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CWEN-AClearway Energy, Inc.Sell5.8·$40.43+5.70%
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Clearway Energy, Inc. (CWEN-A) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Utilities · Utilities - Renewable

Sell if holding. At $40.43, A.R:R is negative (-1.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Commodity: renewable energy and storage (98.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: CEG.

Clearway Energy owns approximately 12.9 GW of clean energy generation capacity across 27 U.S. states, with 98% of 2025 generation from renewable and storage assets. Revenue of $1.43 billion in 2025 came primarily from long-term contracted offtake agreements; top customers SCE... Read more

$40.43+0.4% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#4 of 10 Utilities - Renewable
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield2.50%
IncomeYield0.04%(5y avg 5.46%)Payout123.64%at-risk
Stop $37.60Target $40.58(resistance)A.R:R -1.4:1
Analyst target$41.75+3.3%8 analysts
$40.58our TP
$40.43price
$41.75mean
$39
$44

Sell if holding. At $40.43, A.R:R is negative (-1.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Commodity: renewable energy and storage (98.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: CEG. Chart setup: RSI 48 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Clearway Energy, Inc.

About Clearway Energy, Inc.

Clearway Energy's generation portfolio spans 12.9 GW of gross capacity across 27 states, with 10.1 GW in wind, solar, and battery energy storage (BESS) delivering 98% renewable output in 2025. Total operating revenues reached $1.43 billion in 2025, split between the Renewables & Storage segment ($1.14 billion) and the Flexible Generation segment ($291 million), with the latter providing dispatchable combustion-based grid reliability capacity. The company's offtake counterparties carry a weighted-average Moody's rating of Baa1 based on rated capacity under contract.

Clearway earns revenue primarily under long-term power purchase agreements with an average remaining duration of roughly 12 years across Renewables & Storage. The two largest customers—SCE and PG&E—represented 22% and 16% of consolidated 2025 revenues, respectively, both California-regulated investor-owned utilities. The Flexible Generation assets, largely efficient gas generation in California markets, operate under market-based rates outside long-term PPAs and face fuel procurement cost risk. FERC regulates interstate wholesale power sales across most of the fleet, while ERCOT-footprint assets fall under PUCT jurisdiction rather than FERC rate-making authority. Sponsor Clearway Energy Group LLC controls the company through majority ownership of Class B and Class D common stock and provides the operational backbone under the CEG Master Services Agreement, covering capital formation, asset management, and commercial operations.

Show full overview

The combined counterparty exposure to SCE (22%) and PG&E (16%) totals 38% of consolidated revenues—both California utilities whose long-term bilateral contracts with Clearway could in principle be challenged in federal court on grounds that state-mandated rates conflict with FERC pricing authority. The 10-K notes that similar contracts at other companies have been declared unconstitutional under this theory. If any such challenge succeeded, the affected facility could be unable to replace the contract on comparable terms, which may impact cash available for distribution and the company's dividend trajectory.

See also: Utilities · Utilities - Renewable

From Clearway Energy, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 9, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, May 7, 2026· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong growth profile
Positive momentum
Risks
Concentration risk — Commodity: renewable energy and storage (98.0%)
Concentration risk — Supplier: CEG
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)28.3
P/E (Fwd)22.3
Mkt Cap$8.3B
EV/EBITDA17.3
Profit Mgn11.8%
ROE-4.0%
Rev Growth21.1%
Beta0.92
Dividend0.04%
Rating analysts17

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.79neutral

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • LOWCustomerSCE22%
    10-K Item 1A: 'the largest customers...were SCE and PG&E, which represented 22% and 16%, respectively, of total consolidated revenues'
  • LOWCustomerPG&E16%
    10-K Item 1A: 'the largest customers...were SCE and PG&E, which represented 22% and 16%, respectively, of total consolidated revenues'
  • HIGHCommodityrenewable energy and storage98%
    10-K Item 1: 'In 2025, 98% of the Company's total generation was attributable to renewable energy and storage assets'
  • HIGHSupplierCEG
    10-K Item 1A: 'If CEG terminates the CEG Master Services Agreement...the Company may be unable to contract with a substitute service provider on similar terms, or at all'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-15Item 5.02LOW
    Kevin P. Malcarney, EVP, General Counsel and Corporate Secretary, to retire effective June 1, 2026. Transition services agreement signed; Malcarney stays as non-executive employee through June 26, 2026. No successor named.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R -1.4=NEGATIVEExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 7.9>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
48 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $37.65Resistance $41.41

Price Targets

$38
$41
A.Upside+0.4%
A.R:R-1.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-10.2% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-07 (nulld)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CWEN-A stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $40.43, A.R:R is negative (-1.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Commodity: renewable energy and storage (98.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: CEG. Chart setup: RSI 48 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $37.60. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CWEN-A stock price target?

Take-profit target: $40.58 (+0.4% upside). Prior stop was $37.60. Stop-loss: $37.60.

What are the risks of investing in CWEN-A?

Concentration risk — Commodity: renewable energy and storage (98.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: CEG; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is CWEN-A overvalued or undervalued?

Clearway Energy, Inc. trades at a P/E of 28.3 (forward 22.3). TrendMatrix value score: 5.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CWEN-A?

17 analysts cover CWEN-A with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $42.

What does Clearway Energy, Inc. do?Clearway Energy owns approximately 12.9 GW of clean energy generation capacity across 27 U.S. states, with 98% of 2025...

Clearway Energy owns approximately 12.9 GW of clean energy generation capacity across 27 U.S. states, with 98% of 2025 generation from renewable and storage assets. Revenue of $1.43 billion in 2025 came primarily from long-term contracted offtake agreements; top customers SCE and PG&E represented 22% and 16% of revenues. The company is controlled by sponsor Clearway Energy Group LLC (CEG), which also provides all asset management and operations services under the CEG Master Services Agreement.

Related stocks: AXIA (AXIA Energia) · RNW (ReNew Energy Global plc) · MWH (SOLV Energy, Inc.) · ENLT (Enlight Renewable Energy Ltd.) · CWEN (Clearway Energy, Inc.)

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