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LFTOLiftoff Mobile, Inc.Buy Wait7.2·$16.13
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Liftoff Mobile is a high-quality, fast-growing mobile ad business (35% growth, Rule of 40 at 58, 430% FCF/net income) trading 44% below its high at a forward P/E of 12.0x, with 65.7% upside to the analyst target but weak price momentum.

Thesis pillars

  • Strong Revenue Growth↑Improving
  • High Quality Cash Conversion→Stable
  • Cheap Valuation Large Target Gap→Stable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Oct 24, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Liftoff Mobile, Inc. (LFTO) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

Buy WaitGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Communication Services · Advertising Agencies

Wait for pullback to $15.15. BUY gates pass at $16.13, but sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8 argues for a more patient entry. Engine's entry $15.15 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum.

Liftoff Mobile, Inc. provides performance marketing and monetization solutions for the app economy. Its AI-powered platform, Cortex unifies marketing, creative, and monetization to deliver measurable performance across the app lifecycle. The company enables advertisers to unlock... Read more

$16.13+66.0% A.UpsideScore 7.2/10#1 of 13 Advertising Agencies
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield6.59%
Entry $15.15(Atr Pullback Sticky)Stop $14.57Target $26.78(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 6.0:1
Analyst consensus$29.75+84.4%16 analysts
$26.78our TP
$16.13price
$29.75mean
$42

Wait for pullback to $15.15. BUY gates pass at $16.13, but sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8 argues for a more patient entry. Engine's entry $15.15 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Chart setup: RSI 50 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Growth is outpacing valuation and the technical setup has confirmed a breakout above resistance (PEG 0.03, quality 7.6/10, growth 10.0/10). Score 7.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/7 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.6 in RISK_OFF)
Positive news sentiment (+0.58)
Strong overall score: 7.2/10
Risks
Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)64.5
P/E (Fwd)11.6
Mkt Cap$2.7B
EV/EBITDA11.0
Profit Mgn5.2%
ROE—
Rev Growth35.4%
Beta—
DividendNone
Rating analysts16

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.35bullish
IV116%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

52w Position
0.7
Bollinger
5.1
Support Resistance
5.6
GatesMomentum 6.3>=5.5A.R:R 6.0 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Speculative
RSI
50 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MASupport $15.02Resistance $17.55

Price Targets

$15
$15
$27
A.Upside+66.0%
A.R:R6.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %0.9%
Max %1.8%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! RISK-OFF: SMALL-cap BUY_NOW needs quality>=8.5 or MoS>=50%

Earnings

We could not retrieve earnings history for LFTO.
The company may be recently listed, pre-revenue, or its beat/miss record wasn't available from our source this run. Earnings signals feed the Growth and Catalyst score dimensions — absence here doesn't affect other dimensions.

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is LFTO stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $15.15. BUY gates pass at $16.13, but sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8 argues for a more patient entry. Engine's entry $15.15 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Chart setup: RSI 50 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Growth is outpacing valuation and the technical setup has confirmed a breakout above resistance (PEG 0.03, quality 7.6/10, growth 10.0/10). Target $26.78 (+66.0%), stop $14.57 (−10.7%), A.R:R 6.0:1. Score 7.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the LFTO stock price target?

Take-profit target: $26.78 (+66.0% upside). Target $26.78 (+66.0%), stop $14.57 (−10.7%), A.R:R 6.0:1. Stop-loss: $14.57.

What are the risks of investing in LFTO?

Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8.

Is LFTO overvalued or undervalued?

Liftoff Mobile, Inc. trades at a P/E of 64.5 (forward 11.6). TrendMatrix value score: 7.6/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

0
What does Liftoff Mobile, Inc. do?Liftoff Mobile, Inc. provides performance marketing and monetization solutions for the app economy. Its AI-powered...

Liftoff Mobile, Inc. provides performance marketing and monetization solutions for the app economy. Its AI-powered platform, Cortex unifies marketing, creative, and monetization to deliver measurable performance across the app lifecycle. The company enables advertisers to unlock profitable user growth while helping app publishers maximize revenue with advanced ad monetization technology. It serves customer base across gaming, consumer, and emerging app categories. The company was founded in 2011 and is headquartered in Redwood City, California.

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