NAPCO Security Technologies has achieved a perfect earnings beat streak of 4 consecutive quarters with an average surprise of 22%, a wide economic moat, and free cash flow at 131% of net income, establishing it as a high-quality compounder in the security technology space with meaningful analyst upside remaining.
Thesis pillars
- Wide Moat High Quality Compounder→Stable
- Analyst Upside 34pct→Stable
- Perfect Earnings Beat Streak↑Improving
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Aug 24, 2026
NAPCO Security Technologies, In (NSSC) Stock Analysis
Recovery setup
Industrials · Security & Protection Services
Wait for pullback to $38.87. At $39.98 the A.R:R is 0.8:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $38.87 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Overbought (RSI 77).
Napco Security Technologies, Inc. engages in the development, manufacturing, and sale of electronic security systems for commercial, residential, institutional, industrial, and governmental applications in the United States and internationally. Its access control systems include... Read more
Wait for pullback to $38.87. At $39.98 the A.R:R is 0.8:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $38.87 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Overbought (RSI 77). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 77. Earnings in 2 days. Wait until post-earnings. Score 6.6/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/10 gates (positive momentum, positive momentum, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and clean insider activity and earnings proximity 2d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.
Recent developments
updated 2026-10-30Recent Developments — NAPCO Security Technologies, In
Latest news
- NEWS Did NAPCO Security Technologies, Inc. Insiders Breach their Fiduciary Duties to Shareholders? - TradingView — TradingView negative
- NEWS Did NAPCO Security Technologies, Inc. Insiders Breach their Fiduciary Duties to Shareholders? - tradingview.com — tradingview.com negative
- NEWS Earnings Preview: NSSC to Report Financial Results Pre-market on May 04 - 富途牛牛 — 富途牛牛 positive
- NEWS NAPCO Security Technologies to Announce Fiscal Third Quarter 2026 Results Monday, May 4, 2026 - Weekly Voice — Weekly Voice neutral
- NEWS NAPCO SECURITY TECHNOLOGIES, INC ($NSSC) CEO 2026 Pay Revealed - Quiver Quantitative — Quiver Quantitative neutral
Generated 2026-10-30T10:27:54Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy
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Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Wait for pullback to $38.87. At $39.98 the A.R:R is 0.8:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $38.87 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Overbought (RSI 77). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 77. Earnings in 2 days. Wait until post-earnings. Target $44.08 (+10.3%), stop $37.03 (−8.0%), A.R:R 0.8:1. Score 6.6/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $44.08 (+10.3% upside). Target $44.08 (+10.3%), stop $37.03 (−8.0%), A.R:R 0.8:1. Stop-loss: $37.03.
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Overbought (RSI 77).
NAPCO Security Technologies, In trades at a P/E of 33.3 (forward 22.9). TrendMatrix value score: 5.6/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).
12 analysts cover NSSC with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $51.
What does NAPCO Security Technologies, In do?Napco Security Technologies, Inc. engages in the development, manufacturing, and sale of electronic security systems...
Napco Security Technologies, Inc. engages in the development, manufacturing, and sale of electronic security systems for commercial, residential, institutional, industrial, and governmental applications in the United States and internationally. Its access control systems include various types of identification readers, control panels, PC-based computers, and electronically activated door-locking devices; intrusion and fire alarm systems, consists of various detectors, a control panel, a digital keypad and signaling equipment; and door locking devices comprise microprocessor-based electronic door locks with push button, card readers and bio-metric operation, door alarms, mechanical door locks, and simple dead bolt locks. The company's alarm systems include automatic communicators, cellular communication devices, control panels, combination control panels/digital communicators and digital keypad systems, fire alarm control panels, and area detectors; and video surveillance systems comprise video cameras, control panels, video monitors, or PCs. It also buys and resells various identification readers, video cameras, PC-based computers, and various peripheral equipment for access control and video surveillance systems; offers school security products; and markets peripheral and related equipment manufactured by other companies. The company markets and sells its products to independent distributors, dealers, and installers of security equipment. Napco Security Technologies, Inc. was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Amityville, New York.