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NGNovagold Resources Inc.Sell4.7·$7.18-0.55%
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Novagold Resources Inc. (NG) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Basic Materials · Gold

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $7.18: Quality below floor (1.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.7/10 and A.R:R 4.7:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 7.50; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

NOVAGOLD Resources is a pre-revenue gold exploration company focused on advancing the Donlin Gold project in southwestern Alaska, a joint venture in which NOVAGOLD holds a 60% membership interest (with 50% voting rights) alongside partner Paulson. The company generates no mining... Read more

$7.18+59.9% A.UpsideScore 4.7/10#27 of 32 Gold
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield-0.56%
Stop $6.68Target $11.48(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 4.7:1
Analyst target$13.51+88.1%4 analysts
$11.48our TP
$7.18price
$13.51mean
$15

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $7.18: Quality below floor (1.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.7/10 and A.R:R 4.7:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 7.50; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 4.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-09

Recent Developments — Novagold Resources Inc.

Generated 2026-06-15T18:11:46Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jun 24, 202614d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Product: Donlin Gold project
Quality below floor (1.5 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-33.7
Mkt Cap$3.2B
EV/EBITDA-100.7
Profit Mgn0.0%
ROE-52.0%
Rev Growth
Beta2.09
DividendNone
Rating analysts14

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C7.50bearish
IV83%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHProductDonlin Gold project
    10-K Item 1A: 'At present, our only material mineral property is the interest that we hold in the Donlin Gold project. Unless we acquire or develop additional mineral properties, we will be solely dependent upon this property.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Gross Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Moat
4.0
Piotroski F
4.4
Current Ratio
5.0
Cash-burning (FCF negative)No competitive moatQuality concerns

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings in 14 days

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.6
Value Rank
5.0
Growth Rank
5.0

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.2
Macd
2.5
Rsi
4.5
Volume
5.1
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+4.5%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness
GatesMomentum 3.1<4.5EARNINGS PROXIMITY 14d<=14d (soft)A.R:R 4.7 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
42 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $6.88Resistance $9.28

Price Targets

$7
$11
A.Upside+59.9%
A.R:R4.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (1.5 < 4.0)
! momentum at 3.1 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-06-24 (14d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is NG stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $7.18: Quality below floor (1.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.7/10 and A.R:R 4.7:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 7.50; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $6.68. Score 4.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the NG stock price target?

Take-profit target: $11.48 (+59.9% upside). Prior stop was $6.68. Stop-loss: $6.68.

What are the risks of investing in NG?

Concentration risk — Product: Donlin Gold project; Quality below floor (1.5 < 4.0).

Is NG overvalued or undervalued?

Novagold Resources Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -33.7). TrendMatrix value score: 9.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about NG?

14 analysts cover NG with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $14.

What does Novagold Resources Inc. do?NOVAGOLD Resources is a pre-revenue gold exploration company focused on advancing the Donlin Gold project in...

NOVAGOLD Resources is a pre-revenue gold exploration company focused on advancing the Donlin Gold project in southwestern Alaska, a joint venture in which NOVAGOLD holds a 60% membership interest (with 50% voting rights) alongside partner Paulson. The company generates no mining revenue; it is funded through equity financings and manages an annual 2026 budget of $131.4 million for the project. The Donlin Gold project is not in production or currently under construction.

Related stocks: IAG (Iamgold Corporation) · ORLA (Orla Mining Ltd.) · CGAU (Centerra Gold Inc.) · KGC (Kinross Gold Corporation) · FSM (Fortuna Mining Corp.)
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Latest news

Latest News

Benzinga39d ago
Benzinga67d agoAnalyst