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NABLN-able, Inc.Hold5.9·$4.42+0.80%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

N-able screens cheap on both earnings and cash-flow measures, but a confirmed downtrend below the 200-day moving average and falling analyst estimates complicate the value case despite strong balance-sheet quality signals.

Thesis pillars

  • Deep Value Multiple SupportStable
  • Positive Fcf Despite Gaap LossStable
  • Confirmed Downtrend Below 200maStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

N-able, Inc. (NABL) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup · Inst Constrain edge

HoldValueGrowthModerate Confidence

Technology · Information Technology Services

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $4.42, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: outside the United States (50.4%); Overbought (RSI 84).

N-able is a global cybersecurity provider whose software platform delivers unified endpoint management, security operations and data protection to more than 500,000 businesses through a channel-led model of managed service providers, value-added resellers and distributors. The... Read more

$4.42+34.7% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#19 of 46 Information Technology Services
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield10.20%
Stop $4.12Target $5.96(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 2.3:1
Analyst target$6.85+55.0%5 analysts
$5.96our TP
$4.42price
$6.85mean
$10

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $4.42, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: outside the United States (50.4%); Overbought (RSI 84). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 84. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 30d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: speculative.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 6, 202630d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Positive insider activity
Analyst upside: 35%
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: outside the United States (50.4%)
Overbought (RSI 84)
Below 200-MA, MA slope -10.0%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)8.8
Mkt Cap$795M
EV/EBITDA17.0
Profit Mgn-2.0%
ROE-1.3%
Rev Growth13.1%
Beta0.53
DividendNone
Rating analysts12

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.03bullish
IV156%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicoutside the United States50%
    10-K Item 1: 'Our business is global, with 50.4%, 51.8% and 51.2% of our revenue generated outside of the United States for the years ended December 31, 2025, 2024 and 2023, respectively.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-11Item 5.02LOW
    On May 7, 2026 director Ann Johnson notified N-able's Board of her resignation, effective immediately, from the Board and all committees. Resignation was not due to any disagreement with the company.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

52w Position
0.0
Bollinger
0.1
Support Resistance
0.7
Gap
6.0
GatesDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 5.6>=5.5A.R:R 2.3 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 30d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Speculative
RSI
84 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $2.92Resistance $4.53

Price Targets

$4
$6
A.Upside+34.8%
A.R:R2.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Analyst Consensus

Analysts12
Consensus3.7/5
Avg Target$7

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (30d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is NABL stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $4.42, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: outside the United States (50.4%); Overbought (RSI 84). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 84. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Target $5.96 (+34.8%), stop $4.12 (−7.3%), A.R:R 2.3:1. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the NABL stock price target?

Take-profit target: $5.96 (+34.7% upside). Target $5.96 (+34.8%), stop $4.12 (−7.3%), A.R:R 2.3:1. Stop-loss: $4.12.

What are the risks of investing in NABL?

Concentration risk — Geographic: outside the United States (50.4%); Overbought (RSI 84); Below 200-MA, MA slope -10.0%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is NABL overvalued or undervalued?

N-able, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 8.8). TrendMatrix value score: 7.9/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about NABL?

12 analysts cover NABL with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $7.

What does N-able, Inc. do?N-able is a global cybersecurity provider whose software platform delivers unified endpoint management, security...

N-able is a global cybersecurity provider whose software platform delivers unified endpoint management, security operations and data protection to more than 500,000 businesses through a channel-led model of managed service providers, value-added resellers and distributors. The company generated $511.4 million in revenue for 2025, up 9.7% from $466.1 million in 2024, with 50.4% of revenue earned outside the United States. Customers with more than $50,000 in annualized recurring revenue grew 13.7% to 2,671 in 2025 and represented approximately 61% of total ARR.

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