the NVAX stock price target?

Take-profit target: $11.71 (+25.4% upside). Reward/risk ratio: 5.1:1. Stop-loss: $8.87.

What are the risks of investing in NVAX?

Risk below floor (0.3 < 3.0).

Is NVAX overvalued or undervalued?

Novavax, Inc. trades at a P/E of 3.6 (forward -16.4). TrendMatrix value score: 9.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about NVAX?

15 analysts cover NVAX with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $14.

What does Novavax, Inc. do?Novavax, Inc., a biotechnology company, engages in the discovery, development, and commercialization of vaccines to...

Novavax, Inc., a biotechnology company, engages in the discovery, development, and commercialization of vaccines to prevent serious infectious diseases in the United States, Europe, and internationally. The company commercializes Nuvaxovid, a COVID-19 vaccine; and R21 Matrix-M adjuvant malaria vaccine. It has license and collaboration agreements with Sanofi, Pfizer Inc., Takeda Pharmaceutical Company Limited, and Serum Life Sciences Limited for the to develop, manufacture, and commercialize the COVID-19 vaccine. The company was incorporated in 1987 and is headquartered in Gaithersburg, Maryland.

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41 NEUTRAL
<20d<50d200dGOLDEN CROSSSupp $9.14Res $11.97

Price Targets

$9
$12
Upside+25.4%
Reward/Risk5.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNONE
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeNEUTRAL

Risk Alerts

! Risk below floor (0.3 < 3.0)
! MOMENTUM:2.2<5.0
Suitability: Aggressive
Risk/Reward 5.1>=2.0
Insider activity: OK
No SEC red flags
Momentum 2.2<5.0