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Magnite, Inc. (MGNI) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Communication Services · Advertising Agencies

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $13.35, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Elevated risk factors; Below 200-MA, MA slope -8.4%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Magnite is an independent omni-channel sell-side advertising platform (SSP) that automates the purchase and sale of digital advertising inventory for publishers across CTV, mobile, and desktop globally. Revenue is earned as a percentage of advertising spend transacted through... Read more

$13.35+44.9% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#3 of 9 Advertising Agencies
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield0.08%
Stop $12.41Target $19.33(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 4.1:1
Analyst target$22.21+66.4%14 analysts
$19.33our TP
$13.35price
$22.21mean
$39

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $13.35, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Elevated risk factors; Below 200-MA, MA slope -8.4%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: RSI 49 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 8/10 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 70d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — Magnite, Inc.

Generated 2026-05-27T19:56:43Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Analyst upside: 45%
Risks
Elevated risk factors
Below 200-MA, MA slope -8.4%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)12.7
P/E (Fwd)10.8
Mkt Cap$1.9B
EV/EBITDA14.8
Profit Mgn22.0%
ROE19.1%
Rev Growth5.5%
Beta2.32
DividendNone
Rating analysts21

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C4.59bearish
IV68%elevated
Max Pain$30+124.7% vs spot

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-20Item 5.02HIGH
    CFO David Day announced retirement plans; will continue as CFO until September 30, 2026, then as non-executive advisor through May 31, 2027. No successor named.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-04-10Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Chief Product Officer Adam Soroca ceased serving effective April 8, 2026. Will remain as advisor through May 15, 2026. No successor named.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

52w Position
0.0
Bollinger
4.9
Support Resistance
5.0
GatesDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 4.8<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.8>=4.5A.R:R 4.1 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 70d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
49 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $12.35Resistance $14.32

Price Targets

$12
$19
A.Upside+44.8%
A.R:R4.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (70d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MGNI stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $13.35, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Elevated risk factors; Below 200-MA, MA slope -8.4%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: RSI 49 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $19.33 (+44.8%), stop $12.41 (−7.6%), A.R:R 4.1:1. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the MGNI stock price target?

Take-profit target: $19.33 (+44.9% upside). Target $19.33 (+44.8%), stop $12.41 (−7.6%), A.R:R 4.1:1. Stop-loss: $12.41.

What are the risks of investing in MGNI?

Elevated risk factors; Below 200-MA, MA slope -8.4%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is MGNI overvalued or undervalued?

Magnite, Inc. trades at a P/E of 12.7 (forward 10.8). TrendMatrix value score: 8.2/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about MGNI?

21 analysts cover MGNI with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $22.

What does Magnite, Inc. do?Magnite is an independent omni-channel sell-side advertising platform (SSP) that automates the purchase and sale of...

Magnite is an independent omni-channel sell-side advertising platform (SSP) that automates the purchase and sale of digital advertising inventory for publishers across CTV, mobile, and desktop globally. Revenue is earned as a percentage of advertising spend transacted through the platform, with CTV as a growing driver; operations span North America, Europe, Australia, and developing markets in Asia and South America.

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