Skip to main content
MTWManitowoc Company, Inc. (The)Sell4.9·$12.39+0.98%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Manitowoc trades at a deep valuation discount, but quality sits below the engine's floor, momentum has broken down, and insiders have been modest net sellers.

Thesis pillars

  • Deep Value DiscountStable
  • Quality Below FloorStable
  • Momentum Gate BreakdownStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Manitowoc Company, Inc. (The) (MTW) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup · Inst Constrain edge

SellGrowthModerate Confidence

Industrials · Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $12.39: Quality below floor (2.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

Manitowoc designs, manufactures and distributes lattice-boom crawler cranes, tower cranes and mobile hydraulic cranes under the Manitowoc, Potain, Grove, Shuttlelift and National Crane brands, plus aftermarket parts, service and remanufacturing through its MGX Equipment Services... Read more

$12.39+14.9% A.UpsideScore 4.9/10#15 of 17 Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield-0.40%
Stop $11.52Target $14.24(resistance)A.R:R -2.8:1
Analyst target$10.50-15.3%2 analysts
$14.24our TP
$12.39price
$10.50mean
$10
$14

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $12.39: Quality below floor (2.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: RSI 46 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 30d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Manitowoc Company, Inc. (The)

About Manitowoc Company, Inc. (The)

Manitowoc organizes its crane manufacturing and aftermarket-services business into three geographic segments, Americas, Europe and Africa (EURAF), and Middle East and Asia Pacific (MEAP), producing lattice-boom crawler cranes under the Manitowoc name, tower cranes under Potain, and mobile hydraulic cranes under Grove, Shuttlelift and National Crane. No single customer accounted for more than 10% of consolidated net sales in 2025, 2024 or 2023, reflecting a base of independent distributors, rental companies and direct crane buyers spread across construction, energy, data-center and infrastructure end markets. The company employed approximately 4,700 people across more than 20 countries as of December 31, 2025.

Manitowoc generates revenue from new-machine sales alongside a growing non-new-machine business, parts, service, rental, remanufacturing and used-equipment sales, that its CRANES+50 strategy, launched in 2021, is designed to expand because it is less capital intensive, more profitable and less cyclical than new-crane sales. The company distributes primarily through a global network of independent distributors and rental companies, supplemented by its own MGX Equipment Services subsidiary in parts of the United States. Steel is Manitowoc's primary raw-material input, and the company mitigates single-supplier dependence by maintaining alternate sources of supply for critical materials and components wherever possible, while entering long-term agreements with most critical suppliers. New U.S. tariffs of 50% on steel and aluminum derivative products, including certain crane components, along with ongoing tariff negotiations affecting China and other trading partners, add cost uncertainty to a business already exposed to construction-cycle swings.

Show full overview

Manitowoc's 10-K flags macroeconomic conditions, inflation, elevated interest rates and tariffs, as having already delayed the conversion of backlog into revenue, a timing risk distinct from outright demand loss but one that compounds with geopolitical disruption in Europe and the Middle East that the company says has driven higher logistics costs and raw-material volatility for its EURAF segment specifically. With 26% of the workforce under collective bargaining agreements and construction-driven seasonality already depressing first- and third-quarter sales, Manitowoc's ability to hit its long-term targets of $3.0 billion in net sales and 12% adjusted EBITDA margin depends heavily on whether the CRANES+50 aftermarket mix shift can offset continued new-machine cyclicality.

See also: Industrials · Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery

From Manitowoc Company, Inc. (The)'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted July 6, 2026.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 6, 202630d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (-28.0% upside)
Quality below floor (2.6 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)61.3
P/E (Fwd)14.2
Mkt Cap$463M
EV/EBITDA7.7
Profit Mgn0.3%
ROE1.1%
Rev Growth5.0%
Beta1.72
DividendNone
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C1.00neutral
IV111%elevated

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-06Item 5.02LOW
    At Manitowoc's May 5, 2026 annual meeting, shareholders approved an Amended and Restated Omnibus Incentive Plan authorizing up to 3,600,000 shares of common stock for equity awards, adding 1,800,000 shares to prior authorization. Routine compensation-plan approval.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gross Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Net Margin
0.2
Roe
0.4
Operating Margin
0.4
Roa
1.3
Moat
4.5
Current Ratio
7.3
Piotroski F
8.9
Earnings quality RED FLAG: -25% FCF/NINo competitive moatStrong Piotroski F-Score: 8/9Quality concerns

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Revenue Growth
3.8
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
1.2
Volume
2.7
Ma Position
4.0
Obv
5.4
Rsi
5.5
Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.8<4.5A.R:R -2.8=NEGATIVEExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentInsider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 30d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
46 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $11.68Resistance $14.53

Price Targets

$12
$14
A.Upside+14.9%
A.R:R-2.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-28.0% upside)
! Quality below floor (2.6 < 4.0)
! momentum at 3.8 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (30d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MTW stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $12.39: Quality below floor (2.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: RSI 46 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $11.52. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the MTW stock price target?

Take-profit target: $14.24 (+14.9% upside). Prior stop was $11.52. Stop-loss: $11.52.

What are the risks of investing in MTW?

Target reached (-28.0% upside); Quality below floor (2.6 < 4.0).

Is MTW overvalued or undervalued?

Manitowoc Company, Inc. (The) trades at a P/E of 61.3 (forward 14.2). TrendMatrix value score: 8.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about MTW?

9 analysts cover MTW with a consensus score of 2.1/5. Average price target: $11.

What does Manitowoc Company, Inc. (The) do?Manitowoc designs, manufactures and distributes lattice-boom crawler cranes, tower cranes and mobile hydraulic cranes...

Manitowoc designs, manufactures and distributes lattice-boom crawler cranes, tower cranes and mobile hydraulic cranes under the Manitowoc, Potain, Grove, Shuttlelift and National Crane brands, plus aftermarket parts, service and remanufacturing through its MGX Equipment Services network. The company operates nine manufacturing facilities worldwide and organizes its business into Americas, Europe/Africa and Middle East/Asia Pacific segments. No single customer accounted for more than 10% of consolidated net sales in 2025, 2024 or 2023, and Manitowoc's long-term targets include $3.0 billion in n

Related stocks: AEBI (Aebi Schmidt Holding AG) · BLBD (Blue Bird Corporation) · WNC (Wabash National Corporation) · LNN (Lindsay Corporation) · ALG (Alamo Group, Inc.)
Home Stocks MTW

Latest news

No recent news