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MTWManitowoc Company, Inc. (The)Sell5.0·$23.15
SellHigh Confidence
Investment thesis

Manitowoc trades at a deep valuation discount, but quality sits below the engine's floor, momentum has broken down, and insiders have been modest net sellers.

Thesis pillars

  • Deep Value Discount↓Deteriorating
  • Quality Below Floor→Stable
  • Momentum Gate Breakdown→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 5, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 18, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Manitowoc Company, Inc. (The) (MTW) Stock Analysis

SellValueGrowthHigh Confidence

Industrials · Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery

Earnings in 5 days (2026-11-03). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $23.15 — A.R:R is negative (-5.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (3.5% away).

Manitowoc designs, manufactures and distributes lattice-boom crawler cranes, tower cranes and mobile hydraulic cranes under the Manitowoc, Potain, Grove, Shuttlelift and National Crane brands, plus aftermarket parts, service and remanufacturing through its MGX Equipment Services... Read more

$23.15-48.6% A.UpsideScore 5.0/10#14 of 18 Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield9.37%
Stop $21.53Analyst target $11.90(reached)A.R:R -5.4:1
Analyst consensus$14.00-39.5%2 analysts
$23.15price
$14.00mean
$12

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $23.15 — A.R:R is negative (-5.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (3.5% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.0/10, high confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 5d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Manitowoc Company, Inc. (The)

About Manitowoc Company, Inc. (The)

Manitowoc organizes its crane manufacturing and aftermarket-services business into three geographic segments, Americas, Europe and Africa (EURAF), and Middle East and Asia Pacific (MEAP), producing lattice-boom crawler cranes under the Manitowoc name, tower cranes under Potain, and mobile hydraulic cranes under Grove, Shuttlelift and National Crane. No single customer accounted for more than 10% of consolidated net sales in 2025, 2024 or 2023, reflecting a base of independent distributors, rental companies and direct crane buyers spread across construction, energy, data-center and infrastructure end markets. The company employed approximately 4,700 people across more than 20 countries as of December 31, 2025.

Manitowoc generates revenue from new-machine sales alongside a growing non-new-machine business, parts, service, rental, remanufacturing and used-equipment sales, that its CRANES+50 strategy, launched in 2021, is designed to expand because it is less capital intensive, more profitable and less cyclical than new-crane sales. The company distributes primarily through a global network of independent distributors and rental companies, supplemented by its own MGX Equipment Services subsidiary in parts of the United States. Steel is Manitowoc's primary raw-material input, and the company mitigates single-supplier dependence by maintaining alternate sources of supply for critical materials and components wherever possible, while entering long-term agreements with most critical suppliers. New U.S. tariffs of 50% on steel and aluminum derivative products, including certain crane components, along with ongoing tariff negotiations affecting China and other trading partners, add cost uncertainty to a business already exposed to construction-cycle swings.

Show full overview

Manitowoc's 10-K flags macroeconomic conditions, inflation, elevated interest rates and tariffs, as having already delayed the conversion of backlog into revenue, a timing risk distinct from outright demand loss but one that compounds with geopolitical disruption in Europe and the Middle East that the company says has driven higher logistics costs and raw-material volatility for its EURAF segment specifically. With 26% of the workforce under collective bargaining agreements and construction-driven seasonality already depressing first- and third-quarter sales, Manitowoc's ability to hit its long-term targets of $3.0 billion in net sales and 12% adjusted EBITDA margin depends heavily on whether the CRANES+50 aftermarket mix shift can offset continued new-machine cyclicality.

See also: Industrials · Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery

From Manitowoc Company, Inc. (The)'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted July 6, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29

Recent Developments — Manitowoc Company, Inc. (The)

Generated 2026-10-29T11:48:40Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Nov 3, 20265d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (3.5% away)
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.1)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)42.1
P/E (Fwd)27.8
Mkt Cap$835M
EV/EBITDA9.1
Profit Mgn0.9%
ROE2.9%
Rev Growth10.3%
Beta1.75
DividendNone
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.00neutral
IV92%elevated

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-06Item 5.02LOW
    At Manitowoc's May 5, 2026 annual meeting, shareholders approved an Amended and Restated Omnibus Incentive Plan authorizing up to 3,600,000 shares of common stock for equity awards, adding 1,800,000 shares to prior authorization. Routine compensation-plan approval.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Negative sentiment — recent news tone and/or analyst downgrades drag the composite below neutral.static

Price Target
0.9
Analyst Rating
5.0
Erm Sentiment
5.0
Below analyst target
GatesA.R:R -5.4=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 5d<=7dExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 6.0>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
65 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $21.05Resistance $24.00

Price Targets

A.Upside-48.6%
A.R:R-5.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-48.6% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:5d<=7d

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-03 (5d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MTW stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $23.15 — A.R:R is negative (-5.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (3.5% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $21.53. Score 5.0/10, high confidence.

What is the MTW stock price target?

Analyst target $11.90 reached (−48.6% from $23.15); no take-profit level is published. Prior stop was $21.53. Stop-loss: $21.53.

What are the risks of investing in MTW?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (3.5% away); V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.1).

Is MTW overvalued or undervalued?

Manitowoc Company, Inc. (The) trades at a P/E of 42.1 (forward 27.8). TrendMatrix value score: 6.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about MTW?

9 analysts cover MTW with a consensus score of 2.1/5. Average price target: $14.

What does Manitowoc Company, Inc. (The) do?Manitowoc designs, manufactures and distributes lattice-boom crawler cranes, tower cranes and mobile hydraulic cranes...

Manitowoc designs, manufactures and distributes lattice-boom crawler cranes, tower cranes and mobile hydraulic cranes under the Manitowoc, Potain, Grove, Shuttlelift and National Crane brands, plus aftermarket parts, service and remanufacturing through its MGX Equipment Services network. The company operates nine manufacturing facilities worldwide and organizes its business into Americas, Europe/Africa and Middle East/Asia Pacific segments. No single customer accounted for more than 10% of consolidated net sales in 2025, 2024 or 2023, and Manitowoc's long-term targets include $3.0 billion in n

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