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MSAMSA Safety IncorporatedHold6.0·$159.89+0.25%
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MSA Safety Incorporated (MSA) Stock Analysis

Falling Knife setup · Temp Headwind edge

HoldModerate Confidence

Industrials · Security & Protection Services

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $159.89, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Negative momentum; Below 200-day MA.

MSA Safety manufactures safety products across Detection, Fire Service, and Industrial PPE categories sold globally through Americas and International segments. Revenue comes from selling to distributors and end-user customers in fire service, energy, utility, construction, and... Read more

$159.89+11.9% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#3 of 8 Security & Protection Services
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield3.89%
IncomeYield1.35%(5y avg 1.22%)Payout28.61%sustainable
Stop $151.65Target $178.97(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 2.3:1
Analyst target$205.71+28.7%7 analysts
$178.97our TP
$159.89price
$205.71mean
$225

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $159.89, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Negative momentum; Below 200-day MA. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 31, MACD bearish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 49d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Aug 3, 202649d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
High-quality business
Risks
Negative momentum
Below 200-day MA

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)21.6
P/E (Fwd)16.5
Mkt Cap$6.2B
EV/EBITDA13.4
Profit Mgn15.2%
ROE22.8%
Rev Growth10.0%
Beta0.95
Dividend1.35%
Rating analysts11

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.91neutral
IV55%elevated
Max Pain$210+31.3% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Ma Position
1.5
Rsi
3.5
Volume
4.0
Obv
10.0
Volume accumulation (rising OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope flat
GatesMomentum 3.8<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 2.3 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 49d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Moderate
RSI
31 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $155.78Resistance $174.71

Price Targets

$152
$179
A.Upside+11.9%
A.R:R2.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 3.8 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-03 (49d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MSA stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $159.89, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Negative momentum; Below 200-day MA. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 31, MACD bearish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $178.97 (+11.9%), stop $151.65 (−5.4%), A.R:R 2.3:1. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the MSA stock price target?

Take-profit target: $178.97 (+11.9% upside). Target $178.97 (+11.9%), stop $151.65 (−5.4%), A.R:R 2.3:1. Stop-loss: $151.65.

What are the risks of investing in MSA?

Negative momentum; Below 200-day MA.

Is MSA overvalued or undervalued?

MSA Safety Incorporated trades at a P/E of 21.6 (forward 16.5). TrendMatrix value score: 6.8/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about MSA?

11 analysts cover MSA with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $206.

What does MSA Safety Incorporated do?MSA Safety manufactures safety products across Detection, Fire Service, and Industrial PPE categories sold globally...

MSA Safety manufactures safety products across Detection, Fire Service, and Industrial PPE categories sold globally through Americas and International segments. Revenue comes from selling to distributors and end-user customers in fire service, energy, utility, construction, and industrial markets; approximately 2,880 employees as of Dec 31, 2025.

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