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MSA Safety Incorporated (MSA) Stock Analysis

Temp Headwind edge

Buy WaitModerate Confidence

Industrials · Security & Protection Services

Earnings in 3 days (2026-05-04). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Wait for pullback to $165.01. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $165.51. Engine's entry $165.01 (Support Atr Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Thin upside margin: 9.4%.

MSA Safety is a global manufacturer of safety products protecting workers and facility infrastructure, with two segments: Americas and International. Its principal product categories of gas and flame detection, fire service equipment, and industrial PPE serve fire service,... Read more

$165.51+9.8% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#4 of 8 Security & Protection Services
Entry $165.01(Support Atr Sticky)Stop $156.40Target $181.08(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.8:1Setup A.R:R 2.3:1
Analyst target$208.14+25.8%7 analysts
$181.08our TP
$165.51price
$208.14mean
$235

Wait for pullback to $165.01. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $165.51. Engine's entry $165.01 (Support Atr Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Thin upside margin: 9.4%. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Earnings in 3 days. Wait until post-earnings. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and earnings proximity 3d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Thin upside margin: 9.4%

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)23.5
P/E (Fwd)17.6
Mkt Cap$6.5B
EV/EBITDA14.4
Profit Mgn14.9%
ROE22.2%
Rev Growth2.2%
Beta1.04
Dividend1.27%
Rating analysts11

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9

Options Flow

P/C0.33bullish
IV49%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.2
Macd
2.3
Rsi
3.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+0.2%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
1.3
Growth Rank
1.3
Quality Rank
5.6
GatesMomentum 1.8<4.5EARNINGS PROXIMITY 3d<=7dA.R:R 1.8 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
40 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $162.82Resistance $176.01

Price Targets

$156
$165
$181
A.Upside+9.4%
A.R:R1.8:1
Setup A.R:R (at entry)2.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Earnings in 3 days - binary event risk
! Momentum score 1.8/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:3d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-04 (3d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MSA stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $165.01. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $165.51. Engine's entry $165.01 (Support Atr Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Thin upside margin: 9.4%. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Earnings in 3 days. Wait until post-earnings. Target $181.08 (+9.4%), stop $156.40 (−5.8%), Setup A.R:R 2.3:1. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the MSA stock price target?

Take-profit target: $181.08 (+9.8% upside). Target $181.08 (+9.4%), stop $156.40 (−5.8%), Setup A.R:R 2.3:1. Stop-loss: $156.40.

What are the risks of investing in MSA?

Thin upside margin: 9.4%.

Is MSA overvalued or undervalued?

MSA Safety Incorporated trades at a P/E of 23.5 (forward 17.6). TrendMatrix value score: 6.8/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about MSA?

11 analysts cover MSA with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $208.

What does MSA Safety Incorporated do?MSA Safety is a global manufacturer of safety products protecting workers and facility infrastructure, with two...

MSA Safety is a global manufacturer of safety products protecting workers and facility infrastructure, with two segments: Americas and International. Its principal product categories of gas and flame detection, fire service equipment, and industrial PPE serve fire service, energy, utility, construction, and industrial markets worldwide.

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