Skip to main content
NABLN-able, Inc.Sell5.0·$3.46+0.73%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

N-able screens cheap on both earnings and cash-flow measures, but a confirmed downtrend below the 200-day moving average and falling analyst estimates complicate the value case despite strong balance-sheet quality signals.

Thesis pillars

  • Deep Value Multiple SupportDeteriorating
  • Positive Fcf Despite Gaap LossStable
  • Confirmed Downtrend Below 200maDeteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

N-able, Inc. (NABL) Stock Analysis

Falling Knife setup · Inst Constrain edge

SellValueGrowthModerate Confidence

Technology · Information Technology Services

Sell if holding. At $3.46, A.R:R 1.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: outside the United States (50.4%); Weak overall score: 5.0/10.

N-able is a global cybersecurity provider whose software platform delivers unified endpoint management, security operations and data protection to more than 500,000 businesses through a channel-led model of managed service providers, value-added resellers and distributors. The... Read more

$3.46+17.5% A.UpsideScore 5.0/10#39 of 48 Information Technology Services
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield10.81%
Stop $3.22Target $4.07(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.2:1
Analyst target$4.68+35.3%5 analysts
$4.07our TP
$3.46price
$4.68mean
$8

Sell if holding. At $3.46, A.R:R 1.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: outside the United States (50.4%); Weak overall score: 5.0/10. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 28, MACD bearish. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/9 gates (clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 75d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-08-21
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Nov 5, 202675d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: outside the United States (50.4%)
Weak overall score: 5.0/10
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)7.9
Mkt Cap$648M
EV/EBITDA14.5
Profit Mgn-1.0%
ROE-0.6%
Rev Growth5.9%
Beta0.51
DividendNone
Rating analysts12

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C2.00bearish
IV73%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicoutside the United States50%
    10-K Item 1: 'Our business is global, with 50.4%, 51.8% and 51.2% of our revenue generated outside of the United States for the years ended December 31, 2025, 2024 and 2023, respectively.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-11Item 5.02LOW
    On May 7, 2026 director Ann Johnson notified N-able's Board of her resignation, effective immediately, from the Board and all committees. Resignation was not due to any disagreement with the company.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Volume
0.3
Ma Position
1.0
Macd
2.2
Rsi
3.0
Obv
10.0
Capitulation risk (RSI 28, below 200MA)Volume accumulation (rising OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -9.4%/30d — confirmed downtrend
GatesMomentum 3.3<4.5A.R:R 1.2 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentInsider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 75d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Speculative
RSI
28 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $2.98Resistance $5.25

Price Targets

$3
$4
A.Upside+17.5%
A.R:R1.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 3.3 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 1.2 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-05 (75d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is NABL stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $3.46, A.R:R 1.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: outside the United States (50.4%); Weak overall score: 5.0/10. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 28, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $3.22. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the NABL stock price target?

Take-profit target: $4.07 (+17.5% upside). Prior stop was $3.22. Stop-loss: $3.22.

What are the risks of investing in NABL?

Concentration risk — Geographic: outside the United States (50.4%); Weak overall score: 5.0/10; Negative momentum.

Is NABL overvalued or undervalued?

N-able, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 7.9). TrendMatrix value score: 8.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about NABL?

12 analysts cover NABL with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $5.

What does N-able, Inc. do?N-able is a global cybersecurity provider whose software platform delivers unified endpoint management, security...

N-able is a global cybersecurity provider whose software platform delivers unified endpoint management, security operations and data protection to more than 500,000 businesses through a channel-led model of managed service providers, value-added resellers and distributors. The company generated $511.4 million in revenue for 2025, up 9.7% from $466.1 million in 2024, with 50.4% of revenue earned outside the United States. Customers with more than $50,000 in annualized recurring revenue grew 13.7% to 2,671 in 2025 and represented approximately 61% of total ARR.

Related stocks: INOD (Innodata Inc.) · VRRM (Verra Mobility Corporation) · FORTY (Formula Systems (1985) Ltd.) · IBEX (IBEX Limited) · MGRT (Mega Fortune Company Limited)
Home Stocks NABL

Latest news

Latest News

TradingKey25d ago
Tradingkey.com25d ago
MarketBeat18d ago
MarketBeat18d ago
TradingKey18d agoEarnings
Tipranks.com18d agoEarnings
Dars.gov.et25d ago
TradingKey26d ago
TradingKey26d ago
Yahoo Finance12d ago
Investing.com South Africa12d ago
Investing.com12d ago
Finance.biggo.com18d agoLegal
MarketBeat24d agoEarnings
TradingKey24d ago
富途牛牛16d agoEarnings
Investing.com17d agoAnalyst
TradingView13d ago
TradingView13d ago
Benzinga11d agoAnalyst
Loading more...