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NSANational Storage Affiliates TruSell5.8·$45.15+3.51%
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National Storage Affiliates Tru (NSA) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Industrial

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $45.15 — A.R:R is negative (-2.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (-2.5% away).

National Storage Affiliates Trust is a self-storage REIT owning 1,063 properties across 37 states and Puerto Rico (~69.4M rentable sq ft, ~548,000 storage units as of December 31, 2025). Revenue comes from monthly self-storage rentals; no single customer is significant. A merger... Read more

$45.15-1.3% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#3 of 15 REIT - Industrial
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield3.77%
IncomeYield5.23%(5y avg 5.31%)Payout304.00%
Stop $43.15Target $44.54(resistance)A.R:R -2.0:1
Analyst target$41.76-7.5%10 analysts
$44.54our TP
$45.15price
$41.76mean
$38
$49

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $45.15 — A.R:R is negative (-2.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (-2.5% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 55d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-09
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Aug 3, 202655d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Strong growth profile
Positive momentum
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (-2.5% away)
Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)58.2
P/E (Fwd)116.8
Mkt Cap$6.4B
EV/EBITDA13.1
Profit Mgn10.5%
ROE7.9%
Rev Growth18.0%
Beta1.07
Dividend5.23%
Rating analysts16

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C41.33bearish
IV90%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
0.7
52w Position
9.9

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Analyst Target
3.0
Ev Ebitda
4.1
Ps
4.4
P Ocf
5.9
P/OCF: 18.8x (FFO proxy — REITs gated off P/E)
GatesA.R:R -2.0=NEGATIVEMomentum 7.5>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 55d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
73 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $40.73Resistance $45.45

Price Targets

$43
$45
A.Upside-1.4%
A.R:R-2.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-19.5% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-03 (55d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is NSA stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $45.15 — A.R:R is negative (-2.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (-2.5% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $43.15. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the NSA stock price target?

Take-profit target: $44.54 (-1.3% upside). Prior stop was $43.15. Stop-loss: $43.15.

What are the risks of investing in NSA?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (-2.5% away); Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2.

Is NSA overvalued or undervalued?

National Storage Affiliates Tru trades at a P/E of 58.2 (forward 116.8). TrendMatrix value score: 3.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about NSA?

16 analysts cover NSA with a consensus score of 3.4/5. Average price target: $42.

What does National Storage Affiliates Tru do?National Storage Affiliates Trust is a self-storage REIT owning 1,063 properties across 37 states and Puerto Rico...

National Storage Affiliates Trust is a self-storage REIT owning 1,063 properties across 37 states and Puerto Rico (~69.4M rentable sq ft, ~548,000 storage units as of December 31, 2025). Revenue comes from monthly self-storage rentals; no single customer is significant. A merger agreement with Public Storage was signed March 16, 2026.

Related stocks: FR (First Industrial Realty Trust, ) · TRNO (Terreno Realty Corporation) · SMA (SmartStop Self Storage REIT, In) · EGP (EastGroup Properties, Inc.) · PSA (Public Storage)
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Latest News

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