Vail Resorts, Inc. (MTN) Stock Analysis
Recovery setup
Consumer Cyclical · Resorts & Casinos
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $131.26 — A.R:R 0.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5.
Vail Resorts operates 42 mountain resorts and ski areas across the U.S., Canada, Australia, and Switzerland through Mountain (89% of net revenue) and Lodging (11%) segments. Revenue comes from lift tickets, ski and snowboard lessons, dining, retail/rental, and lodging; pass... Read more
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $131.26 — A.R:R 0.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 65. Score 5.8/10, high confidence.
Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.
Recent developments
updated 2026-06-09Recent Developments — Vail Resorts, Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS Vail Resorts (MTN) Q3 2026 Preview. EPS Est. $9.05; Reports on June 8 - AlphaStreet — AlphaStreet neutral
- NEWS What Analyst Projections for Key Metrics Reveal About Vail Resorts (MTN) Q3 Earnings - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance neutral
- NEWS Analysts estimate Vail Resorts (MTN) to report a decline in earnings: What to look out for - MSN — MSN negative
- NEWS Why The Narrative Around MTN Group (JSE:MTN) Is Evolving Without New Analyst Updates - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance neutral
- NEWS Analysts Estimate Vail Resorts (MTN) to Report a Decline in Earnings: What to Look Out for - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance negative
Generated 2026-06-15T18:11:46Z.
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Quality Signals
Options Flow
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $131.26 — A.R:R 0.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 65. Prior stop was $122.07. Score 5.8/10, high confidence.
Take-profit target: $135.00 (+2.8% upside). Prior stop was $122.07. Stop-loss: $122.07.
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5; Leverage penalty (D/E 4.9): -1.5.
Vail Resorts, Inc. trades at a P/E of 29.6 (forward 21.2). TrendMatrix value score: 6.8/10. Verdict: Sell.
17 analysts cover MTN with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $155.
What does Vail Resorts, Inc. do?Vail Resorts operates 42 mountain resorts and ski areas across the U.S., Canada, Australia, and Switzerland through...
Vail Resorts operates 42 mountain resorts and ski areas across the U.S., Canada, Australia, and Switzerland through Mountain (89% of net revenue) and Lodging (11%) segments. Revenue comes from lift tickets, ski and snowboard lessons, dining, retail/rental, and lodging; pass products generated 65% of lift revenue in Fiscal 2025 with ~15.4M North American skier visits.