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NEXNNexxen International Ltd.Sell5.5·$9.74-3.08%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Nexxen screens cheap with strong cash conversion, but a below-floor risk score, notable insider selling, and overbought momentum against a flat trend support the engine's extreme-risk exit signal.

Thesis pillars

  • Cheap Valuation With Strong Cash ConversionImproving
  • Risk Score Below FloorStable
  • Notable Insider SellingImproving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Nexxen International Ltd. (NEXN) Stock Analysis

Inst Constrain edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5ValueQualityShortModerate Confidence

Communication Services · Advertising Agencies

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.8/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $9.74 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Consecutive earnings misses (2); Weak growth.

Nexxen International Ltd. provides end-to-end and video-first platform that engages advertising campaigns for brands, agencies, media groups, and content creators worldwide. It offers demand side platform, which provides a self-service solution for advertisers and their agencies... Read more

$9.74+30.8% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#9 of 15 Advertising Agencies
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield11.23%
Stop $9.37Target $12.74(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 2.9:1
Analyst target$14.64+50.3%10 analysts
$12.74our TP
$9.74price
$14.64mean
$25

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.8/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $9.74 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Consecutive earnings misses (2); Weak growth. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 81d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and clean insider activity. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-08-21
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Nov 11, 202681d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Wide economic moat
Analyst upside: 31%
Risks
Consecutive earnings misses (2)
Weak growth
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)46.4
P/E (Fwd)7.8
Mkt Cap$543M
EV/EBITDA8.6
Profit Mgn3.4%
ROE2.7%
Rev Growth10.5%
Beta1.46
DividendNone
Rating analysts6

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatWide

Options Flow

P/C0.63bullish
IV96%elevated
Max Pain$13+28.3% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
5.1

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Obv
1.0
Macd
1.2
Volume
3.3
Ma Position
6.0
Rsi
7.6
Uptrend pullback (RSI 39) - buy opportunityVolume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.8<4.5INSIDER 0.71%=EXTREMEA.R:R 2.9 ≥ 1.5No SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 81d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
39 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $9.66Resistance $11.30

Price Targets

$9
$13
A.Upside+30.8%
A.R:R2.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 3.8 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Insider activity: 0.71%=extreme

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-11 (81d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is NEXN stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.8/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $9.74 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Consecutive earnings misses (2); Weak growth. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $9.37. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the NEXN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $12.74 (+30.8% upside). Prior stop was $9.37. Stop-loss: $9.37.

What are the risks of investing in NEXN?

Consecutive earnings misses (2); Weak growth; Negative momentum.

Is NEXN overvalued or undervalued?

Nexxen International Ltd. trades at a P/E of 46.4 (forward 7.8). TrendMatrix value score: 8.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about NEXN?

6 analysts cover NEXN with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $15.

What does Nexxen International Ltd. do?Nexxen International Ltd. provides end-to-end and video-first platform that engages advertising campaigns for brands,...

Nexxen International Ltd. provides end-to-end and video-first platform that engages advertising campaigns for brands, agencies, media groups, and content creators worldwide. It offers demand side platform, which provides a self-service solution for advertisers and their agencies to plan, activate, and manage omni-channel campaigns, access to inventory, data for audience targeting, AI planning capabilities across formats, testing solutions and reporting and management; Data Platform, provides insights and recommendations across geographic, behavioral, consumption, and demographic data, as well as enables advertisers and publishers to directly onboard, manage, plan, activate, and measure, with data from multiple sources to optimize performance and ROI; and Supply Side Platform, a self-service supply side platforms solution for publishers to sell their digital advertising inventory through a real-time bidding auction across screens, including mobile devices, CTVs, streaming devices, and desktop. The company also provides analytics and artificial intelligence services; Nexxen Discovery, an audience insight and activation product to o help customers create targeted segments, extend reach, and optimize campaigns real time; and Nexxen Studio, an in-house digital creative studio offers various creative solutions to tailored to needs of brands and agencies. It serves ad buyers, including brands and agencies, and digital publishers. The company has a strategic partnership with L2 Data to launch VoterMatch, a platform for political advertisers. The company was formerly known as Tremor International Ltd and changed its name to Nexxen International Ltd. in January 2024. Nexxen International Ltd. was incorporated in 2007 and is headquartered in Tel Aviv-Yafo, Israel.

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