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Moog Inc. (MOG-A) Stock Analysis

HoldModerate Confidence

Industrials · Aerospace & Defense

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $297.98, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Negative momentum.

Moog designs, manufactures, and integrates precision motion and fluid control systems across four segments: Space and Defense, Military Aircraft, Commercial Aircraft, and Industrial. Revenue of approximately $3.9B in 2025 is split between U.S. Government contracts (38%) and... Read more

$297.98+9.7% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#8 of 47 Aerospace & Defense
Stop $281.26Target $326.92(resistance)A.R:R -0.8:1
Analyst target$328.25+10.2%4 analysts
$326.92our TP
$297.98price
$328.25mean
$269
$350

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $297.98, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Negative momentum. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 83d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Strong growth profile
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)34.0
P/E (Fwd)25.9
Mkt Cap$9.5B
EV/EBITDA18.9
Profit Mgn6.8%
ROE14.4%
Rev Growth12.6%
Beta0.99
Dividend0.40%
Rating analysts12

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.75neutral

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomerU.S. Government contracts38%
    10-K Item 1A: 'sales under U.S. Government contracts represented 38% of our total sales, primarily within Space and Defense and Military Aircraft'
  • LOWCustomerThe Boeing Company10%
    10-K Item 1A: 'We provide Boeing with controls for both military and commercial applications, as well as controls for space and defense applications, which totaled 10% of our 2025 sales.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-03Item 1.02MEDIUM
    Moog redeemed in full all $500M of its 4.250% Senior Notes due 2027 on April 3, 2026, at par plus accrued interest. Funded from proceeds of new 5.500% Senior Notes due 2034 and cash on hand. Indenture satisfied and discharged.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-03-24Item 2.04LOW
    Moog issued $500M 5.500% Senior Notes due October 15, 2034 on March 24, 2026. Notes pay interest semi-annually at 5.5% annually beginning October 15, 2026. No default; proceeds used to retire 4.250% Notes due 2027.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
7.8
Uptrend pullback (RSI 37) - buy opportunityVolume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 2.6<4.5A.R:R -0.8=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 83d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
37 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $289.96Resistance $333.59

Price Targets

$281
$327
A.Upside+9.7%
A.R:R-0.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-6.4% upside)
! Momentum score 2.6/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-24 (83d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
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Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MOG-A stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $297.98, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Negative momentum. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Target $326.92 (+9.7%), stop $281.26 (−5.9%), A.R:R -0.8:1. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the MOG-A stock price target?

Take-profit target: $326.92 (+9.7% upside). Target $326.92 (+9.7%), stop $281.26 (−5.9%), A.R:R -0.8:1. Stop-loss: $281.26.

What are the risks of investing in MOG-A?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Negative momentum.

Is MOG-A overvalued or undervalued?

Moog Inc. trades at a P/E of 34.0 (forward 25.9). TrendMatrix value score: 5.5/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about MOG-A?

12 analysts cover MOG-A with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $328.

What does Moog Inc. do?Moog designs, manufactures, and integrates precision motion and fluid control systems across four segments: Space and...

Moog designs, manufactures, and integrates precision motion and fluid control systems across four segments: Space and Defense, Military Aircraft, Commercial Aircraft, and Industrial. Revenue of approximately $3.9B in 2025 is split between U.S. Government contracts (38%) and commercial customers; Boeing represents 10% of 2025 sales.

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